Halliwell’s Post

📢 Tropical Storm #Francine is forecasted to become a hurricane by Wednesday, posing a risk of life-threatening storm surge for parts of TX & LA. Hurricane-force winds & heavy rainfall may cause flash flooding from Mexico to the Mid-South. Follow local officials & prepare now! ID: Key Messages from the National NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center: 1. Francine is forecast to be a hurricane when it reaches the northwestern Gulf coast on Wednesday or Wednesday night and there is an increasing likelihood of life-threatening storm surge inundation for portions of the Upper Texas and Louisiana coastlines where a Storm Surge Watch is in effect. Residents in the watch area should follow advice given by local officials. 2. There is an increasing risk of damaging hurricane-force winds in portions of southern Louisiana beginning Wednesday, where a Hurricane Watch is now in effect. 3. Francine is expected to bring heavy rainfall and the risk of considerable flash flooding along the coast of far northeast Mexico, portions of the southernmost Texas coast, the Upper Texas Coast, southern Louisiana, and southern Mississippi into Thursday morning. A risk of flash and urban flooding exists across portions of the Mid-South from Wednesday into Friday morning.

11am Saturday (8-3) Tropical Depression 4 UPDATE from NHC (NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center) Not much has changed since previous update, but what jumps out at you when you look at the forecast cone is how slow the storm moves next week. This will prolong impacts in Florida, Georgia, SC and NC. Here are the latest key messages from NHC. For us, #4 is most important. I could see Tropical Storm Watches issued for us later today. 1. Heavy rainfall will likely result in locally considerable flash and urban flooding across portions of Florida and the coastal areas of the Southeast this weekend through Thursday morning. River flooding is also expected. 2. Hurricane conditions are possible late Sunday in portions of the Florida Gulf Coast and Big Bend region where a Hurricane Watch is in effect. Tropical storm conditions are expected farther south along Florida’s west coast, including the Tampa Bay area, and in the Dry Tortugas where Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect. 3. There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge inundation along portions of the west coast of Florida from Aripeka to the Aucilla River. Life-threatening storm surge is possible west of Aucilla River to Indian Pass and south of Aripeka to Bonita Beach, including Tampa Bay and Charlotte Harbor. 4. Impacts from storm surge, strong winds, and heavy rains are possible elsewhere in Florida and along the southeast coast of the United States from Georgia to North Carolina through the middle of next week, and interests in those areas should continue to monitor the progress of this system. Additional watches and warnings will likely be required later today.

Hurricane Milton UPDATE…. Milton is now a Category 5 Hurricane with winds of 160 mph! Models do indicate a bit of a weakening trend before landfall in FL on Wednesday, not before significant impacts will affect especially the west coast of Florida. Here are the latest Key Messages from NHC… 1. Damaging hurricane-force winds are expected across portions ofthe northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula. A life-threatening storm surge with damaging waves is also likely along portions of the northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula. 2. There is an increasing risk of life-threatening storm surge and damaging winds for portions of the west coast of the Florida Peninsula beginning Tuesday night or early Wednesday. Storm Surge and Hurricane Watches are now in effect for portions of the west coast of the Florida Peninsula and residents in that area should follow any advice given by local officials and evacuate if told to do so. 3. Areas of heavy rainfall will impact portions of Florida today well ahead of Milton, with heavy rainfall more directly related to the system expected later on Tuesday through Wednesday night. This rainfall will bring the risk of considerable flash, urban, and areal flooding, along with the potential for moderate to major river flooding. For our potential impacts, the thinking remains the same. See earlier discussion this morning….

