WAS THE NFP REPORT FULL OF "FAKE NEWS"? The January report made for an extraordinary hawkish report on the surface, but it was full of data flaws. The weather wreaked havoc with the wage growth numbers, while the BLS is still stuck with a flawed seasonal adjustment method. Bottomline: Is the job growth re-accelerating? No Is wage growth re-accelerating? No It may be later this year, but not for now. Read more about it here -> https://lnkd.in/d6Wvhsz7
A record number of consecutive revisions (which no media or analyst pay any attention to as their focus-span can only handle the headline of the initial fake number announcement) make it so much easier to ‘beat’ the prior month(s) and thus show ‘growth’ 😉. It’s a total joke, but Growth & Momentum stocks will continue higher (as jobs slashed reduce company costs, but somehow don’t appear in the national statistics…🤔).
It's pretty annoying to have a crucial market-moving report that is subject to significant revisions in the following months, full of flawed methodology and other errors.
Tak
Chief Investment Strategist -- BMO GAM -- Macro and Multi Asset Trading Strategy
9moperhaps not as good as it seems, but still plenty of news in there to crush recession bears and suggest growth estinates are way too low as bear hunting season continues