National Institute for Deterrence Studies

🚨 The Age of Agentic AI: A New Frontier or a Pandora’s Box? 🚨 AI is no longer just a tool—it’s becoming an agent. The latest Global Security Review article, "Navigating the New Frontier: Agentic AI’s Promise and Challenges," exposes the unsettling reality that autonomous AI systems capable of independent decision-making are already reshaping global security, warfare, and deterrence. 🤖 What happens when AI no longer just predicts but "acts"? ⚠️ What risks emerge when an AI’s logic "deviates from human intent"? 🌍 How do we ensure "strategic stability" in a world where machines make life-or-death calls? The promise is vast, but so are the dangers. If AI is given agency over critical defense decisions, we risk "accidental escalation, algorithmic miscalculation, and the erosion of human control over war and peace". 🔗 Read the full analysis here:https://buff.ly/42JirA3) Are we sleepwalking into a "new era of strategic instability"? Let’s talk. #AI #NationalSecurity #Deterrence #ArtificialIntelligence https://buff.ly/42JirA3 RealClearDefense The Economist The New York Times BBC News Irregular Warfare Initiative Breaking Defense Task & Purpose https://buff.ly/3Uc6HRl https://buff.ly/4f9T11j https://buff.ly/3Ugc8ii

My latest in Foreign Policy

I have a new publication out today on "Thousand Sails: Why Low Earth Orbit is the Next Frontier for Great Power Competition between the U.S. and China" from American Foreign Policy Council with coauthors Sydney Nystrom and David Zou. We cover the broad implications of this PRC Starlink Competitor for global information curation and propaganda, electronic warfare, "Starlink suppression," global infrastructure deals, and empowerment of 5th columns worldwide. LOTS TO THINK ABOUT! U.S. Space Command United States Space Force Space Systems Command Casey Beard Space Operations Command Space Training and Readiness Command Office of Space Commerce Office of the Vice President of the United States White House Office of Science and Technology Policy National Security Council, The White House House Committee on Science, Space, and Technology SpaceX STARLINK Starshield #Starlink Rose Croshier https://lnkd.in/eb4i7PMQ

In today's rapidly evolving security landscape, NATO faces multifaceted challenges from nations like #China, #Iran, #NorthKorea, and #Russia. These adversaries are leveraging #economic, conventional,# nuclear, #cyber, and #space domains to undermine Western interests. Notably, regions such as the Arctic and deep sea have become strategic arenas for competition. To counter these threats, it's imperative for #NATO to enhance joint military readiness, bolster #deterrence capabilities, and improve #intelligence and #surveillance operations. Strengthening alliance cohesion and adapting to these emerging challenges are crucial for maintaining global stability. https://buff.ly/4jHY0JG RealClearDefense LSU Shreveport The Merge https://buff.ly/3Uc6HRl https://buff.ly/4f9T11j https://buff.ly/3Ugc8ii

Global Security Review’s latest article, “The New Era of DIY Warfare,” explores how this shift is reshaping deterrence, security, and strategic competition. The battlefield is evolving faster than ever—are our policies, defenses, and doctrines keeping up? 🔹 How do we counter threats that emerge from a garage instead of a weapons lab? 🔹 What does deterrence look like when adversaries don’t wear uniforms? 🔹 Are military forces prepared for decentralized, low-cost, high-impact threats? As the lines between civilian and military tech blur, adaptation isn’t optional—it’s survival. Compelling perspectives are welcomed! #DIYWarfare #ModernConflict #NationalSecurity #StrategicInnovation #Deterrence LSU Shreveport LSU Online & Continuing Education The Merge Irregular Warfare Initiative RealClearDefense

In a recent op-ed, former Pentagon space policy official Christopher Stone contends that concerns over the potential disbandment of the National Space Council are overstated. He argues that the existing National Strategy for Space and prior Space Policy Directives provide a sufficient framework for advancing U.S. space leadership, rendering the council's continuation unnecessary. Stone emphasizes the importance of implementing these established strategies to maintain and enhance America's position in space. https://buff.ly/3Q0pvAG RealClearDefense U.S. Space Command United States Space Force Breaking Defense

Not Today: The Psychology of Nuclear Deterrence Deterrence isn’t just about weapons—it’s about making adversaries think twice before acting. Global Security Review’s latest article, "Not Today: A Nuclear Deterrence Analogy," breaks down how credibility, psychology, and strategic calculations keep conflict at bay. What is the best deterrence? Ensuring today is never the right day for an adversary to test the balance of power. Read more: Global Security Review RealClearDefense Texas A&M University - The Bush School of Government and Public Service Institute for the Study of War Council on Foreign Relations #Deterrence #NationalSecurity #StrategicThinking #Geopolitics

Expert deterrence practitioners at the National Institute for Deterrence Studies discuss the implications of the 'America First' policy, contrasting views from Keith Payne and Hal Brands, and the importance of national identity and sovereignty in U.S. governance. https://buff.ly/42v7GBq #AmericaFirst #NationalSecurity #GlobalSecurity #Deterrence https://buff.ly/3Uc6HRl https://buff.ly/4f9T11j https://buff.ly/3Ugc8ii Breaking Defense RealClearDefense Task & Purpose

What is the most compelling argument for South Korea to have its own Nuclear Weapons? In this episode, we discuss with Lt Gen In-Bum Chun, a former Korean General, the plausible reasons why South Korea should possess its own nuclear arsenal. Watch as we pull back the curtain on the risks and the rewards. #SouthKoreaNukes #NationalSecurity #SouthKorea #Deterrence #GlobalSecurity https://buff.ly/42souZy RealClearDefense 20th Air Force International Center for Journalists (ICFJ) International Journalists' Network (IJNet) Foreign Policy Foreign Policy Research Institute Institute of Security and Global Affairs https://buff.ly/3Uc6HRl https://buff.ly/4f9T11j https://buff.ly/3Ugc8ii

**🌍🔍 Navigating the Uncertain Future of Arms Control** The global arms control landscape faces unprecedented challenges. In the article "An Uncertain Future for Arms Control," Global Security Review explores the crumbling frameworks of international agreements, the rise of strategic competition, and the impact of emerging technologies on global security. Key insights include: - The erosion of long-standing treaties that have historically stabilized great power relations. - How hypersonic weapons, AI, and cyber capabilities reshape deterrence paradigms. - Why the international community must innovate new strategies to balance security and trust. As we grapple with these shifting dynamics, it's crucial for policymakers, defense professionals, and thought leaders to engage in these debates. The stakes are too high to remain passive in this pivotal moment for global security. Join the debate! https://buff.ly/3Wr9jvU RealClearDefense Reuters The Associated Press BBC News Center for a New American Security (CNAS) Breaking Defense Task & Purpose https://buff.ly/3Uc6HRl https://buff.ly/4f9T11j https://buff.ly/3Ugc8ii #GlobalSecurityReview #ArmsControl #NationalSecurity #Deterrence #StrategicCompetition #EmergingTechnologies