Andrew Horwood’s Post

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Managing Principal at MartinJenkins

Much of the commentary on #Budget24 will focus on #tax cuts and the spending that has been cut to fund them. If the purpose of tax cuts is to put money in the pockets of Kiwis to allow for more self-determined spending, a couple of other economic indicators are worth noting. First, the #economy is forecast to contract by -0.2% before recovering. Second, #inflation is forecast to fall below 3% later this year and return to ~2% around mid-2026. This gives a sign of when #interest rate decreases may be possible, potentially having at least as much impact on household cashflow as tax cuts.

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