JBA Risk Management’s Post

Brett Sanders, myself, & Professor Paul Bates CBE FRS have a short Commentary out today in the American Geophysical Union journal Earth's Future, entitled 'Flooding is Not Like Filling a Bath.' We argue the proliferation of zero-physics flood models in general science journals, which are unnecessarily simple and of limited applicability, are contributing to climate hype. The editorial & review process in these high-profile journals needs to be more robust, and conclusions need to be presented with more humility and clear caveats – especially to journalists. https://lnkd.in/eGB9D48P

Great comment on the impacts of simplified, and wrong, approaches to flood risk in part driven by the need to chase "impact" at the journal level. Focused on flooding but similar applies to a lot of areas of climate adaptation and resilience. Forcing global relevance and novel findings can lead to poor science, poor communication, and increasing distrust of these fields. "...Studies that rely on bathtub modeling are, perhaps paradoxically, most commonly found in short-format, high-impact journal publications..."

I'm excited to share my research published in the Journal of Water and Climate Change. In this study, we explored the disappearance of Parishan Lake, the only freshwater lake on the Iranian plateau, and examined the impacts of climatic changes and human activities on its watershed. Key highlights of our research include: 🔸Utilizing the SWAT model to simulate hydrological processes in this ungauged watershed with limited data. 🔸Addressing critical challenges like the lack of runoff statistics by employing donor watershed data and Copernicus satellite information. 🔸Quantifying the role of land use/land cover (LULC) changes on runoff and evaporation, highlighting sustainable watershed management approaches. 🔸Combining meteorological and hydrological drought indices to assess the region's changing water balance over three decades. 🔸Applying remote sensing tools like NDWI to monitor seasonal variations in lake area. 🔸Our findings emphasize the critical need for integrating advanced modeling and satellite data to inform water resource planning and ecosystem preservation. 📖 Read the full study to discover how innovative hydrological methods can inform sustainable solutions for vulnerable regions like Parishan. https://lnkd.in/df-3qJa6 📌📌📌we have highlighted any study conducted on this Lake to date, and we would be delighted to hear your comments on this research.🙏 #WaterResources #ClimateChange #Hydrology #SWATModel #Research #DroughtMitigation #RemoteSensing #lakeParishan #LakeUrmia #Runoff

Earlier this month, EA Geologist Dan Walker, Ph.D., P.G., A.M. ASCE joined leaders from the American Society of Civil Engineers, the World Meteorological Organization, the NOAA: National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration, the U.S. Department of Agriculture, and various academic institutions in bi-lateral discussions with members of India’s national and state government organizations and industry to explore emerging trends in water resource management, irrigation techniques, and nature-based solutions to address water scarcity in India and other portions of the global south. At the International Perspectives on Water and the Environment Conference, Dan presented a keynote address focused on climate resilience and participated as part of a panel of experts discussing challenges and opportunities for reducing the negative impacts of climate change on water resources and agriculture. #ClimateResilience #WaterManagement #SustainableAgriculture #GlobalWaterSolutions #ClimateChange #InternationalCollaboration #EnvironmentalSustainability #NatureBasedSolutions #WaterScarcity #ExpertPanel #KeynoteSpeaker #ASCEConference

New England is warming faster than any other part of the United States due to climate change, and this trend is wreaking havoc on the region’s “water budget.” “We’re 30-40 years into significant changes to New England’s climate,” says David Boutt, a professor in the College of Natural Sciences at UMass Amherst’s Department of Earth, Geographic, and Climate Sciences and head of the Hydrogeology Group at the University of Massachusetts Amherst. “And we’re seeing marked shifts in everything from the water table, which is rising throughout the region, to the intensity of rainstorms, which are getting fiercer, to the length and timing of droughts.” Thanks to a $498,999 grant from the US Geological Survey, Boutt will spend the next three years building advanced integrated hydrologic models that will allow New England to predict with spatial precision how the region’s water budget will change in the coming years. Learn more: https://lnkd.in/ebms98b4 #CNS #UMassGeo #USGS #WaterBudget #ClimateChange #Hydrology

Ever wondered how mountains help regulate our planet's water supply? The European Commission's Joint Research Centre (JRC) shares some new insights here! https://lnkd.in/dmmqTxGj   As it turns out, mountains play a crucial role in mitigating the impacts of climate change. Depending on local topography and geology, mountain groundwater helps buffer climate variability and reduce ecological and anthropic impacts downstream. But what about the vulnerability of these groundwater resources? A recent study helped quantify the impact of geomorfological conditions on mountain environments. What do you think is the most important aspect of mountain water management? Share your thoughts in the comments below! #mountainwater #climatechange #groundwater #sustainability #JRCexplains"

