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Is it time to reexamine China?   In February 2024, we published our thoughts to our clients right after the leadership change of the CSRC (the stock market regulator) on Lunar New Year’s Eve, it is rare to see a leadership change and a strong signal of the shift of Xi’s priorities. Since then, the MSCI China Index was up nearly 20% from the bottom, the Chinese market has technically entered a bull market that few investors thought possible just some months ago. Last week, we hosted a small allocator dinner in San Francisco where we kicked off with the singular question – is China un-investable? One attendee asked if that is still even a question. Yet, there are many nuanced questions at this time: - Are investors all of a sudden changing from “can’t have it” to “can’t miss it”? - What drove the latest market rally and subsequent about-face in investor sentiment? - Who is actually buying Chinese equities right now? (offshore markets significantly outperformed the onshore markets) - Last but not the least, how long will it last this time? With these questions on our mind, we wrote a short piece to summarize and elaborate on our observations from the intel we collected from global allocators, global fund managers, local fund managers, and prime brokers. In short, we concluded that it’s less about the China self-recovery but more about the alternatives (e.g., Japan, India, etc.) are self-deteriorating. Interested in reading the piece? Reach out to irteam@clocktowergroup.com

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