D-sides Working Solutions’ Post

Today, the Bipartisan Policy Center, the States United Democracy Center, and the Integrity Institute released new survey results exploring how Americans consume, assess, and engage with election information in 2024. TL;DR - Americans learn about elections primarily through television and social media. Authoritative sources may struggle to break through or create universal narratives amidst a crowded information environment. We also explore Americans' opinions on content moderation, cooperation between social media companies and government, and more. Read the full piece here: https://lnkd.in/eXCRgbhb

  Many political pundits are saying that this election (in the UK) will see more tactical voting than ever. This is a nice example of decision making that wants to be data driven but cannot just rely on past patterns to predict the future. To be more precise, the naïve, excel citizen will just take past election results as a guide. There are patterns to analyse and the interesting ones are how poles faired in the past and what drives their accuracy.   Nigel Marriott discusses in his blog post https://lnkd.in/eK_BVh5q the impact of attendance on the trust we can assign to a pole result and how to correct for it locally.   It is likely that the tactical voting recommendation sites will be publishing fresh guidance withing a couple of days - I am waiting with hand poised over keyboard: https://tactical.vote/ https://lnkd.in/eJZMEbcT StopTheTories.Vote   Please do share with me other tactical voting sites :-)

As the UK heads to the polls today for the 2024 General Election, many of us are grappling with a dilemma: 🙄 What do you do when none of the major parties align with your values? 😐 The latest polls show The Labour Party leading by 18 points over the Conservatives. Despite clear front-runners, the real question is: What happens if we feel disconnected from all options? 😩 Did you know voter turnout in the UK has been fluctuating, with the 2019 election seeing a 67.3% turnout? This highlights a significant issue - political engagement is crucial for democracy, yet many of us feel voting is about choosing the lesser of two evils rather than a hopeful endorsement of a better future. 😵 📊 Polling Data Highlights 🤷♂️ Labour Party: Leading the polls with robust support among younger voters aged 18-24. Conservative Party: Trailing behind, struggling to sway public opinion in key areas. The last ditch National service plea topped of with the Boris both backfired 🚧 Voter Sentiment: Many share a sense of disillusionment with the current political landscape. So, what should we do when neither party represents our values? ❔ Here are a few perspectives to consider: ✔ Vote for a Minor Party: Supporting smaller parties can highlight the need for broader representation. ✔ Spoil Your Ballot: A way to be counted without endorsing any candidate. Engage Beyond Voting: Democracy extends beyond the ballot box. ✔ Participate in local initiatives, voice your concerns, and drive community-level change. Your right to vote is powerful. 💪 Questioning how to best use it is equally valid. 🗣 Let's continue this conversation—HOW! do you decide who gets your vote? #UKElections #GeneralElection2024 #VotingMatters #PoliticalEngagement #DemocracyInAction

Election 2024: How Voters Describe the Trump-Biden Rematch in One Word: To dig into the complex views voters have about the upcoming rematch, we asked poll respondents to describe their fe... https://lnkd.in/diNduRa4

The next eight months will be interesting, to say the least. My latest.

Interesting compilation of state polls for the Presidential Election by “Race to the White House” website. 270 Electoral College votes are needed to win. At this point in time, President Biden can reasonably count on 226 votes, according to racetothewh.com. He needs to win 44 more votes out of 61 remaining votes from 5 states that are too close to call. Recent polls indicate that former President Trump is leading in those 5 states: Trump +1 in Pennsylvania, 19 votes; Trump +1.4 pts in Wisconsin, 10 votes; Trump + 2 pts in Michigan, 15 votes; Trump +3.8 pts in Arizona, 11 votes; Trump +4.1 pts in Nevada, 6 votes.

We’ve seen in the primaries voters who are turning out but not voting for Biden or Trump. But what about general election voters? 20-25 million voters may skip the presidential ballot when they turnout to vote in November. Potentially historic. Who are they, why, and what are the implications? The results surprised us, too. Read our latest poll on the impact this could have with coalitions and down ballot issues. #insights #elections #2024election

The Electoral College decides election outcomes on a state level, emphasizing the importance of focusing on state polls. Prioritize battleground state polls over national ones for a more accurate representation of final results. My commentary in Rasmussen Reports. Forget the National Polls – It’s the Battleground State Polls that Count!

‘DECLINE IN TRUST’ ELECTION SURVEY RESPONSIBILITY: ‘MRS’ CEO WRITES TO POLITICIANS This is due to regular complaints about the way politicians use research in the run up to elections. Here is what Market Research Society CEO Jane Frost had to say: “Research data shows that there has been a decline in trust in politics and politicians over the past few years. “It must be the wish of everyone to ensure trust in politicians, politics and our civil institutions be not further eroded by campaigning actions taken by any party or individual.” A timely reminder in the lead up to the UK’s upcoming general election on 4th July. Check out the Research Live article for more details. https://lnkd.in/eTFB7pZM #research #election #data #marketresearch #janefrost #surveys #survey #surveysoftware

"Look at these giant gaps in answers by Democrats and Republicans when they're asked what matters in next year's elections. The question in the AP/NORC Center poll of 1,074 adults (margin of error: ±4 points): "Thinking about the 2024 presidential election, how important do you think the outcome of the election will be for each of the following?" There are also some big overlaps: Three-quarters of respondents said the outcome of the election will be important for the economy. Two-thirds say that about government spending, and the future of democracy in the U.S."