Happy New Year from FXGuard! 🎉 As we step into 2025, we want to extend our heartfelt gratitude to all our partners, clients, and supporters for a remarkable 2024. Your trust and collaboration have been the cornerstone of our journey. To kick off the year, we’re sharing an important analysis of currency volatility in 2024 and its implications for businesses engaged in global trade. Key Highlights on Currency Volatility in 2024 1) Currency Volatility Across the Board: Businesses trading with the UK’s global partners faced notable currency volatility in 2024, with some pairs seeing extreme swings: - GBPTRY (Turkish Lira): Recorded the highest volatility, with a 21.62% max variation, despite a +17.7% annual performance. - GBPJPY (Japanese Yen): A strong annual performance of +9.11% with 14.40% max variation, showing sensitivity to global macroeconomic changes. - GBPNOK (Norwegian Krone): Delivered a +9.28% annual gain with slightly higher max variation of 9.63% 2) Annual Performance vs. Max Variation: The annual currency performance shows the overall trend, but it’s the max variation (largest swings) that impacts businesses the most. For instance: - GBPUSD had a modest -1.92% annual decline, but its 8.64% max variation exposed businesses to significant risk at specific times. - GBPEUR demonstrated stability with +4.71% annual performance and a low 4.85% max variation, offering relative safety for Eurozone trade. Businesses must prepare for volatility, as large swings can disrupt pricing, cash flow, and margins, regardless of annual trends. 3) 2024 Is Not an Indicator for 2025: - Currency trends in 2024 are no guarantee of similar stability or volatility in 2025. - Low-volatility pairs like GBPEUR and GBPDKK in 2024 may see unexpected swings. Conversely, high-volatility pairs like GBPTRY or GBPJPY may stabilise in the year ahead. This unpredictability reinforces the importance of robust FX risk management strategies to safeguard businesses from adverse movements. 📊 Please see Attached how main UK Trade partners currencies performed in 2024 on an annual basis as well as their maximum variation during the same 1 year period in 2024 At FXGuard, we empower SMEs to navigate currency risks effectively by providing tools that help monitor and mitigate volatility. Let’s face 2025 with confidence and resilience! Here's to a prosperous and stable 2025 for all! 🥂 #FXGuard #CurrencyVolatility #FXRiskManagement #HappyNewYear2025
FXGuard Limited’s Post
More Relevant Posts
-
Wishing all my connections a Happy and Prosperous New Year! 🎉 2024 showed us that currency volatility, not just annual trends, drives business risk, with max variations disrupting pricing and cash flow. As we step into 2025, let’s stay prepared and resilient with robust FX risk strategies! #FXGuard #CurrencyVolatility #HappyNewYear2025
Happy New Year from FXGuard! 🎉 As we step into 2025, we want to extend our heartfelt gratitude to all our partners, clients, and supporters for a remarkable 2024. Your trust and collaboration have been the cornerstone of our journey. To kick off the year, we’re sharing an important analysis of currency volatility in 2024 and its implications for businesses engaged in global trade. Key Highlights on Currency Volatility in 2024 1) Currency Volatility Across the Board: Businesses trading with the UK’s global partners faced notable currency volatility in 2024, with some pairs seeing extreme swings: - GBPTRY (Turkish Lira): Recorded the highest volatility, with a 21.62% max variation, despite a +17.7% annual performance. - GBPJPY (Japanese Yen): A strong annual performance of +9.11% with 14.40% max variation, showing sensitivity to global macroeconomic changes. - GBPNOK (Norwegian Krone): Delivered a +9.28% annual gain with slightly higher max variation of 9.63% 2) Annual Performance vs. Max Variation: The annual currency performance shows the overall trend, but it’s the max variation (largest swings) that impacts businesses the most. For instance: - GBPUSD had a modest -1.92% annual decline, but its 8.64% max variation exposed businesses to significant risk at specific times. - GBPEUR demonstrated stability with +4.71% annual performance and a low 4.85% max variation, offering relative safety for Eurozone trade. Businesses must prepare for volatility, as large swings can disrupt pricing, cash flow, and margins, regardless of annual trends. 3) 2024 Is Not an Indicator for 2025: - Currency trends in 2024 are no guarantee of similar stability or volatility in 2025. - Low-volatility pairs like GBPEUR and GBPDKK in 2024 may see unexpected swings. Conversely, high-volatility pairs like GBPTRY or GBPJPY may stabilise in the year ahead. This unpredictability reinforces the importance of robust FX risk management strategies to safeguard businesses from adverse movements. 📊 Please see Attached how main UK Trade partners currencies performed in 2024 on an annual basis as well as their maximum variation during the same 1 year period in 2024 At FXGuard, we empower SMEs to navigate currency risks effectively by providing tools that help monitor and mitigate volatility. Let’s face 2025 with confidence and resilience! Here's to a prosperous and stable 2025 for all! 🥂 #FXGuard #CurrencyVolatility #FXRiskManagement #HappyNewYear2025
To view or add a comment, sign in
-
-
🌍 In today’s unpredictable FX market, Kyriba stands out by delivering robust solutions that empower CFOs and financial professionals. As detailed in a recent article from the Treasurer Magazine, Kyriba's advanced cloud-based platform provides real-time FX risk management and optimal hedging strategies, significantly enhancing the precision and predictability of financial outcomes. Dive into the full article to discover how Kyriba is helping businesses navigate the complexities of the global market. #Finance #RiskManagement #FXSolutions #Kyriba https://lnkd.in/dm9pTFbT
To view or add a comment, sign in
-
Always good to go back to first principles every now and then. Which is why we've updated this piece with some great numbers, tables and diagrams. Take a look for a quick refresher on: - What currency risk is exactly. - Different types of currency risk. - Understanding how much currency risk you have. - Whether currency risk is worth solving? - Typical solutions.
