Recent labor market weakness could accelerate the pace of Fed rate cuts. More from Saira Malik: https://ow.ly/Q4O150Tj5RB
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Fed Meeting Ahead: What to Watch? The possibility of a rate cut looms as inflation discussions continue. The job market signals will be pivotal. Will the Fed make a move in March? Read more on our Weekly Market Research now: https://hubs.ly/Q02hYX7m0 #FullertonMarkets #YourCommittedTradingPartner #WeeklyMarketResearch #marketupdates #GlobalMarkets #EconomicOutlook #EconomicNews
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SUMMARY OF FED MEETING MINUTES (11/21/23): 1. All Fed Members agree to “proceed carefully” 2. Fed sees rates “remaining restrictive for some time” 3. Fed sees upside risks to inflation 4. Fed sees downside risks to growth 5. Meeting by meeting approach to resume @thekobeissiletter.com
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The Fed keeps rates steady at 5.25-5.50% but signals a more dovish approach. As the labor market cools and inflationary pressures ease, what does this mean for future rate cuts? #Economy #LaborMarket #FinancialNews
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Since April, we have pointed to September as the most likely timing for the start of Fed rate cuts. This has been our base case, and now, with recent progress on inflation and a normalizing labor market, it appears to be the Fed’s base case, too. Watch our latest Marketscape to learn more - for U.S: https://lnkd.in/gi3WMNeN & all other regions: https://lnkd.in/gTP8cJn9
The Fed’s Base Case: September Rate Cut Likely
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SUMMARY OF FED MEETING MINUTES (11/21/23): 1. All Fed Members agree to “proceed carefully” 2. Fed sees rates “remaining restrictive for some time” 3. Fed sees upside risks to inflation 4. Fed sees downside risks to growth 5. Meeting by meeting approach to resume 2024 is going to be a wild year.
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Signs of slightly softer inflation and cooling in the labor market reinforced the view the Fed’s hiking cycle is complete and the market is now pricing in rate cuts by May. Read more in our latest market commentary: https://ow.ly/ZnAW50QgnQB
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On YoY basis, unit labor cost grew 1.8% below Fed target. We can declare one of major inflation indicator is below Fed target now. That's why Fed reduced QT and is relatively dovish. In the third quarter, Fed will start cuting rates. They will declare inflation win.
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Will the Fed cut rates in September? .25 bps? .50bps? Here is what the market is pricing in....
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Today markets will be evaluating the PCE data release, a big deal for those keeping tabs on the Fed's next moves. This data helps gauge inflation and can influence future interest rate decisions. But remember, the Fed also cares a lot about jobs and employment. The charts here show some interesting shifts in the job market that could also sway what the Fed decides to do next. As markets decide how to react to today's numbers, let's think about how they could impact the job scene. #InterestRates #EmploymentTrends #FinancialMarkets Disclosures: https://lnkd.in/ea_6G-ei
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This week's market recap! Is the FED confused? It sure seems like it. All of the data is showing signs of weakening, but does the FED see it? #marketupdate #MarketRecap #FED #inflation #JobData #unemployment
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