LSG’s Post

With Super Tuesday behind us, the focus of the U.S. presidential election now turns to policy. Our Global Market Strategy team shares what they’re watching in the coming months, and how investors can consider election year opportunities. For diversified allocation ideas and election year analysis, visit: https://bit.ly/4cjHoVh #Election2024 | #ElectionYear | #SuperTuesday | #Investing

Amidst geopolitical tensions and significant events such as the Middle East conflict and U.S.-China trade rivalry, the upcoming 2024 U.S. presidential elections emerge as a pivotal factor. Here are key points: Probabilities: Presently, the market assigns a 70% likelihood to Biden's Democratic candidacy, while Trump, facing legal hurdles, holds an 80% chance for the Republican nomination. Success odds stand at 36.8% for Trump and 30% for Biden, per RealClearPolitics. Divided Congress: A divided Congress is foreseen post-election, with Republicans eyeing Senate control and Democrats targeting the House. This could influence bipartisan legislative approval, constraining significant internal reforms. Market Impact: Although elections carry significance, historical data reveals mixed outcomes. The average historical return in election years is 13.1%, excluding 2008. #Activest #Elections2024 #FinancialMarkets #ElectionOutlook #PersonalFinance #Business

When it comes to your investments, does it really matter which party wins the White House? Read about how the political climate has historically impacted the economy and financial markets in our latest blog, “Election Season is Upon Us”. https://lnkd.in/e92wXqbB #Election2024 #Election #FinancialPlanning

While focus understandably remains on the US presidential election in November, that vote is not the only one for investors to watch. The results of key legislative races could also determine whether either party controls both chambers of Congress, making it easier to fulfill their policy agenda. Investors often fear such so-called red or blue wave scenarios but history shows US equities have done well regardless of the political makeup of Washington. Since 1933, there have been 44 years when one party has controlled both White House and Congress at the same time. During these periods, stocks averaged a robust annual return of 14.4%, slightly higher than the average gains when Congress was split between the two parties. Historically the least good outcome has been when Congress is controlled by the party opposite the president, but even this scenario averaged double-digit returns. Many election watchers expect the Senate to flip to Republican control in November. But narrow margins in both chambers of Congress and shifting polls for the general election mean any outcome is still possible. US voters may have a strong preference for these results, but global investors should take comfort that all of these scenarios have historically produced strong returns from US equities. For more on election activity, in the US and elsewhere, see our election hub. For professional investors only: https://lnkd.in/eaYNxmip #ChartInFocus #CapitalGroup #Equities #Elections #USEquities

While focus understandably remains on the US presidential election in November, that vote is not the only one for investors to watch. The results of key legislative races could also determine whether either party controls both chambers of Congress, making it easier to fulfill their policy agenda. Investors often fear such so-called red or blue wave scenarios but history shows US equities have done well regardless of the political makeup of Washington. Since 1933, there have been 44 years when one party has controlled both White House and Congress at the same time. During these periods, stocks averaged a robust annual return of 14.4%, slightly higher than the average gains when Congress was split between the two parties. Historically the least good outcome has been when Congress is controlled by the party opposite the president, but even this scenario averaged double-digit returns. Many election watchers expect the Senate to flip to Republican control in November. But narrow margins in both chambers of Congress and shifting polls for the general election mean any outcome is still possible. US voters may have a strong preference for these results, but global investors should take comfort that all of these scenarios have historically produced strong returns from US equities. For more on election activity, in the US and elsewhere, see our election hub. For professional investors only: https://lnkd.in/gYJqbiyc #ChartInFocus #CapitalGroup #Equities #Elections #USEquities

While focus understandably remains on the US presidential election in November, that vote is not the only one for investors to watch. The results of key legislative races could also determine whether either party controls both chambers of Congress, making it easier to fulfill their policy agenda. Investors often fear such so-called red or blue wave scenarios but history shows US equities have done well regardless of the political makeup of Washington. Since 1933, there have been 44 years when one party has controlled both White House and Congress at the same time. During these periods, stocks averaged a robust annual return of 14.4%, slightly higher than the average gains when Congress was split between the two parties. Historically the least good outcome has been when Congress is controlled by the party opposite the president, but even this scenario averaged double-digit returns. Many election watchers expect the Senate to flip to Republican control in November. But narrow margins in both chambers of Congress and shifting polls for the general election mean any outcome is still possible. US voters may have a strong preference for these results, but global investors should take comfort that all of these scenarios have historically produced strong returns from US equities. For more on election activity, in the US and elsewhere, see our election hub. For professional investors only: https://lnkd.in/gBwy2VQm #ChartInFocus #CapitalGroup #Equities #Elections #USEquities