To view or add a comment, sign in
-
🌍 **Harness the Power of Derivatives to Mitigate Exchange Rate Risk with Banco Monex** 🌍 In today’s global economy, businesses are often exposed to volatility in currency exchange rates. Derivatives offer strategic advantages to mitigate these risks effectively. Here are the key benefits: 1. **Risk Reduction:** Protect your profits from unfavorable currency fluctuations by locking in exchange rates with forward contracts or options. 2. **Cost Control:** Ensure predictability in cash flow, which aids in budgeting and financial planning by stabilizing costs. 3. **Competitive Edge:** Provide reliable pricing to international clients, enhancing your firm’s position in global markets. 4. **Strategic Flexibility:** Customize hedging strategies to suit specific business needs, ensuring alignment with your financial goals. 5. **Informed Decisions:** Improve insight into potential financial exposure, enabling strategic and informed decision-making. Choosing to operate derivatives with 💫Banco Monex💫ensures expert support and tailored solutions to effectively manage your currency risks. Contact us to learn how a customized hedging strategy can benefit your business. #CurrencyRisk #Derivatives #RiskManagement #BusinessFinance #ExchangeRates #Monex 🌍 **利用衍生工具的力量通过Monex银行来缓解汇率风险** 🌍 在当今全球经济中,企业常常面临汇率波动的影响。衍生工具提供了有效缓解这些风险的战略优势。以下是主要优势: 1. **风险降低:** 通过确定远期合约或期权的汇率,保护您的利润免受不利货币波动的影响。 2. **成本控制:** 确保现金流的可预测性,通过稳定成本来帮助预算和财务规划。 3. **竞争优势:** 为国际客户提供可靠的定价,增强您在全球市场的地位。 4. **战略灵活性:** 定制化您的对冲策略,以满足特定业务需求,确保与财务目标一致。 5. **明智决策:** 提高对潜在财务曝光的洞察力,从而做出战略性和明智的决策。 选择与💫Monex银行💫合作进行衍生工具交易,确保获得专业支持和量身定制的解决方案,以有效管理您的货币风险。联系我们,了解量身定制的对冲策略如何使您的企业受益。 #汇率风险 #衍生工具 #风险管理 #企业金融 #汇率 #Monex银行
To view or add a comment, sign in
-
Forex, or the foreign exchange market, is the largest and most liquid financial market in the world, where currencies are traded. Here's a breakdown of how forex works: Basic Concepts Currency Pairs: Forex trading involves buying one currency while simultaneously selling another. Currencies are quoted in pairs, such as EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar), where the first currency is the base currency and the second is the quote currency. The exchange rate indicates how much of the quote currency is needed to purchase one unit of the base currency. Exchange Rates: The exchange rate fluctuates based on supply and demand factors, such as economic indicators, interest rates, political stability, and market speculation. Participants Banks and Financial Institutions: Major banks and financial institutions are the primary players in the forex market, conducting large-scale transactions on behalf of themselves and their clients. Corporations: Companies participate in the forex market to hedge against currency risk or to pay for goods and services in foreign countries. Governments and Central Banks: Central banks can influence forex rates through monetary policy, interest rate adjustments, and interventions aimed at stabilizing their own currency. Individual Traders: Retail traders participate through brokers, trading on price movements for speculative purposes. How Trading Works Market Hours: The forex market operates 24 hours a day, five days a week, due to its global nature. It is divided into major trading sessions: the Tokyo session, the London session, and the New York session. Trading Platforms: Traders use online platforms provided by brokers to execute trades. These platforms offer tools for technical analysis, charting, and real-time news updates. Leverage and Margin: Forex trading often involves leverage, which allows traders to control larger positions with a smaller amount of capital. For example, a leverage of 100:1 means that for every $1,000 in the trader’s account, they can trade up to $100,000. While leverage can amplify gains, it also increases the risk of significant losses. Technical Analysis: Traders use historical price charts and indicators like moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), and Fibonacci retracements to predict future price movements based on past trends and patterns. Position Sizing: Determining the correct amount of capital to risk on each trade to ensure that no single trade can significantly impact the overall trading capital. Conclusion Forex trading is a complex activity that involves understanding the interplay of global economic factors, technical analysis, and risk management strategies. It offers opportunities for profit, but also carries substantial risks, especially due to the leverage used in trading. Aspiring traders should educate themselves thoroughly and consider using demo accounts to practice before trading with real money.