As Hurricane Beryl makes landfall in Texas, it’s a crucial reminder of the power and unpredictability of storms. Alongside high winds and heavy rain, storm surges are one of the most dangerous threats during a hurricane. What is a Storm Surge? A storm surge is an abnormal rise in seawater level caused by strong storm winds pushing water onshore. This can lead to severe flooding, property damage, and can be life-threatening. Storm Surge Planning Zones: Understanding your storm surge planning zone is essential for effective preparation. Here’s what you can do: *Stay Informed: Determine your storm surge planning zone and keep updated with weather forecasts and alerts. *Prepare Your Property: Use sandbags, elevate furniture, and secure important documents. *Have a Plan: Know your evacuation routes based on your zone and have a communication strategy. *After the Storm: If your property is impacted by a storm surge, PuroClean of Aventura, Davie & Downtown Miami is here to help. Our team of experts will respond quickly to mitigate damage, remove water, and restore your home to its pre-storm condition. In the wake of Beryl, let’s stay vigilant and prepared. Your safety is our priority, and we’re committed to supporting our community through any storm. For emergency restoration services, contact PuroClean of Aventura, Davie & Downtown Miami. #HurricaneBeryl #StormSurge #StormSurgePlanningZone #FloodSafety #PuroClean #Aventura #Davie #DowntownMiami #EmergencyRestoration

SATURDAY EVENING NOTES ON TS DEBBY: Tropical Storm Debby is now expected to be a category one hurricane at the time of landfall early Monday morning, with winds of 75 mph. Landfall is expected somewhere around the "Big Bend" region of Florida. Remember, the main wind/rain/storm surge impact will be along and to the right (east) of the circulation center. Little to no impact for Gulf Shores, Pensacola, Destin, and Panama City Beach; they will be on the drier west side of the circulation with an offshore flow. Some rain is certainly possible in these places, but the main issues with wind and rain will be east of Panama City Beach. The hurricane watch begins at Indian Pass, and the hurricane warning begins at the Ochlockonee River, south of Tallahassee. From the latest high resolution model data, it now looks like the most widespread rain associated with Debby will be east of Mexico Beach and Tyndall AFB. This means some heavy rain is possible for places like Cape San Blas and St. George Island tomorrow afternoon through early Monday. But, a slight jog to the east of the current path will mean little rain for these places. Highest risk of hurricane force wind gusts and storm surge flooding will be east of the Ochlockonee River down to the Suwannee River, where the hurricane warning is in effect. As always, this forecast could change, so stay tuned for updates!

🌪️ Tropical Storm Milton Update 🌪️ As we closely monitor Tropical Storm Milton, our thoughts are with everyone in the potential path of the storm. According to the National Hurricane Center, Milton is projected to bring significant impacts to several regions, including heavy rainfall, strong winds, and the possibility of flooding. Here are the latest updates: •Rapid Intensification: Hurricane Milton is forecast to quickly intensify as it moves eastward to northeastward across the Gulf of Mexico. It is expected to reach major hurricane strength by mid-week when it approaches the west coast of the Florida Peninsula. •Potential Impacts: There is an increasing risk of life-threatening storm surge and wind impacts for portions of the west coast of Florida beginning late Tuesday or Wednesday. Residents in these areas should ensure they have their hurricane plan in place and follow any advice given by local officials. •Heavy Rainfall: Areas of heavy rainfall will impact portions of Florida on Sunday and Monday, well ahead of Milton. More heavy rainfall directly related to the system is expected from Tuesday through Wednesday night, bringing risks of flash, urban, and river flooding. At Otter Claim Solutions, we are committed to supporting our clients during these challenging times. Our team is ready to assist with any claims or concerns you may have related to storm damage. Stay safe, stay informed, and don’t hesitate to reach out if you need assistance. We’re here for you. For the latest updates on Tropical Storm Milton, please visit the National Hurricane Center's website at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov #HurricaneMilton #OtterClaimSolutions #CommunitySupport #StaySafe

⚠️Inclement Weather Update⚠️ We’re closely watching Hurricane Milton which is expected to impact our area late Wednesday or early Thursday. The National Hurricane Center predicts it will become a major hurricane today. Landfall is expected Wednesday by Longboat Key. The current track shows the center passing through Lake Alfred where it is expected to take a slight turn to the south and exit the peninsula near Cape Canaveral. After landfall, the storm is predicted to quickly weaken and could be a category 1 storm as it impacts our area. The current track shows us on the weaker side of the storm. We now are predicted to get 6-8″ of rain, with a 40% chance of flash flooding. There is a 50-60% chance of sustained winds of 40mph+ starting Wednesday morning. We want to assure you the safety and comfort of our residents is our top priority. Our dedicated team started over the weekend completing tasks on detailed checklists to ensure we are fully prepared. We have ample food and water and have backup generators for our healthcare areas as required by law. As the storm approaches, there may be watches and warnings issued. A flood watch for our area (for rains not connected to Milton) is in place. We will continue to update this information as the situation changes. As is common with these types of storms, the weather service may issue severe thunderstorm or tornado watches or warnings as these bands move through the area. These are not the same as tropical storm or hurricane watches or warnings. All residents and employees are safe and secure.

