Auto dealer sentiment is at its second-lowest score in the history of the Cox Automotive Inc.'s Automotive Dealer Sentiment Index, a trend that may continue and add further pressure on the $230 billion of largely junk loans and bonds in the sector. Profitability is weighed down by higher-for-longer rates, which have a -69% correlation to dealer operating margins over the past decade, as well as rising costs and higher inventory levels. https://lnkd.in/egZEbj59
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Vehicle affordability is "technically" the best it’s been since May 2021: Why? Incentives are on the rise -- plus, avg. auto loan rates just hit their lowest point in over a year, dropping to 9.53%. But there’s a catch… Average transaction prices are stuck at elevated levels, offsetting any meaningful changes to monthly payments. Bottom line: While financing conditions have improved, high transaction prices are still keeping real affordability just out of reach. (Data source: Cox Automotive)
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Aargh! This GAP claim should be frightening for all auto lenders. Here is the story and you can decide for yourself. Vehicle is 2019 Hyundai Elantra in good shape. Loan Made October 2022 with JD Power Retail Value of $15,350 LTV was only 105.92% and it included a warranty of $2,191.00. Total Loss was Feb 2024 when member hit a deer (try to find the damage!). Low-Cost Primary carrier settled based on KBB Private Party value of $5,037. So, the primary only paid $4,761.60 and GAP paid $6,299.07 to pay off the loan balance. The car is still drivable, and the damage is very minimal, but the primary is totaling the vehicle because their KBB ACV calculation is much less than fixing the vehicle. If this member had not elected GAP, this story would have had a much different ending. #cheapinsurancestinks
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"C'mon, you have to be kidding me". The majority of Auto Lenders base their LTV% calculations on JD Powers Retail values which is the industry standard in most of the US. While Lenders recognize that the Retail value may be a bit optimistic, it is consistent and fairly reliable. Well....... primary insurance companies have their own way to determine the current value of a vehicle and let's just say that most of the time it will be much lower! This pretty 2018 Toyota Camry is in high demand right now as an affordable option for borrowers and has a Retail Value of $20,875, but the primary says it is only worth $16,087. A great loan made at an LTV of 100.60% is now a $9,594.09 GAP Claim! Depreciation is bad enough, but this is just wrong!
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Auto outstandings rose 0.7% sequentially and 2% year over year in the second quarter as auto portfolios grew, though more slowly than during the pandemic. https://hubs.la/Q02TkKRb0 #autofinance #autoindustry
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Auto Credit Availability Ticks Up in September — Cox Auto https://snip.ly/nh0w1u #glenviewfinance #subprimefinance #usedcardealer #autofinance #creditbuilder #independentdealer
Auto Credit Availability Increased in September - Cox Automotive Inc.
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Founder/CEO at Unicus - an independent short-only investment research firm; Track record available upon request.
🚨 Auto Asset Back Securities Weakens ... 🚩The main market risks of auto loan and lease ABS are credit rating changes and liquidity. Most of the auto ABS issued were subprime. Here is the issue....👇 https://lnkd.in/esGcbyVC
Auto ABS Market Weakens
contrarianunicus.substack.com
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How are changes in Fed rates impacting auto loan APRs? At Carmatic, we're closely monitoring how shifts in Federal Reserve rates are affecting vehicle affordability. Using a 72-month loan term as our baseline, we've observed that Kia Finance America (KFA) is among the first to adjust their rates accordingly. Across the vehicles we're tracking, KFA has reduced APRs from 3.99% down to 3.56%. This decrease is largely due to rate drops on models like the Sorento, Forte, and Sportage, with the Forte experiencing the most significant reduction—from 6.50% to 4.49%. As other OEMs and lenders update their rates in response to these changes, we'll continue to share insights on how this impacts market-based affordability: https://lnkd.in/e2TAyr73
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The first rate cut in over 4 years is already working its way into auto loan and lease programs. "So what's the actual monthly payment on that new car or truck I'm eyeing?" Market Based Affordability questions are top of mind and will continue to be so. Stay tuned for more insights from Carmatic as the data rolls in.
How are changes in Fed rates impacting auto loan APRs? At Carmatic, we're closely monitoring how shifts in Federal Reserve rates are affecting vehicle affordability. Using a 72-month loan term as our baseline, we've observed that Kia Finance America (KFA) is among the first to adjust their rates accordingly. Across the vehicles we're tracking, KFA has reduced APRs from 3.99% down to 3.56%. This decrease is largely due to rate drops on models like the Sorento, Forte, and Sportage, with the Forte experiencing the most significant reduction—from 6.50% to 4.49%. As other OEMs and lenders update their rates in response to these changes, we'll continue to share insights on how this impacts market-based affordability: https://lnkd.in/e2TAyr73
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🚨 Auto Asset Back Securities Weakens ... 🚩The main market risks of auto loan and lease ABS are credit rating changes and liquidity. Most of the auto ABS issued were subprime. Here is the issue....👇 https://lnkd.in/er_SH9Xz
Auto ABS Market Weakens
contrarianunicus.substack.com
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Mortgage Lending & SMSF Finance Specialist | Advice for professionals, business owners & entrepreneurs
According to the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries (FCAI), 97,020 new cars were sold in September 2024, bringing the total number of cars sold for the year to 927,246. This is notable as it’s the first time the industry has achieved sales exceeding 900,000 by the end of the third quarter. However, just as notable is the fact that the September 2024 total is a 12.4% reduction in sales compared to the September 2023. FCAI chief executive Tony Weber said that the easing in vehicle sales compared to the same month last year was an indication of the challenging economic times. “During the early part of the year, we witnessed record numbers,” he said. “However, the September result shows that the state of the economy is impacting purchasing intentions.” With interest rates still high, you may decide to delay buying a new vehicle. However, this may not be the best decision if your vehicle frequently needs repairs. You could be spending more money fixing your old car than you would on vehicle loan repayments. And remember, you don’t have to buy a brand-new car. There are plenty of excellent used vehicles on the market. ______ If you’re considering buying a vehicle, we can help secure your car finance to suit your budget. Just book a quick meeting. https://buff.ly/47kzkRL
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