Centre for Security, Diplomacy and Strategy’s Post

❗️CSDS In-Depth Paper❗️ "Modernise, Expand or Complement? NATO’s Nuclear Posture in the Post-2022 Strategic Environment", by Robert Bell Read here🔸 https://lnkd.in/eAjCCknB

Analysis: Not More, But More Assured: Optimising US Nuclear Posture A qualitative rather than quantitative response may well be more effective for US nuclear posture, while also allowing the US to hold the ethical high ground as a responsible actor.

The nuclear calculus is changing and the traditional approach of arms control seems to be wavering with implications for Asia. How can Washington continue to assure Seoul and Tokyo that the nuclear umbrella would hold? New policies will have to be considered, some that were not possible prior.

NEW #GrandTamasha🛰️ Ankit Panda joins Milan Vaishnav to analyze key developments in India's nuclear strategy and missile program, as well its position in the Indo-Pacific's new missile age. LISTEN NOW: https://bit.ly/3TRizHB

Well, I'm still skeptical, but the WAPO article does say: "The capability is a nuclear-armed — not a nuclear-powered — weapon, said two U.S. officials, who like others familiar with the intelligence spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive information." OST (to which Russia is a party) states: "Article IV States Parties to the Treaty undertake not to place in orbit around the Earth any objects carrying nuclear weapons or any other kinds of weapons of mass destruction, install such weapons on celestial bodies, or station such weapons in outer space in any other manner." The ASAT reporting would suggest it is NOT: - An EMP vs the CONUS - A Orbital Bombardment system vs land. So then the question would be: - Counter-constellation within the Van Allen Belts? (indiscriminate & deterrent) - Counter NC3 / MW in GEO? (suicide kamikaze...but limited range of effects) Of course, such a weapon need not be coorbital...it could just be configured and kept on the ground ready to launch like an ICBM.

Nearly 70 years later, the scars remain. This May 22 at 6 PM EDT, learn about the enduring effects of nuclear testing in the Marshall Islands and how the Marshallese are fighting for justice. Join us for a vital discussion. uusc.org/nuclearlegacy

Detailed modeling of nuclear targeting, missile trajectories, blasts and the electromagnetic pulse, and of how black carbon smoke is produced, lofted and spread across the globe, altering the climate and causing mass starvation. #nuclearwar #russia #putin #election2024 https://lnkd.in/d4xnEJGa

And the story continues to unfold. Regardless of what facts emerge in this case and which expert happens to get it right, two things are undeniable: 1. Actions related to space in today’s era are complicated, even without the confusion of security classification. 2. Space and space security are strategically vital in our interconnected world!

Are we in danger of the nuclear loop being automated? As nuclear powers grapple with the advent of AI, questions remain about how much of a role automated system should play in the nuclear chain of command and the control of advanced weapon systems. Experts Michael Depp and Paul Scharre join hosts Jon Wolfsthal and Heather Williams to share concerns about AI and nuclear stability and the ways that governments are rising to the challenge. https://ow.ly/BQNF50QsHNX

Are we in danger of the nuclear loop being automated? As nuclear powers grapple with the advent of AI, questions remain about how much of a role automated system should play in the nuclear chain of command and the control of advanced weapon systems. Experts Michael Depp and Paul Scharre join hosts Jon Wolfsthal and Heather Williams to share concerns about AI and nuclear stability and the ways that governments are rising to the challenge. https://ow.ly/BQNF50QsHNX