📊 TXOGA Chartbook Update - Week of October 28, 2024
🔹U.S. economic indicators remained stable. Federal Funds 30-day futures held at 4.8%, indicating no expected rate changes in November, while yields on long-term bonds, particularly lower-quality corporate bonds, edged higher during the week ending October 25. Business conditions remain favorable for GDP growth in Q4 2024, as indicated by the Philadelphia Fed's ADS Index and the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment survey,
which recorded its highest business conditions reading in six months.
🔹Oil market fundamentals loosened slightly, but prices flattened as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East eased. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices rose 3.6% week-over-week (w/w) to nearly $72 per barrel as of October 25. U.S. crude oil production remained at a record-high 13.5 million barrels per day (mb/d), while domestic demand (20.3 mb/d) and net petroleum exports (2.5 mb/d) declined, leading to a 5.5 million-barrel increase in crude oil inventories, according to the Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) data as for the week ended October 18.
🔹U.S. natural gas prices rose by 12.2% w/w amid strong consumption, exports, and winter weather forecasts. U.S. natural gas consumption exceeded 80 billion cubic feet per day (bcf/d) in October, and net exports reached a record 13.8 bcf/d, per EIA projections. Updated weather projections from NOAA and AccuWeather predict below-average temperatures in the Pacific Northwest, above-average temperatures in the Southeast, and increased storm activity.
🔹The Chart of the Week highlights how mean reversion analysis has recently been effective in both oil and natural gas markets.
For detailed insights and analysis, please visit the TXOGA Chartbook at:
https://lnkd.in/g8tSBmUm
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