A PSA from our City of Weston: Latest Forecast As of October 8, 2024 at 6:00 p.m.  Hurricane Milton is back up to a Category 5 hurricane. Despite an expected decrease in the max wind speed of Milton, the size of damaging wind field will expand as it approaches Florida and then move across the peninsula. A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Broward County and Miami-Dade Counties. A Tropical Storm Watch means tropical storm force winds are possible within this area within the next 48 hours. The Hurricane Center predicts a 40% probability of sustained winds in Broward at 25-35 mpg with gusts from 40-50 mph. Winds are anticipated to begin in Broward Wed. evening through Thursday afternoon.  Several tornadoes will be possible late tonight through Thursday morning. Rainfall and some flooding is expected across South Florida through Thursday. Two to four inches predicted for South Florida.  A FLOOD WATCH is in effect for all of South Florida through Thursday, Oct 10.  For storm forecast updates, check with the National Weather Service - South Florida: Miami - South Florida (weather.gov) . . . #westonfl #hurricanemilton #ten68us

Broadcast for today from the national hurricane center on Hurricane Helene: 1. The disturbance is forecast to strengthen and be Note: The cone contains the probable path of the storm center but does not show the size of the storm. Hazardous conditions can occur outside of the conc near hurricane strength when it reaches the far northwestern Caribbean Sea Tuesday night. Tropical storm conditions are expected over portions of western Cuba and the northeastern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula with hurricane conditions possible. 2. The system is expected to intensify while it moves northward over the eastern Gulf of Mexico, and it could be a major hurricane when it reaches the northeastern Gulf Coast on Thursday. There is an increasing risk of life-threatening storm surge and damaging hurricane-force winds along portions of the northern and northeastern Gulf Coast, including the Florida Panhandle and portions of the Florida west coast. Although it is too soon to specify the exact location and magnitude of impacts, residents in these areas should monitor the latest forecast updates and ensure that they have their hurricane plan in place. 3. Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine will bring heavy rain to portions of the western Caribbean which may ead to flooding and possible mudslides in western Cuba. To all my Florida friends and clients, stay in the know and prepare. If there’s anything we can do to assist, please don’t hesitate to contact me directly. We’re assisting our commercial partners and residential clients in preparing for the worst. #SedgwickCares #CommercialProperty #CommercialClaims #CommercialRepairSolutions #CommercialRestoration #ResidentialClaims #ResidentialRepairSolutions

Another update for those tracking Ernesto: ...ERNESTO BECOMES A HURRICANE NORTH OF PUERTO RICO... ...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING LIKELY ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AS HEAVY RAINS PERSIST... At 11am AST, Hurricane Ernesto was located 175 miles northwest of San Juan, Puerto Rico with maximum sustained winds of 75 mph and a minimum central pressure of 991 mb. Ernesto is moving toward the northwest near 16 mph. A turn toward the north-northwest and north is expected later today and tonight, with a generally northward motion at a slower forward speed continuing through Saturday. On the forecast track, the center of Ernesto will continue to move away from Puerto Rico today, move across the western Atlantic during the next few days, and approach Bermuda Friday and Saturday. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days. Tropical Storm Warning * U.S. Virgin Islands * Puerto Rico * Vieques and Culebra Rainfall Tropical Storm Ernesto is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 6 inches over the U.S Virgin Islands. Rainfall totals of 6 to 8 inches, with maximum amounts of 10 inches, are expected across southeastern Puerto Rico, with totals of 2 to 4 inches across northwestern Puerto Rico. Heavy rainfall will result in locally considerable flash flooding and mudslides today over the Virgin Islands and into portions of Puerto Rico. Surf Swells generated by Ernesto are affecting the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. These swells are expected to reach the east coast of the United States Thursday night and continue into the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.