Find out how SA’s Government of National Unity could shape the local market outlook, in an article from the Q3 Fundamentals series. Portfolio Manager Jason Swartz writes that political instability often leads to higher risk premiums for investor assets, as seen in South Africa's volatile pre-election period. However, since the establishment of the #GNU, investor sentiment has improved with key appointments like Enoch Godongwana as Finance Minister and Khumbudzo Ntshavheni in the Presidency, supporting fiscal and structural reforms. The GNU also included opposition parties in significant roles, which could foster growth. Investors are cautiously optimistic, awaiting progress on energy capacity and governance, with South African assets remaining undervalued, as foreign investors look for signs of further reform that could drive economic growth in the country. https://lnkd.in/d22mQdZX #InvestmentInsights #SouthAfricanEconomy #FiscalReform
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🔹 South Africa’s Government of National Unity (GNU): A Beacon for Stability and Growth? 🔹 As a financial advisor, I’ve been keeping a close eye on the formation of South Africa’s Government of National Unity (GNU) and the potential positive impacts on our economic landscape. This shift towards a centrist approach could be a game-changer for both investors and everyday South Africans. The GNU has prioritized fiscal consolidation, which is reassuring for those concerned about long-term stability and the potential for sound economic policies. The avoidance of a far-left shift, coupled with a focus on responsible governance, is a positive signal that could ease concerns about South Africa's credit risks and investor confidence. The new government has also brought optimism by addressing key issues such as load shedding and infrastructural constraints in transport and energy. These steps, if continued, may support economic growth and create a more conducive environment for investments and business expansion. As we navigate these changes, the role of informed financial advice becomes more important than ever. By aligning our strategies with this evolving landscape, we can help clients make informed decisions that align with their long-term goals. #SouthAfrica #Economy #FinancialAdvisory #Investment #EconomicStability #GovernmentOfNationalUnity #LoadShedding #FiscalResponsibility #EconomicGrowth
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The AfDB’s focus on economic resilience and self-sufficiency is seen as crucial for Africa’s future. Proposals like the African Investment Guarantee Agency aim to address political risks for investors, while efforts to establish an African credit rating agency seek to lower borrowing costs. The initiatives are part of a broader strategy to reduce Africa’s dependency on external aid and create a more stable investment environment. Read more https://ow.ly/s3gW50S9koN
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Let's take a look at the latest updates on global debt scene and what they could mean for Ghana and the sub-regional economic indicators. #KeepingUpWithTheEconomy #GetInformed International Monetary Fund Ministry of Finance Oxfam Norvan Reports BudgIT Nigeria Youth Participatory Forum - UG Chapter Natural Resource Governance Institute
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Founder and CEO: Carrick Group of Companies | Owner: Baines River Camp, Matusadona Safaris, Klein Welmoed Wine Estate | Passionate Advocate for Philanthropy and Environmental Conservation.
Navigating the post-election landscape in South Africa has become increasingly challenging, especially given the recent volatility of the South African Rand (ZAR) against the US Dollar (USD). I would like to share some insights on what this means for our clients and partners. The recent elections, which resulted in the African National Congress (ANC) forming a government of national unity (GNU) with opposition parties, have introduced both opportunities and risks. The retention of Enoch Godongwana as Finance Minister is a positive sign, reflecting continuity in fiscal policy, which has already been well-received by markets. This has led to a modest rally in the Rand, with some analysts optimistically projecting it could strengthen to around R17.70/USD by year-end, provided global and domestic conditions remain stable. However, the road ahead is anything but certain. The success of this coalition government in navigating complex political dynamics will be crucial. The Rand’s performance hinges on whether the GNU can deliver on much-needed reforms and address pressing issues like energy shortages, inflation, and economic growth. Failure to do so could see the Rand weakening significantly, potentially reaching R22/USD under severe downside scenarios. For investors, this means a period of heightened vigilance. The current technical outlook suggests that while there may be short-term gains, the broader trend points to continued volatility. This underscores the importance of a well-balanced, diversified portfolio and a proactive approach to wealth management. As we move forward, our team remains committed to providing you with the strategic guidance and insights needed to navigate these uncertain times. We will continue to monitor developments closely and adjust our strategies to ensure that your investments are well-protected and positioned for long-term growth. Stay informed, stay prepared. #WealthManagement #FinancialPlanning #InvestmentStrategy #SouthAfrica #Forex #RandVolatility #EconomicOutlook
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Amidst the evolving economic landscape in Ghana and the broader African sub-region, let’s delve into International Monetary Fund's recent insights on debt levels in Ghana and neighboring regions. Explore the potential impacts on economic strategies across jurisdictions. International Monetary FundMinistry of FinanceAlex Ampaabengtax justice coalition ghanaBudgIT NigeriaOxfamNatural Resource Governance InstituteInternational Budget Partnership #IMFDebtUpdates #StayInformed