While focus understandably remains on the US presidential election in November, that vote is not the only one for investors to watch. The results of key legislative races could also determine whether either party controls both chambers of Congress, making it easier to fulfill their policy agenda. Investors often fear such so-called red or blue wave scenarios but history shows US equities have done well regardless of the political makeup of Washington. Since 1933, there have been 44 years when one party has controlled both White House and Congress at the same time. During these periods, stocks averaged a robust annual return of 14.4%, slightly higher than the average gains when Congress was split between the two parties. Historically the least good outcome has been when Congress is controlled by the party opposite the president, but even this scenario averaged double-digit returns. Many election watchers expect the Senate to flip to Republican control in November. But narrow margins in both chambers of Congress and shifting polls for the general election mean any outcome is still possible. US voters may have a strong preference for these results, but global investors should take comfort that all of these scenarios have historically produced strong returns from US equities. For more on election activity, in the US and elsewhere, see our election hub. For professional investors only: http://spr.ly/6044lcpoq #ChartInFocus #CapitalGroup #Equities #Elections #USEquities

While focus understandably remains on the US presidential election in November, that vote is not the only one for investors to watch. The results of key legislative races could also determine whether either party controls both chambers of Congress, making it easier to fulfill their policy agenda. Investors often fear such so-called red or blue wave scenarios but history shows US equities have done well regardless of the political makeup of Washington. Since 1933, there have been 44 years when one party has controlled both White House and Congress at the same time. During these periods, stocks averaged a robust annual return of 14.4%, slightly higher than the average gains when Congress was split between the two parties. Historically the least good outcome has been when Congress is controlled by the party opposite the president, but even this scenario averaged double-digit returns. Many election watchers expect the Senate to flip to Republican control in November. But narrow margins in both chambers of Congress and shifting polls for the general election mean any outcome is still possible. US voters may have a strong preference for these results, but global investors should take comfort that all of these scenarios have historically produced strong returns from US equities. For more on election activity, in the US and elsewhere, see our election hub. For professional investors only: https://lnkd.in/exGEjjB5 #ChartInFocus #CapitalGroup #Equities #Elections #USEquities

While focus understandably remains on the US presidential election in November, that vote is not the only one for investors to watch. The results of key legislative races could also determine whether either party controls both chambers of Congress, making it easier to fulfill their policy agenda. Investors often fear such so-called red or blue wave scenarios but history shows US equities have done well regardless of the political makeup of Washington. Since 1933, there have been 44 years when one party has controlled both White House and Congress at the same time. During these periods, stocks averaged a robust annual return of 14.4%, slightly higher than the average gains when Congress was split between the two parties. Historically the least good outcome has been when Congress is controlled by the party opposite the president, but even this scenario averaged double-digit returns. Many election watchers expect the Senate to flip to Republican control in November. But narrow margins in both chambers of Congress and shifting polls for the general election mean any outcome is still possible. US voters may have a strong preference for these results, but global investors should take comfort that all of these scenarios have historically produced strong returns from US equities. For more on election activity, in the US and elsewhere, see our election hub. For professional investors only: http://spr.ly/6044ld09Q #ChartInFocus #CapitalGroup #Equities #Elections #USEquities

While focus understandably remains on the US presidential election in November, that vote is not the only one for investors to watch. The results of key legislative races could also determine whether either party controls both chambers of Congress, making it easier to fulfill their policy agenda. Investors often fear such so-called red or blue wave scenarios but history shows US equities have done well regardless of the political makeup of Washington. Since 1933, there have been 44 years when one party has controlled both White House and Congress at the same time. During these periods, stocks averaged a robust annual return of 14.4%, slightly higher than the average gains when Congress was split between the two parties. Historically the least good outcome has been when Congress is controlled by the party opposite the president, but even this scenario averaged double-digit returns. Many election watchers expect the Senate to flip to Republican control in November. But narrow margins in both chambers of Congress and shifting polls for the general election mean any outcome is still possible. US voters may have a strong preference for these results, but global investors should take comfort that all of these scenarios have historically produced strong returns from US equities. For more on election activity, in the US and elsewhere, see our election hub. For professional investors only: http://spr.ly/6049lWiMt #ChartInFocus #CapitalGroup #Equities #Elections #USEquities