Professor of International Relations at the Department of Political Science, University of Copenhagen
The first article of the ERC RITUAL DETERRENCE Project is now published in International Affairs as part of the March 2024 issue special section on 'NATO at 75' (https://lnkd.in/defXiJxu), edited by Tracey German and Andrew Dorman. Very happy to be featured in such a good company among the leading academic voices on the North Atlantic Alliance. My contribution 'NATO's new front: deterrence moves eastward' (https://lnkd.in/dumzmd4p) probes the reasons for the Alliance's long self-restraint in establishing a military presence in its eastern member states. Building on expert interviews at NATO and beyond, I show how NATO's Enhanced Forward Presence (eFP) in Poland and the Baltic states has navigated the political acceptability and military credibility of NATO's modern extended deterrence strategy in the post-post-Cold War era. The security dilemma sensibility exercised towards Russia up until its annexation of Crimea has now made way to NATO's reinvention of conventional deterrence, notably forward defence, for the current times. Conceptually, I sketch in broad brushstrokes how ritualisation helps deterring communities to achieve their desired credibility effects. In a beautiful symmetry resonating with the milestones of the Baltic alignment with NATO, this piece is published exactly 20 years after my first article on the subject matter ('Enabling NATO Enlargement: Changing Constructions of the Baltic States', Trames, 2004). The journey continues, enabled by the generous support of the European Research Council (ERC). Thanks to my academic home the Department of Political Science at Københavns Universitet - University of Copenhagen for helping to make this piece open access and to the colleagues at Centre for Military Studies, Department of Political Science, University of Copenhagen for the great sparring partnership.
Congratulations!!!!
Energy Security Analyst @DIIS
8moCongratulations! Looking forward to reading the article.