At an education conference last week, I made a prediction that, if current macro trends continue, 75% of American children won't be going to traditional public schools by 2035. (We're at ~10% now.) The looks on their faces reminded me of the looks people gave me when I told them I wanted to start a microschool company in the middle of the pandemic. Well, today, I just came across this headline and got a glimpse into what the future might hold. In NC, 25% of students have already left the traditional public school system. This is before the full-scale implementation of North Carolina's Education Savings Account, which allows anyone in the state to take their state tax dollars and apply them towards a microschool or other forms of alternative education. So, now I wonder, will it take until 2035? Will it happen sooner?
Jomayra Herrera
3mo
If only there was a high-quality, teacher led alternative :)
Josh Lange, EdD
2mo
75% will be spending their time in hospitals due to obese related illnesses, anxiety drugs, and hormone treatments if things continue with the US public system as they are.
Wow, happening faster than I thought.
CEO at KaiPod Learning | Empowering Educators to Create Microschools
3moMy prediction doesn't come from thin air; rather, it's borne from a 10+ year analysis of education systems in other countries and the journey they take from good to great (or not!). Thankfully, these are not irreversible macro trends. In other words, the public school system can and must compete for these students. It has a massive inbuilt advantage. However, the question is whether the system will realize what's happening before it's too late.