Some new data around voter predictions for the #2024election Patrick Toomey
NEW DATA FROM BSG: Voters are slightly more likely to believe Trump will win in 2024, but that belief is driving Independents to want a Congress that will be a check on Trump.
Always interesting to see how the views of voters ebb and flow. Since we have been engaging with thousands of individuals since before the 2020 election, we have a unique perspective of how individuals are shifting versus comparisons of broad groups. Big shout out to Zoe Beuzelin for taking the lead on this piece. And keep an eye out for updates post-debate. #2024election #Trump #Biden #data
Last week we released a look at how 2020 Biden and Trump voters are viewing the rematch in 2024 and how many are contemplating changing their votes four years later. As a little bit of a teaser we will be releasing data over the next few days looking at the results post debate. You can sign up at the link if you are interested in getting these updates right away. #2024election #Biden #Trump https://lnkd.in/epc7xsX3
63.7% of American voters say they don't approve of Biden's policies. Join CMO Ericka McCoy for a walk-through of this and other data in our new Summer 2024 Voter Trends Report on 6/18. Learn key voter priorities and how to use them to refine your campaign strategy and win in 2024. Register: https://lnkd.in/gFMgXv4e 🗳️ #Webinar #2024Election #VoterInsights
Our latest tracking of the 2024 U.S. general election finds Trump and Biden tied among independents as of 3/31 (34% to 34%) in a hypothetical head-to-head, marking the first time since Nov. 2023 that Trump has not led Biden among that group. Beyond that, Biden has also notched minor gains in favorability, and is currently seeing a slightly better net favorability rating (6 points underwater) than Trump (8 points underwater) for the first time since mid-January. More broadly, the race remains incredibly close with slim margins on many fronts, and we advise monitoring these and other datapoints carefully (and interpreting them cautiously) given that election day remains a ways away. You can find our latest tracking of the race, along with key datapoints --- now available for download across various voter subgroups beyond those visualized on our tracker page --- here: https://lnkd.in/ehK4dYbK
WHAT DO GEORGIA VOTERS THINK POST-DEBATE? We know what the commentators all think about the debate, but what do voters actually think? Here is some insight into Georgia voters: https://lnkd.in/ekvrTidP
Last week's presidential debate sparked speculation about shifts in voter support. Our analysis compares a highly engaged debate audience with 2024 likely voters, revealing different perceptions of Biden and Trump. See the full infographic for insights: https://lnkd.in/gsfqZrAC #Trump #Biden #PresidentialDebate #VoterData
🇺🇲 📣 Get ready for the 2024 Presidential Election! The race to the The White House is heating up, and so are the betting odds! 📚 💡 In this guide, we break down everything you need to know, from candidate odds to how these numbers are calculated: https://lnkd.in/drhXYgeK #Election2024 #BettingOdds #2024PresidentialRace #Politics #responsiblegambling
Passionate Advocate for Feminist Causes | Skilled in Research, Policy & Advocacy | Dedicated to Shaping a More Inclusive Future | Exploring Fantasy Worlds 🐉 & Non-Fiction Realities 📚
💡Deprivation and low voter turnout are significantly related. Read my research piece on the John Smith Centre research blog to learn more about the differing degrees of voter turnout in the #GeneralElection.
🗳️"The percentages of change in voter turnout are striking: whereas the drop in least deprived areas is around 5%, it’s more than double that in the most deprived areas with 11%." We have looked at voter turnout in the 30 most and least deprived constituencies. The results are significant. 📽️Listen below to what some voters have to say about their voting behaviour and learn more about our analysis here: https://lnkd.in/eJGrD324
Beyond targeting your first party data and the voter file, there are a ton of other data points that can give us insight into what drives voters to support one candidate over the other. We talk about many of those things in the report linked below, and I'd love to chat with you about how we can help you connect with these individuals with the right message in the places they frequent. Let's talk!
In a close race between Republicans and Democrats, consumer habits might just be the extra set of data needed to effectively target the highly coveted swing and undecided voters. This and more in our just released 2024 Political Report. https://lnkd.in/eh_r3EZg
An opinion poll and an exit poll are both tools used to gauge public opinion, but they serve different purposes and are conducted at different times in the election process: 1. #Opinion Poll: - Timing: Conducted before an election. - Purpose: To measure the voting intentions and preferences of the electorate in advance of the election. It helps predict how people might vote. - Method: Typically involves surveys conducted by phone, online, or in-person with a sample of the population. - Usage: Used by political parties, media, and researchers to understand public sentiment and trends leading up to the election. 2. Exit Poll: - Timing: Conducted on election day, immediately after voters have cast their ballots. - Purpose: To determine how people actually voted in the election. It helps predict the outcome of the election before official results are available. - Method: Involves asking voters who are leaving polling stations to disclose how they voted. - Usage: Used by media and analysts to provide early indications of the election results and to understand voter behavior. In summary, an opinion poll predicts voting intentions before the election, while an exit poll assesses actual voting behavior on election day. #leadership #exitpoll
With a big election year coming up, it’s more important than ever for local politicians to be on top of technology in order to reach young voters. Check out our latest blog with tips on how to engage with next gen voters! #LiveStreaming #PoliticalEngagment