I am pleased to announce the publication of my latest article, "Pathways for Hydrological Resilience: Strategies for Adaptation in a Changing Climate", in Earth Systems and Environment!  📖✨ 🌊 Climate change is fundamentally reshaping global hydrological systems, intensifying extreme events such as floods and droughts, and challenging water resource management. In this review article, we explore: ✅ The critical impacts of climate change on hydrological resilience ✅ The role of Nature-Based Solutions (NbS) in mitigating hydrological extremes ✅ Advances in hydrological modeling, from process-based approaches to AI-driven predictions ✅ Key research gaps, including the challenge of cascading climate-induced extremes This work underscores the importance of integrating ecological and infrastructural solutions for sustainable water management. We also highlight emerging methodologies—such as Bayesian frameworks and real-time data assimilation—to enhance predictive capabilities and inform adaptive strategies. 🔗 Read the full article here: https://lnkd.in/dfPhfxrD I look forward to discussions and collaborations on how we can build resilient water systems in an era of increasing uncertainty! #ClimateChange #WaterResilience #Hydrology #NatureBasedSolutions #MachineLearning #SustainableWaterManagement #RicercaUnicas Università degli Studi di Cassino e del Lazio Meridionale DICEM -Dipartimento di Ingegneria Civile e Meccanica | Università di Cassino e del Lazio Meridionale

Although global precipitation is projected to increase during the 21st century, there is a growing body of evidence that drought will become significantly more common in a future, warmer climate. Join Climate Professor, Emily Black, next Wednesday, 1 May as she explores how warmer temperatures, combined with changing seasonality can lead to aridification, even in regions where annual precipitation is projected to increase. Register at https://lnkd.in/ehDQS5Ds. #meteorology #drought #climateresilience

Hi you may have read recently in Ground Engineering (or elsewhere) that CIRIA has commissioned RSK Geosciences to prepare guidance on the assessment of geo-related risks to the UK’s land development sector arising from the effects of climate change and extreme weather events. We need your help to ensure that this guidance reflects current good practice meets the needs of the industry. If you are involved in pre-construction, construction, operational / asset management, and transactional phases of land development please can you fill in our industry survey: https://lnkd.in/esRtQ2iU The survey should only take 15 minutes to complete and by taking part you will be helping to protect current and future developments. You can find further information on RSK’s news article: https://lnkd.in/ed6hYs3V Oh and in case you missed it, here's a link to the GE article: https://lnkd.in/e5Bshkfq #goodpractice hashtag #climatechange hashtag #landdevelopment hashtag #construction hashtag #conveyancing

🔊 𝐂𝐚𝐥𝐥 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐀𝐛𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐚𝐜𝐭𝐬: 𝐀𝐎𝐆𝐒 2025: 𝐇𝐒 49 🔊 Hey, flood and drought community 📢 Here’s an exciting chance to present your work and share your insights !!! We Dr. Sneha Kulkarni, Dr.Saritha P. Gopalan, Dr. Md. Rezuanul Islam Fahim, PhD, Prof. Renji Remesan, and Prof. vinay kumar cordially invite you to submit your work to our Hydrological Sciences Session (𝐇𝐒 49), "𝐅𝐥𝐨𝐨𝐝 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐃𝐫𝐨𝐮𝐠𝐡𝐭 𝐇𝐚𝐳𝐚𝐫𝐝𝐬: 𝐄𝐱𝐩𝐥𝐨𝐫𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐃𝐫𝐢𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐬, 𝐈𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐚𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬, 𝐈𝐦𝐩𝐚𝐜𝐭𝐬, 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐀𝐝𝐚𝐩𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐒𝐭𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐠𝐢𝐞𝐬 𝐢𝐧 𝐏𝐚𝐬𝐭 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐅𝐮𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐂𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐱𝐭𝐬," at the 22nd Annual Meeting of the Asia Oceania Geosciences Society (𝐀𝐎𝐆𝐒 2025). We invite specific research contributions on, but not limited to: 1. Innovative methods and their advancements for detecting and characterizing floods and droughts, including the analysis of flash events. 2. Changes in the duration, severity, frequency, spatio-temporal extent, and intensity of both floods and droughts. 3. The scales and spread of droughts and floods, their triggers, socio-economic impacts, and strategic adaptation solutions. 4. The vulnerability, adaptive capacity, risk, and drivers of these hazards, with a focus on their compounding nature. 5. Emerging techniques (machine learning, artificial intelligence, dynamical modeling, etc.) for predicting and projecting both short- and long-term flood and drought management practices. 𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐟𝐞𝐫𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐰𝐢𝐥𝐥 𝐭𝐚𝐤𝐞 𝐩𝐥𝐚𝐜𝐞 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐉𝐮𝐥𝐲 27 𝐭𝐨 𝐀𝐮𝐠𝐮𝐬𝐭 1, 2025, 𝐢𝐧 𝐒𝐢𝐧𝐠𝐚𝐩𝐨𝐫𝐞. 😍 😍 📢 𝐀𝐛𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐚𝐜𝐭 𝐒𝐮𝐛𝐦𝐢𝐬𝐬𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐃𝐞𝐚𝐝𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐞: 𝐅𝐞𝐛𝐫𝐮𝐚𝐫𝐲 18, 2025 📢 📢 𝐅𝐢𝐧𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐢𝐚𝐥 𝐬𝐮𝐩𝐩𝐨𝐫𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐚𝐯𝐚𝐢𝐥𝐚𝐛𝐥𝐞 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐬𝐭𝐮𝐝𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐬 📢 We look forward to your contributions! Come, let’s explore these hazards from every angle together!!!