From the course: Algorithmic Trading and Stocks Essential Training
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Evaluating models
From the course: Algorithmic Trading and Stocks Essential Training
Evaluating models
- [Instructor] It's not enough to just be able to come up with an effective algorithmic trading model, we need to be able to adjust that model over time as circumstances dictate. I'm in the 0308 Begin Excel workbook. So what we've got here is a model for predicting light vehicle sales, and we'd predicted these light vehicle sales based upon different factors or variables, including gas prices, Moody's BAA bond yield averages, initial jobless claims, crude oil prices and industrial production. And we spit out the regression that you see here, which was reasonably accurate, .73 R squared, adjusted R squared, pretty good. And that led us to our prediction for what vehicle sales would be over the next six months based on different assumptions about those economic variables, and we could compare that to what it had been on average over time, but what if we needed to improve this model? What if we decided that the model…
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Contents
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Gathering data for an algorithm3m 53s
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Designing an algorithm3m 49s
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Testing algorithm accuracy4m 54s
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Algorithm profitability and trading decisions5m 6s
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Economic data and stock correlations4m 27s
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Predicting economic variables4m 34s
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Advanced algorithms3m 46s
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Evaluating models5m 42s
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