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Market momentum slowed last week. Still, the economy shows resilience. In the event of short-term volatility, traders adopt adaptive strategies. Key Newsletter Takeaways: 1️⃣ Breadth weaker, but not enough to derail optimistic outlooks. 2️⃣ Rate cuts likely, with more decisive actions if >10% pullback. 3️⃣ In low chance of higher rates, artificial volatility suppression. 4️⃣ Traders hedge downside with VIX call options for protection.  5️⃣ For more trade ideas, see the newsletter link attached below. #MarketUpdate #TradingStrategies #InvestingInsights https://lnkd.in/erb733hX

The Morning Market report - 7 Feb. 2024 Wall Street gains, #ASX set to rise. Insights on Fed's rate cut timeline, ASX futures, #EuropeanMarket trends, and global commodities. Plus, a special report on the global commercial #property downturn and China A Shares resilience. Subscribe to our Morning Report eNewsletter to receive overnight market summaries and market-moving news from our Wealth Management team, enabling you to stay on top of markets, save time and make better investment decisions. Stay ahead of market moves with our daily reports! Learn More: https://lnkd.in/gZ36E8wh #MarketUpdate #InvestmentInsights

Fear and Greed Index: This index reflects the major emotions of traders at certain times. It's an indicator showing the predominant emotions of market traders over a specified period. The index can range from zero to one hundred. The closer it is to zero, the more fear there is in the market, indicating a potential loss of capital. Conversely, when it approaches one hundred, it indicates prices have risen sharply, and traders are driven by greed. While trading in digital currencies is based on various analyses and strategies, research has shown that a significant portion of traders make decisions based on emotions. For example, when the market is bullish and prices are at their peak, even those who have made good profits may become greedy, often resulting in heavy losses. On the other hand, during severe market downturns, many individuals experience intense fear, worrying about the destruction of their capital. The best way to gauge the predominant emotions of traders is through the Fear and Greed Index. When we observe extreme greed in the digital currency market, it can be a signal to exit because often, when this index is in a state of extreme greed, we see price corrections. Conversely, when the market is in a state of extreme fear, it indicates an opportunity to enter. However, it's not always possible to buy and sell solely based on this index. In fact, when the market is in a state of extreme fear or greed, it may continue for days or weeks. Therefore, you can't base your analysis and trading positions solely on this index, but you can consider it as an influential factor during your trades. This index is influenced by six reputable sources: volatility, trading volume, social networks, surveys, dominance, and trends. Based on the figure below, it can be said that Numbers 0-25 indicate extreme fear in the market and a good time to buy. Numbers 25-50 indicate moderate fear in the market. Number 50 indicates fear, greed, and low price growth. Numbers 50-75 indicate market greed and moderate price growth. Numbers 75-100 indicate excessive greed, significant price growth, and the possibility of price collapse. Do you think the benefits of using this method outweigh the drawbacks? Why? #technicalanalysis #cripto #sentimentanalysis

USD/JPY in Consolidation Stage but Fed Decision May Spark Big Directional Move This article focuses on the USD/JPY technical outlook ahead of the Fed decision, highlighting important price levels that could serve as resistance or support in the near term.

01/08 Energy Prices Stumble To Start The Week Increase Read more in our Morning Minutes, a daily update on the day's market news https://lnkd.in/gaUYN_E3 #investing #morningminutes #siawealth #economy #stocks #PMI

The US futures index is too weak. Is there something that investors are unaware of that the futures index is weak despite the short-term plunge? Or is there an inherent problem in the market? Let's watch the market today.

💆♂️ Markets Calm Ahead of US Data 💹 Yen Still in Focus for FX Traders Ahead of Data 🌐 Markets Poised for Volatility Today Read full article here 👇

Challenging market conditions in July reminded us of the importance of discipline. Despite setbacks in currencies and stocks, the year-to-date gains prove the value of a long-term approach. Read our July 2024 report for the full breakdown! https://lnkd.in/dJGj8prX

October forex seasonals: It's harvest time. (01.10.24) What are the seasonal patterns in financial markets for October 2024? When markets open up on Tuesday, it will be October. Notably, Chinese markets will be open Monday as the Chinese Communist Party celebrates 75 years in power. From there, Chinese equity markets will be closed for the remainder of the week. That's an important detail because China has been rolling out stimulus measures and leaks about further stimulus measures. That turn had goosed risk assets this week and led to a 10% rally in Chinese equities in the best 4-day stretch since 2020. Looking back at September, the month initially followed the seasonal pattern of equity market weakness perfectly. After peaking on the final trading day of August, the S&P 500 fell 3.3% on September 11. From there though, the market fell in love with the idea of a 50 basis point Fed cut and Powell delivered. That led to a strong rally in the back half of the month to new all-time highs. Outside of stocks, it wasn't great but there was some success. Gold is generally weak in September and the strength instead I take it as yet-another sign of underlying demand for gold. Oil did follow the script as it's a September dog and fell nearly 10%. The good news is that it's all about to change. October is a positive month for most risk assets and the start of a nice two-month trend for global equities. • 10-year Treasury yields rise more in Oct than another other month • Fourth best month for the S&P 500 • Third best month for the Nasdaq • Second best month for the MSCI World Index • Third-best month for AUD • Third-weakest month for EUR • Weakest month of the year for oil Note that the S&P 500 comes into October on a five-month winning streak and up in 10 of the past 11 months. #affinmoneybrokers

HBZ Market Summary: What Happened Last Week? Few weeks significantly influence market narrative, and last week was one of those pivotal moments. The Fed reduced interest rates by an unusually large 0.5%, marking a crucial turning point in the monetary policy cycle. - US and Japanese equity markets responded the most euphorically to the Feds’ jumbo rate cut with the S&P 500 reaching yet another all-time high. - The week then ended on a softer note as investors reflected on the wider market and economic context. - US Treasury yields declined at the front-end on the Fed rate cut and further easing expectations but moved moderately higher for maturities of two years and longer. The 10-year yield moved back above 3.75%. - Credit spreads tightened for all major sectors. Renewed JPY weakness limited the downside for the trade-weighted USD while gold reached yet another all-time high, trading for the first time above USD 2’600/oz. - Crude oil (Brent) recovered to above USD 74/bbl. on renewed tensions in the Middle East. Asset Classes: What do we like? Currencies & commodities - The jumbo Fed rate cut provides additional support for gold near-term. - Renewed tensions in the Middle East could lift oil short-term but fundamentals remain challenging. Equities - Forecasts for annual earnings growth remain elevated (9.4% for 2024 and 14.4% for 2025) creating downside risks in case of weaker growth. - Equal-weighted investments diversify idiosyncratic risks of the highly concentrated market indices. Fixed Income - The US easing cycle should accelerate the normalization of the yield curve as term premium returns. - EM bonds to benefit from lower Fed rates, weaker USD.