Oren Charnoff’s Post

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Co-Founder & CEO @ Fondue - acq by Postscript

The biggest DTC losers of 2024 will be the brands that act like it's still 2020. Let me explain. In 2020: ➝ Everybody was working from home ➝ Stimulus checks meant more disposable income for many ➝ Bored at home and flush with cash, consumers started spending ➝ Rates got cut to near-zero and tons of companies took advantage ➝ Anyone and everyone was raising money with a "growth over profits" mindset Do you know what that meant for DTC brands? Coupon codes. Coupon codes. Coupon codes. As long as they saw Top Line growth on their internal dashboards, they were happy. Profit was an afterthought. Oh, how things have changed. In 2024: ➝ People are returning to the office ➝ Stimulus checks are gone and people are struggling more ➝ Discretionary spending is way down compared to pandemic levels ➝ Rates shot up and companies are unfortunately laying off those over-hired ➝ "Growth over profits" is a thing of the past—your brand needs to make money I'm not here to give you a macro-economics lesson. I'm here to tell you a growing Top Line means precisely 0 if profit isn't growing with it. How you discount directly affects that. Just something to keep in mind.

Abby Schommer

Chief Customer Officer of RevScience

6mo

Couldn’t agree more! It’s wild the number of brand owners I’ve spoken with that want to run a 20% sale on a specific product or collection (or even site-wide) without true understanding of the impact to their margin / whether their current margins can even sustain such a discount without degrading net profitability. Others will say it’s fine to ‘take a loss now’ in hopes of those customers coming back & purchasing more (higher margin products).. but then operate with no tracking of customer LTV. Especially when discounting, a close / real-time understanding of these financial metrics is crucial.

Great insights. Adapting to the changing landscape is key for DTC brands. 💡 Oren Charnoff

Lou Mintzer

Boring emails are dead. I help Shopify+Klaviyo brands make more money with thumb-stopping content.

6mo

Love the pod Oren!

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