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Fascinating read. Few comments: - Key conclusion: our countries took a poisoned gift without being ready nor understanding what it meant... all for political expediency at the detriment of citizens. - Pity that the journos did not question the methodologies applied by the large Credit Rating Agencies (neither did our countries ask for them until it got sticky!). Rather they took it at face-value (which of course would lead to the conclusion that the methodology is not applied in a biased way! Dah!) and in my opinion missed the point on criticism of CRMs role in Africa. https://lnkd.in/eCRxsmQJ
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"Convergence of the Commercial and Financial Signature of Cameroon: Building Credible Norms": #Cameroon #CommercialFinance #FinancialNorms #EconomicDevelopment #CredibleNorms #BusinessEthics #FinancialIntegrity #CameroonEconomy #SustainableFinance #PolicyDevelopment #EconomicResearch #FinancialRegulation #BusinessStandards #TradeAndFinance #CameroonBusiness #ResearchPaper #AcademicPublishing #FinanceInnovation #NormsAndStandards #DevelopmentEconomics
Convergence of the Commercial and Financial Signature of the State of Cameroon: Building Credible Norms
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Exciting opportunities for Zimbabwean enterpreneurs and ecosystem builders. l had to share urgently coz the deadlines are a bit urgent. 1. Fifty-sixth session of the Economic Commission for Africa Conference of African Ministers of Finance, Planning and Economic Development to be helf in Vic Falls. The Conference brings together African Ministers of Finance, Planning and Economic Development, governors of central banks, and entities of the United Nations system. In addition, it will include the participation of pan-African financial institutions, youth representatives, African academic and research institutions, development partners, intergovernmental organizations and other key stakeholders. The Zimbabwean Ministry of Finance and Investment won the bid. Register below https://lnkd.in/dYBrfmsH 2. ZIMRA is conducting an AfCFTA conference to discuss the facilatory role of Zimbabwe Revenue Authority (ZIMRA) Official It's exciting to see that AfCFTA issues are being discussed more and more. The poster is below
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I watched a video of Kevin Lings, STANLIB's Chief Economist, where he discussed the implications of the Government of National Unity (GNU) for South Africa's economic success. Herewith a summary of his views: 1. Pre-Election Reforms: The government implemented reforms to draw private sector investment into infrastructure, starting with the electricity sector and expanding to ports and rail. 2. Private Sector Engagement: Initiatives include the deregulation of the electricity sector, tender allocation to manage Durban's Pier 2, and Transnet’s invitation for private sector involvement in rail corridors. 3. Election Concerns: There were fears that a post-election partnership between the ANC and parties like the EFF or MK would derail these reforms. 4. Positive Outcome: The ANC partnered with parties including the DA, encouraging private sector confidence. Financial markets responded positively with stronger equity, currency, and bond markets. 5. Future Prospects: If the GNU holds together and appoints effective cabinet members, South Africa could see increased economic growth and investment, potentially lifting growth closer to 4% over the next five years. "This momentum could foster a more encouraging environment for financial markets and attract investment into South African assets." After reading this, what are your thoughts..?
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We are excited to share a significant update from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) concerning Cameroon. On July 3, 2024, the IMF Executive Board completed the First Review under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF) and the Sixth Reviews under the Extended Credit Facility (ECF) and Extended Fund Facility (EFF). This milestone allows for an immediate disbursement of $72.7 million under the ECF-EFF and $45.4 million under the RSF. Despite a challenging domestic and external environment, Cameroon’s economy showed resilience in 2023, with an estimated growth of 3.3%. Projections indicate an uptick to 3.9% in 2024, underscoring the nation's potential for sustained economic growth. Inflation, which moderated to 5.9% at the end of 2023, is expected to further decline to 5.5% by the end of 2024. The IMF praised the Cameroonian authorities for their ongoing commitment to economic reforms, particularly in public financial management, structural transformation, and climate change adaptation and mitigation. These reforms are crucial for fostering inclusive, private sector-driven growth and ensuring long-term fiscal and external stability. Key takeaways from the IMF's review: 🔹 Continued economic recovery with growth projections of 3.9% in 2024. 🔹 Successful disbursement of funds, enhancing financial stability and reform implementation. 🔹 Progress in climate change adaptation and mitigation, supported by the RSF. As legal professionals, we recognize the importance of these developments in creating a stable and predictable economic environment for businesses and investors. The focus on enhancing public financial management and structural reforms aligns with the broader goal of improving governance and reducing corruption, which are critical for sustainable development. At Dayspring, we are committed to supporting businesses navigate the evolving economic landscape in Cameroon and beyond. Our expertise in financial regulation, compliance, and governance ensures that our clients are well-positioned to leverage these economic opportunities. Stay tuned for more insights and updates on how these developments might impact the legal and business environment in Cameroon. #Cameroon #IMF #EconomicGrowth #Sustainability #LawFirm #BusinessGrowth #FinancialManagement #ClimateChange #InvestmentOpportunities 👇🏽👇🏽👇🏽👇🏽👇🏽👇🏽👇🏽👇🏽
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