National Committee on U.S.-China Relations’ Post

A weaker Europe on China – at the worst time Dominique Fraser 22 Jul 2024 European governments increasingly wary of the popular turn against incumbents will be more susceptible to economic inducements and pressure from Beijing. It has always been a challenge for Europe to be more than the sum of its parts on foreign policy. But recent election results suggest it will now be even harder for the EU to stand on its own two feet as a global actor, let alone get the 27 sets of feet walking in the same direction.

There are few relationships of greater geopolitical importance than that between China and Taiwan. The election in Taiwan - and China's reaction - was therefore of global concern. John Jullens offers his analysis of the election and the implications for business in a C-Suite Quick Take. #China #Taiwan #business #riskmanagement #strategy https://lnkd.in/gjySWV_3

Taiwan Votes 2024 🗳️: A look at economic ties between Taiwan and China. Taiwan’s presidential poll takes place this weekend on Saturday (13 Jan). And on the ballot, weighing on the minds of voters – is the island’s economic cooperation/trade friction with China. 🚢📦🏗️🚚 Economic relations between Taiwan and China have fluctuated in tandem with the state of their diplomatic ties since the signing of their only trade deal 14 years ago. With Taiwan’s presidential election looming, trade is being wielded by both Taiwan and China for political advantage. What's at stake? 🏭 Hope this little explainer gives you a better picture! First aired on CNA's Asia Tonight, 11 Jan. 🌏 Lots of history and nuances to this topic, frankly. Spent hours over the past few days researching heavily on recent and past developments, drawing links, and exploring core issues with the help of editors and graphics team. ✍️ YouTube: https://lnkd.in/g2-n6FDU #taiwan #election #china #trade #economy #business #ecfa #presidentialelection #election2024 #politics #asia #journalism *Update: Tracked the Taiwan election story/happenings on voting day itself... including rushing out the hourly script with the latest, scanning media sources in English and Mandarin + the official (constantly-moving) electoral numbers, coordinating live crosses with reporters, cutting clips, as well as monitoring live speeches to help provide breaking lines - all in a day's work! Taiwan's newly elected president Lai faces difficulties on domestic policies with hung parliament (with breaking lines) https://lnkd.in/gy_yF8vy Taiwan loses first ally post-election as Nauru goes over to China https://lnkd.in/g2EkyTk4 Prof Chung-Min Tsai on Taiwan losing diplomatic ally Nauru two days after election https://lnkd.in/gbUTXRag

🇪🇺 🇨🇳 "Three camps are emerging on the future shape of European policy toward China." 📧 In the latest edition of Watching China in Europe, GMF's Noah Barkin looks at the future of EU-China policy in light of the upcoming US elections. 🔗 Read Below: https://bit.ly/47hHn1Y

https://lnkd.in/dkgfWa5j A Weaker Europe on China – At the Worst Time July 22nd, 2024 By Asia Society Policy Institute Research Associate, Dominique Fraser Murmurs of trade war are getting louder. Not just between China and the United States should Donald Trump be re-elected, but also between China and Europe. Now more than ever it’s important for Europe to speak with one voice on global affairs. But recent elections make this much less likely. We should expect a Europe that is more divided and less coherent on foreign policy issues, including ones that are important to Australia, most notably policy towards China. A weaker and more divided Europe matters for Australia. The bloc is the world’s third-largest economy and has become an important player in efforts to resist Beijing’s use of economic coercion. More recently, it has started to play a greater strategic and military role in the Indo-Pacific, illustrated by the strong European contingent participating in the Royal Australian Air Force’s “Pitch Black” exercises this year. It has always been a challenge for Europe to be more than the sum of its parts on foreign policy. But recent election results suggest it will now be even harder for the EU to stand on its own two feet as a global actor, let alone get the 27 sets of feet walking in the same direction.

Check out this week's edition of What’s Happening in China, a weekly newsletter that curates the latest and most important news and developments from the country. https://lnkd.in/dSzUyUDR #china #chinabusiness #chinaeconomy #taiwan

Two important lessons from the article in my opinion. 1) Understanding support for Taiwan for an outsider means understanding that western support is a tribal affair rooted in business, politics (but not necessarily ideology, if not in rhetorical terms), and interests. 2) For the Taiwanese who linger in idealism, dreaming of knights on a white horse, the understanding that Taiwan's relevance for the west is often a divisive realpolitik affair, rooted in the fact that the island is a core node of supply chains and other activities and that, short of those atouts, the value of the island is greatly diminished and what remains is a number of sympathizing stakeholders with near zero sway when deprived of their ecosystem of "empathic interest". Keeping all this superstructure standing is far from easy. And far from granted. ____________ Taiwan goes to the polls on Saturday in what will be one of the most closely watched geopolitical events of the year. Yet thousands of miles away in Brussels, Europe’s political capital, you could be forgiven for not realising the election was taking place at all. Scouring political agendas in the Belgian city this week, there was no mention of Taiwan. Asia-focused diplomats from each EU member state sat down on Thursday for their weekly meeting, but rather than discussing an election that has captured the attention of the world’s media, they planned to talk about Myanmar, Southeast Asia and plans for the bloc’s Indo-Pacific Forum next month. The silence on the election is “a bit weird”, one senior official conceded, but “not very surprising”. The topic of Taiwan is a hot potato in Brussels, one that divides EU members in private and spooks even the coolest of politicians when asked about it in public forums.

[Navigating Uncertainty: Insights into the Impacts of the US Presidential Election on Greater China] This year’s US election has been unprecedented so far in its twists and turns. As we enter the final weeks of campaigning the only thing which remains predictable is the volatility of the race. Both candidates have very different approaches to foreign policy, although one area that they might converge is on the issue of China. We have assembled a team of experts covering public affairs, China-US trade relations and China business and finance to share their views on the two candidates and parties, potential outcomes and what they might mean for the business community in this region. You are invited to join us for an insightful webinar focused on understanding the implications and impacts of the US presidential election on Greater China. This webinar will bring together experts and thought leaders to dissect the potential ramifications of the election results and provide invaluable insights into the geopolitical, economic, and social dynamics of this pivotal event. Our panel will discuss the election and its outcomes, followed by a live Q&A from attendees. Don’t miss this opportunity and reserve your spot now by emailing registering at https://bit.ly/3Zsabmu! #FleishmanHillard #FHHK #webinar #USPresident #USElection

#Xi made recommendations three years ago relating Communism -vs- Socialism. Our #Envoy of Country follows China actions and offer this link , demonstrating subtle changes from within CCP. The ruling Communist Party was planning and implementing "major" reforms, ahead of a closely watched political conclave that is expected to put economic recovery high on the agenda. Our belief is China will move towards opening Commerce channels in keeping with Socialist direction. Millions of Chinese want their own businesses, know about the Western World and seek better times. If Xi fails to move progressively his term will cease faster than he came into power. https://lnkd.in/eK3y3xgi