Deepwater Asset Management reposted this
Goldman Sachs and Sequoia Capital are skeptical that AI can generate enough value to warrant the $100's of billions being invested in the space. Both penned recent posts that suggest the economics don't make sense, but I think they're missing the bigger picture: AI is a Pascalian wager for megacap tech companies. If a megacap tech company bowed out of the AI race and AI ended up being as profound as bulls expect, that megacap tech company would be in Pascalian hell. Its competitors would eat up the biggest opportunity since the Internet. That company may even lose status as a megacap tech company. If a megacap bowed out of AI and was right, best case it saves $200b vs a $2t+ market cap. Who cares. Investors will have short memories for megacaps that invest heavily in AI even if AI never pans out (see META/metaverse). Investors will have short memories for those that disbelieve AI and end up being right. Pat on the back, now what can you do for me next. Investors will have painfully long memories for those who miss it. The rational strategy for all megacaps is to keeping investing aggressively into AI, and that's what I believe they'll do.