Thinking about whether it's better to own or rent a home? Currently, renting is the better choice financially, except for those who already have a large mortgage that is below market. "Around 80% of outstanding U.S. mortgages have an interest rate below 5%." "The cost of buying a home versus renting one is at its most extreme since at least 1996. The average monthly new mortgage payment is 52% higher than the average apartment rent, according to CBRE analysis. The last time the measure looked out of whack was before the 2008 housing crash. Even then, the premium peaked at 33% in the second quarter of 2006. A person taking out a 30-year mortgage today on a $430,000 home with a 10% down payment would fork out around $3,200 in monthly repayments, 60% more than if they had bought the same house three years ago. Rents have risen by a less-blistering 22% over the same period, though this was still moderately ahead of wider U.S. inflation. With homeownership out of reach for many tenants, landlords would normally be able to push rents higher. But the supply of homes to rent isn’t as tight, with a glut of newly built apartments depressing rent growth. Demand from tenants is also weaker than it was during the pandemic, as most people who were planning to move have already done so over the last two years. Fannie Mae thinks vacancy rates in U.S. multifamily buildings will reach 6.25% in 2024, above the 15-year average of 5.8%. In a dysfunctional U.S. housing market, even one that should be tailor-made for landlords, perhaps only lifelong renters are getting what they want."
Jeffrey Barnett’s Post
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🚀 Discover Personalized Investment Management with Fintegrity®! Are you getting the attention you deserve from your financial adviser? At Fintegrity®, we know the frustration of feeling like just another number at large firms. That's why we prioritize a personalized approach for our clients. Founded by Jeffrey E. Barnett in 2017, Fintegrity® offers tailored investment solutions aligned with your unique goals and dreams. Many of our clients are now enjoying monthly income as their portfolios flourish! 📈 Why Choose Fintegrity®? 👉 Direct Collaboration: Work directly with me, ensuring strategies are tailored to you—no junior personnel or staff changes. 👉 Expertise: 30+ years of financial experience and a Harvard MBA. 👉 Unique Solutions: Customized investments for your goals, with greater control for portfolios over $1 million. But don’t just take my word for it—here’s what our clients say: ✅ "Incredibly responsive... a calming voice during market volatility." – Josh & Margaret W. ✅ “None have helped us as much as Jeff…” – Jean B. ✅ "Brilliant, analytical thinker...great expertise in investing." - Herb T. As a fee-only fiduciary, we act in your best interests, ensuring transparency and trust. 📞 Contact Fintegrity® today to secure your financial future! #InvestmentManagement #Fintegrity #FinancialPlanning #ClientFirst #PersonalizedFinance
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Major stock market indices are nearing all-time highs! 📈 S&P 500 up 19.2% YTD, just shy of its peak. Fed Chair Powell's speech sets stage for September rate cut. 🏦 Market focus returns to fundamentals like corporate earnings. Stock market growth mirrors economic expansion as shares represent profits. 💼 Earnings surge to $232/share, up 7.4% in past year. Q2 earnings rise at 10.9% rate - fastest since 2021! 📊 Although strong earnings growth and expectations for lower interest rates are fueling the market's rise, the S&P 500 appears pricey compared to key historic metrics like price to earnings, price to book, price to sales, price to cash flow, and dividend yield. 📈 However, valuations have limited predictive power for stock market performance in the upcoming year. 📊 Risk Disclosure: Investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. #StockMarket #Earnings #Investing #Finance #BusinessGrowth #Valuations
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Wondering how Presidential Elections and Economic Policy Impact Investors? 🗳️💼 🌟 As the upcoming presidential election captures our attention, some investors may wonder about its potential impact on the economy and markets. 📊 Historical data reveals that presidents have a limited effect on economic trends, given the challenges of implementing major policy changes through Congress. Policy continuity is a cornerstone of our political system. 💼 In addition, businesses adapt to thrive under any administration, minimizing the impact of election outcomes on portfolio management. 📈 In the interim, strong earnings growth and expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts are propelling stock prices upward. 🔍 Ready to take control of your financial future? Connect with Jeff at 201.266.6829 or jeff@fintegrity.com for tailored strategies aligned with your goals. Your journey to financial well-being starts now! 🚀 #FinancialPlanning #Investing #EconomicOutlook #Election Risk Disclosure: Investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Choosing the right Executor is crucial for effective Estate Planning. 👨💼📝 "After relatives pass away, managing their affairs can be complex and emotionally draining. Relationships may suffer as a result." The designated Executor plays a pivotal role in sorting out assets, debts, and distributing inheritances. 💼💸 "Estate lawyers often see Executors declining the responsibility, highlighting the importance of selecting capable individuals." Regularly review your choice of Executor to ensure they are up to the task. 🔄 While it may seem natural to choose a family member, it's important to consider their ability to handle the role amidst grief. 🤝 "Opting for impartial third parties like friends, lawyers, or accountants can prevent conflicts among heirs," advise estate lawyers. 💡 Selecting the right Executor is key to a smooth estate settlement process. #EstatePlanning #ExecutorSelection #LegacyManagement 🏛️
Grief, Then Paperwork: The Messy, Thankless Job of an Estate Executor
