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We just wrapped up our recent China client trip, covering six major cities – Shanghai, Hangzhou, Beijing, Fuzhou, Xiamen, and Ningde – and meeting with a wide range of onshore policymakers, local allocators, academics, fund managers, and corporate CEOs. A few things we noticed while on-the-ground: - On the geopolitical front the most encouraging message we consistently heard during the trip was that China certainly does not want to decouple from the US. A senior policymaker even told us that President Xi made a statement at the recent Central Financial Work Conference that “the US wants to decouple from us, but we will do the exact opposite to prevent the decoupling.” This statement is significant, indicating that Beijing may go to great lengths to stabilize the bilateral relations over the course of 2024. - Emerging investment themes surrounding Chinese companies’ global expansion efforts and additional ideas surrounding lessons learned from Japan’s lost decade. Also, many onshore managers are embracing high dividend yield strategies due to China’s macro malaise and the global high rate environment. - From an economic perspective, in the near-term, Beijing has adopted a data dependent approach in terms of providing support to the economy. Most policymakers we spoke with assured us that there will be more stimulus measures if the economy further weakens. A senior policymaker even said that there will be more issuance of central government bonds similar to the recent one trillion issuance if the economic condition warrants. However, onshore fund managers are generally concerned about this approach as it suggests that Beijing will continue to stay behind the market curve, which would only hurt, rather than boost, investor confidence. Over the medium to long-term, Beijing remains firmly committed to achieving China’s economic transformation, which requires shifting resources from the old-economy industries (real estate and property) to innovation-oriented sectors such as advanced manufacturing and green technologies. Please reach out to irteam@clocktowergroup.com if you’re interested in more insights from our trip. Steve Drobny Wei Liu Kaiwen Wang Qianqi Liao Sherry Wei

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Derek Drummond, CAIA

Funds Alpha Manager at State Of Wisconsin Investment Board

10mo

Incredible trip, learned a TON. The access and network you provided helped us refine our views on the region like no one else could.

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