Benedict Canyon Equities’ Post

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Bank failures, bond market losses and inflation are at a 40-year high. Are you prepared for the coming Financial Crisis? Book a call to learn how to protect your wealth in these uncertain times: https://lnkd.in/gihaNsbQ https://lnkd.in/gJ2tXeHA

In episode 23 of the PerFinEx Community #Investing we're diving into significant developments on the #investment landscape and what they mean for your investment strategies. 🤓 Christine Lagarde, the President of the European Central Bank, has recently set a record by raising the key interest rate to its highest in history. But how does this decision impact you as an #investor? 🔄 Rebalancing Update: If you haven't already, please log into your Fidelity account and accept the order proposals for the new #portfolio distribution. 💼 Central Bank Moves: Explore how central banks, including the European Central Bank and the U.S. Federal Reserve, have adjusted their #interest rates and the implications. 📈 Rising Interest Rates: Discover the significance of rising yields, their impact on the market, and the psychological barriers. 💰 High Safety Portfolio: Slight uptrend, with #dividends increasing by 12.8% compared to the previous year. 💸 #PassiveIncome Portfolio: Down 3%, but with better price gains, dividends are expected to be on par with last year. 📊 High Return Investment Strategy: Experienced a challenging period, with hopes of a market rebound. 🎁 Christmas Market Trends: Historically, Christmas time is favorable for the stock market. Open your free Fidelity Investment account in under 5 minutes, and let's explore your perfect investment #strategy together! Watch the full #video here: https://lnkd.in/e3upzPSe

"Contrition" The peanut gallery has finally come around to the realization that perpetually pressing the 'cut now' narrative was terribly short-sighted, but I guess that's why they aren't part of decision-making bodies outside of their HOAs. Those bodies require a different mindset than the average person can muster. The average American, at least, is constitutionally incapable of thinking beyond themselves and delaying gratification. #TheTragedyOfTheCommons #TheMarshmallowTest There remain a few holdouts who subversively sneak in 'the borrowers, what about the borrowers?' and 'what inflation?' as if #JPow and the rest of us won't notice, but in every #groupthink environment there will always be people who refuse to let an idea go, in spite of overwhelming evidence. #HigherForLonger As we learned from the 70's, inflation is a battle more like invading Afghanistan than bombing Hiroshima. After his brief #SantaPowell flirtation with 'historically rapid disinflation', #JPow seems to have accepted his fate, and while cutting #QT is inflationary, at least for asset prices, the rest of the private economy will continue to moan and whine about refunding at historically normal rates. That's the funny thing about expectations: they are sticky and difficult to move once set. Spend 15 years with #ZIRP and #QE and everyone begins to think it's the norm. It reminds one of the phrase 'poverty hurts more after being rich'. #FormerlyRichPeopleStories The notions that have been bandied about, 'to avoid inflation, simply stop spending' and '3% ain't so bad', belie a society that has increasingly become monetized. Food, water, shelter, clothing, and energy are non-optional spending items, and the more people have become reliant on distant others for those provisions, the more painful any inflation has become. Worse, the historical outcomes of letting inflation run have never been good for the state. #LetThemEatCake #Revolutions #Stagflation #Hyperinflation #JPow hinted at what should be his, and everyone's biggest concern: the risk of market turmoil due to the balance sheet drawdown. There will come a point, by my estimate ~$7 trillion, where the liquidity suck of #QT will begin to cause breaks in short-term funding markets, which will inevitably cause the Fed to reverse course and re-initiate some form of #QE to save the financial system. As Fed followers well know, that point is not far away. It's why those idiots at the FOMC should have avoided balance sheet expansion after 2011. There was no avoiding the coming outcome once they released that particular Kraken. #BlameTheFed #EndTheFed #Altcurrencies #Crypto #Bullion #Commodities

To be taken with a grain of salt (comparing apples to oranges), but a good approximation.

If the monetary base is increasing despite one of the most restrictive monetary policies in history, what should one expect in a recession? We probably all know the answer for that. It’s imperative to own hard assets in my view.

Investors will need to seek #options for #riskmanagement and #income. #HedgedEquity #EnhancedDividendIncome #OptionsBasedStrategies

The wheels are beginning to come off in the Treasury market. When compounded by unwinding in Commercial Real Estate (NBER - "Work From Home and Real Estate Apocalypse"), big banks like Bank of America are teetering ($130B in unrealized losses), soaring energy costs (ME oil embargo underway), housing foreclosures (up 28% in Q3), and Geo-Political wars converge a perfect storm is brewing. The Fed is trapped and even MSM commentators sense it. All markets are governed by supply and demand. Ultimately, there must be buyers for government debt, for housing inventory, for S&P stock, for retail products etc. Where are the buyers? Foreigners (China, Japan, Saudi Arabia) are net sellers of US Treasuries, and will likely begin to unwind about $32T in dollar denominated debt (commercial banks, stocks etc.). Millennials - the largest generation numerically - are broke ($5T net worth compared to Baby Boomers at $55T). Commercial banks, Pension funds, and investment houses are under water after decades of mismanagement and misallocation of capital under Zero Interest Rate Policy (ZIRP). In short, the "Everything Bubble" has popped and no one sensible is left to buy. Trouble ahead. https://lnkd.in/e6w_HFqC #financialcrisis #bankingcrisis #geopolitics

How will lower than expected tax revenue impact financial markets in the long-term? Learn more from Zion's Director of Investment Management for Wealth and Fiduciary Services in this Market Moment video update! #ZionsBanker