Interrupting vaccination policies can greatly spread SARS-CoV-2 and enhance mortality from COVID-19 disease: The AstraZeneca case for France and Italy

D Faranda, T Alberti, M Arutkin, V Lembo… - … Journal of Nonlinear …, 2021 - pubs.aip.org
Several European countries have suspended the inoculation of the AstraZeneca vaccine out
of suspicion that it causes deep vein thrombosis. In this letter, we report some Fermi
estimates performed using a stochastic model aimed at making a risk–benefit analysis of the
interruption of the delivery of the AstraZeneca vaccine in France and Italy. Our results clearly
show that excess deaths due to the interruption of the vaccination campaign injections
largely overrun those due to thrombosis even in worst case scenarios of frequency and …