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Firms are aggressively marking up private equity stakes bought in secondary market Funds are claiming big one-day windfalls in the secondary market for private-equity stakes. For example, "the last day of September 2023 was very good for Hamilton Lane Private Assets Fund. It recorded a 39% gain on a group of investments it bought the day before for $52 million, giving a quick boost to the fund’s performance. Of the three dozen investments it bought on Sept. 29, nearly half had more than doubled in value on Sept. 30. The Hamilton Lane fund’s stake in a fund that focuses on Latin America rose eightfold in 24 hours," according to the Wall Street Journal. StepStone Private Venture and Growth Fund report even more remarkable gains, marking up investments by multiples in a single day. "Other secondary investors that have reported significant markups include Pomona Investment Fund and Ares Private Markets Fund. On June 30, 2023, for example, the Pomona fund bought a stake in an Asia-focused Bain Capital fund for $3.1 million and wrote it up 62% the same day. The Ares fund paid $32.8 million on Dec. 29, 2023, a Friday, for a stake in a Blackstone fund and said its fair value was 70% higher two days later." Although an investor who wants out early may be willing to sell its stake at a big discount, "...the significant markups raise questions about the true fair value of the investments. The secondary market volume for private-equity funds hit $112 billion in 2023." 💰 “With such large day-one gains, investors may take pause to consider whether such fair-value figures are too good to be true,” said Tom Linsmeier, an accounting professor at the University of Wisconsin and a former member of the Financial Accounting Standards Board, which sets U.S. accounting rules. "Under U.S. accounting rules, an asset’s “fair value” is the price it would sell for in an orderly transaction on a given date. The classic example is a public company’s stock. For holdings that don’t trade regularly, estimating fair value often is more difficult and more subjective." "The markups also point to a potentially broader issue: What if the discounted prices on the secondary market are the more accurate gauge of the investments’ real-life values? Then the asset values for stakes on countless other investors’ balance sheets may be inflated. The NAVs reported by private-equity funds have been long questioned because of their lack of volatility."💡 Overly generous valuations are a risk often overlooked by private equity fund investors. #PrivateEquity #Investments #FinancialMarkets
Funds Are Booking Big One-Day Windfalls Buying Private-Equity Stakes
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💪 Strong Earnings Growth Has Powered the Stock Market Higher 🚀 Amid concerns over persistent inflation, a slowing labor market, and anticipated Fed interest rate cuts, investors are closely eyeing the current corporate earnings season. The resurgence of corporate earnings that started in the latter half of 2023 has aided the stock market's rise, as market performance typically aligns with earnings trends over time. 💼📈 With first-quarter earnings results now available for 92% of S&P 500 companies, the data for S&P 500 companies points to positive trends 📊 - 78% exceeded earnings expectations last quarter, surpassing the 10-year average - Blended earnings growth at 5.4% year-over-year, the highest in nearly two years, and the third consecutive quarter of earnings expansion Looking ahead 🚀 - 2024 S&P 500 earnings estimate: $239 per share, a 10.2% increase - Analysts foresee 14.0% growth in 2025 and 11.7% in 2026 Key insights for investors 💡 - There is a strong relationship between corporate earnings and the stock market; The rebound in earnings has been a driving force behind the market rally of the past year, propelling valuations. 📉📈 - Earnings growth rates influence whether the stock market seems "cheap" or "expensive." Rising earnings, even with stable prices, enhance market appeal, while declining earnings do the opposite. 🔄 - Concerns regarding a recession or “hard landing” have eased in recent quarters. 💰 Recent earnings data indicates robust corporate performance, a reassuring indicator amid market uncertainties. Focusing on economic fundamentals, such as earnings, rather than day-to-day stock fluctuations, is key to achieving long-term success. 💪 #EarningsGrowth #InvestingStrategies #MarketOutlook Risk Disclosure: Investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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🎙️ Acquired: The Business World's Favorite Podcast 🌟 📈 Ever wondered how Acquired became the go-to show for business enthusiasts worldwide? It's a wonky yet captivating podcast delving into business history and strategy with monthly four-hour episodes. From Silicon Valley to Wall Street, the obsession is real. 🎧 Hosted by Ben Gilbert and David Rosenthal, Acquired shines by simplifying complex company insights, drawing listeners in for hours on end. Their knack for turning case studies into captivating spectacles has solidified Acquired as the business world's beloved podcast. 🚀 #businesspodcast #strategy #AcquiredPodcast
The Smartest People in the Room Are All Listening to the Same Podcast
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📈 New S&P 500 highs do not necessarily mean the market is "due for a pullback" 🚀 📊 This chart tracks the S&P 500 index and the annual number of all-time highs. During bullish markets, it's common to see many new highs. As a result, reaching all-time highs doesn't always signal an imminent pullback. 💡 🗓️ Methodology: The chart spans from January 2, 1980, to present, illustrating how often the S&P 500 hits record levels each year. Risk Disclaimer: Investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. #StockMarket #Investing #SP500
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Bull and Bear Stock Market Cycles 📈📉 Staying invested through market dips is key for long-term success. 🌟 While bear markets are inevitable, bull markets offer longer durations and higher returns. 💼 Since 1956, bear markets lasted around 1 year and 2 months, with a 36% decline. In contrast, bull markets spanned an average of 5 years and 9 months, yielding 192% returns. 📊 Methodology: This chart illustrates the S&P 500 price index, aligning the start of bull and bear markets at zero. It shows price returns from the inception of each bear or bull market till the end of the cycle. Bear markets are characterized by declines of over -20% from the previous peak, while subsequent bull markets commence from the bottom of each bear market. 📊 ---- Risk Disclosure: Investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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