The current real estate market has experienced a lift due to falling interest rates, but there remains a glaring exception: New York City’s rent-regulated apartments. With nearly 1 million units in this category, these properties are highly sought after by tenants looking to escape market-rate housing, yet have become increasingly unwanted by landlords. The value of rent-regulated buildings has plummeted by two-thirds since the 2019 law limiting owners’ profit potential.
As Marcus & Millichap’s Seth Glasser noted, rent-regulated buildings, once selling at 15 times their rent roll, now sell for merely five times that. Even at these lowered valuations, buyers remain hesitant, viewing the challenges of ownership—rising costs for insurance, repairs, and compliance with regulations set by the mayor-appointed board—as outweighing potential gains.
The 2019 law, which capped renovation and maintenance spending while restricting conversions into condos or co-ops, has made it difficult for landlords to recover investments in long-occupied units. Overturning this legislation remains a top priority for the real estate industry, but tenant advocacy groups wield significant political power, given that rent-regulated units represent a quarter of the city’s 3.7 million housing units.
Amid this challenging environment, landlords are contending with higher operating expenses, shrinking rental incomes, and extended time frames to sell. In a normal market, 50% of properties would be sold within six months, but today, it’s taking much longer to close deals. Additionally, financial institutions like New York Community Bancorp, heavily exposed to this sector, are setting aside significant reserves to cover potential loan losses, with more anticipated if property appraisals continue to disappoint.
This confluence of factors makes the outlook for rent-regulated properties bleak, with experts like Wedbush Securities’ David Chiaverini underscoring that a litigious and challenging environment persists for landlords, and a recovery is not on the horizon.
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