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“It’s difficult to get a man to understand something when his job depends on him not understanding it.” One of the most insightful quotes in human history from Upton Sinclair. A corollary to this might be, “Never believe jobs reports from an organization whose success depends on readers not understanding the data.” Here’s the bottom line. Consumer spending is over two-thirds of our $28 trillion GDP. Consumer spending is fueled by consumer confidence. Consumer Confidence is created in part by things like government issued jobs reports. Those jobs reports affect our GDP as much as reality. Going further, those reports become the reality which shapes our economy. Is this good? I don’t know. I’m inclined to think not. But I can’t imagine them releasing a warts and all, rip the band-aid off, report. It’s hard to gauge what the effect would be; there is no real precedent. All governments tend to massage data, at the very least. All we can do is understand the incentives of the person or entity disseminating the information, counterweight the results appropriately, and hope to arrive at somewhere near the truth. https://ow.ly/6KL950S1eMw

How trustworthy are our jobs reports? 

How trustworthy are our jobs reports? 

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