To view or add a comment, sign in
-
-
Learn how the Q1 2024 Currency Impact Report from Kyriba is helping companies understand and prepare for currency volatility. Read more: https://hubs.li/Q02HJRXx0
To view or add a comment, sign in
-
Navigating Currency Risk: A Must-Read for Investors! In today's volatile market, understanding currency risk is crucial for protecting your investments. 🌍💼 Check out this insightful article on how to talk to clients about currency risk and manage it effectively. Learn how to use simple concepts and relatable examples to explain the impact of currency fluctuations on portfolios. 📈💡 Read more here: https://lnkd.in/gCkirrnh #Investing #CurrencyRisk #FinancialPlanning #ClientCommunication
To view or add a comment, sign in
-
### Experience of Trading Both Sides of the Forex Market A few years ago, I tried my hand at forex trading. I aimed to trade both sides of the market, going long on some currency pairs and short on others, hoping to profit regardless of market direction. #### Initial Success At first, things went well. I went long on EUR/USD due to positive Eurozone data and short on GBP/USD amid Brexit concerns. This strategy initially provided a balanced approach, with gains on one side often offsetting losses on the other. #### Challenges and Side Effects 1. **Increased Costs**: Managing multiple positions led to more trades and higher transaction costs. These expenses gradually ate into my profits. 2. **Complex Risk Management**: Constantly adjusting my positions to maintain balance was challenging. The forex market's volatility meant I had to frequently update my strategy, making risk management complicated. 3. **Emotional Strain**: The mental burden of handling both long and short positions was significant. Market moves impacted my positions in different ways, causing confusion and stress. 4. **Limited Gains**: The hedging nature of my strategy meant that strong trends in one direction often resulted in capped profits, as gains in one position were offset by losses in another. 5. **Leverage Risks**: Forex trading involves leverage. Balancing leveraged positions increased the risk of margin calls, especially during volatile periods. #### Why Trade in One Direction? After several months, I shifted to trading in one direction based on my market outlook. Here’s why this worked better: 1. **Simplicity**: Focusing on one direction simplified my strategy. If I expected the euro to rise, I would go long on EUR/USD without balancing it with a short position. 2. **Lower Costs**: Fewer trades meant lower transaction costs, improving overall profitability. 3. **Easier Risk Management**: It was easier to manage risk with a clear, single-direction strategy. I could set stop-loss orders and monitor my positions more effectively. 4. **Emotional Relief**: Trading in one direction reduced stress. I could stick to a clear market view without the confusion of conflicting positions. 5. **Higher Profit Potential**: Committing to a single market direction allowed me to capitalize on trends more effectively, maximizing gains in strong market moves. #### Conclusion Trading both sides of the forex market can hedge against volatility but involves complexities and higher costs. Trading in one direction, based on market outlook, offers a simpler, more cost-effective, and potentially more profitable approach. This strategy allows for better risk management, reduced emotional strain, and the ability to capitalize on market trends.
To view or add a comment, sign in
-
📊 Hedging currency risk is a complex decision process. This is especially true for corporates where there is no well-defined objective function for the FX hedging decision. In our chart of the week, our FX research team plot the expected cost of hedging against spot vol. The chart is taken from a report just published by colleagues from our Deutsche Bank FX research team, Rohini Grover, Ph.D., Oliver Harvey and George Saravelos. In the report they propose a framework for currency hedging, which focuses on the simplest form of hedging, that of future cash flows. Their approach is based on the idea that the objective function for corporates is to minimise currency risk, but subject to cost. Their conclusions are stark: both for US and European exporters, a hedging rule that incorporates past directionality of spot in the hedging decision generates superior outcomes to fully hedging. The FX research team’s results highlight the often under-appreciated importance of one key variable in FX hedging decisions: the directionality of FX spot. Over time, this tends to be more important in determining underlying hedging cost compared to the forward points. A simple hedging rule can help improve outcomes especially during dollar or euro down cycles which are most costly to US and European exporters respectively. ➡️ Subscribers to Deutsche Bank Research can read the full report here: https://lnkd.in/eVZq9xSz #dbresearch #FX #forex #chartoftheweek #fxhedging
To view or add a comment, sign in
-