Performance Execution Group LLC (PEG)’s Post

In finance, decision-making under uncertainty is a skill we can’t afford to overlook. 🎯🔍 From market volatility to unexpected economic shifts, not every decision comes with clear answers. What helps? Building flexibility into our strategies and trusting in the fundamentals, even when the road ahead isn’t clear. Instead of chasing ‘perfect’ data, we focus on scenarios, probabilities, and resilience, making sure we’re prepared to adapt. How do you approach decisions when certainty isn’t guaranteed? #Finance #DecisionMaking #Uncertainty #Resilience

Past performance isn’t always a predictor of future success. 📈🚩 High valuations often come with steep expectations—remember, the higher the climb, the tougher the hurdles. Stay informed, diversify, and make decisions grounded in analysis, not assumptions. 💡💼  #InvestingWisely #RiskManagement #FinancialInsights

In the world of finance, making sound decisions is crucial—but often, we fall prey to cognitive biases that skew our judgment. These biases lead to suboptimal choices, overconfidence, and emotional decision-making. Understanding these biases can help us make more informed, rational financial decisions. Common Cognitive Biases in Finance: Anchoring Bias: Relying too heavily on the first piece of information received, even when it's irrelevant, can lead to poor investment choices. Confirmation Bias: We often seek information that confirms our existing beliefs, ignoring data that challenges them, which can result in missed opportunities. Overconfidence Bias: Overestimating our ability to predict market trends can cause us to take unnecessary risks. Loss Aversion: Fear of loss can cause us to hold onto failing investments longer than we should. Recognizing these biases is the first step toward making better financial decisions. By understanding how they affect our behavior, we can mitigate their influence and invest more wisely. #BehavioralFinance #CognitiveBias #Investing #FinancialDecisionMaking #InvestmentStrategies #PersonalFinance #GrowthMindset

Join us in unraveling the mysteries of economic impacts on your cash and profit conversion with Jonathan's insightful scenario planning workshop: The Power of One. Experience, learn, and grow with us! Click here to register: https://bit.ly/3ud1X4i #EconomicImpacts #CashFlow #ProfitConversion #ScenarioPlanning #BusinessWorkshop #ThePowerOfOne #ExperienceLearningGrowth

Join us in unraveling the mysteries of economic impacts on your cash and profit conversion with Jonathan's insightful scenario planning workshop: The Power of One. Experience, learn, and grow with us! Click here to register: https://bit.ly/3ud1X4i #EconomicImpacts #CashFlow #ProfitConversion #ScenarioPlanning #BusinessWorkshop #ThePowerOfOne #ExperienceLearningGrowth

#40 - Neglect of Probability Bias - Neglecting probability can lead to risky decisions in finance and life. Understanding probabilities helps you make smarter choices, avoid bias, and better manage uncertainty. Don’t gamble with your future—analyze the odds and play to win! 🎯 #ProbabilityMatters #SmartDecisions #RiskManagement #FinancialWisdom #PlanForSuccess

How useful are 5-year projections ? As per Rubén D. and Burak Buyukdemir.........see more comments and details below...... 5-year projections = can say whatever you want them to with various assumptions - but on what basis are those assumptions made (mainly just to tell the story you want to tell).............. What is important:- 12-month detailed expense breakdown Customer retention, growth and acquisition plans with revenue per customer Key market details AND showing that you know your market / customers and products..... Financial Models - need to show clear assumptions and a break down of costs - "If you can't explain your numbers for the next 12 months, you definitely can't predict the next 5 years."

As a fractional CFO, I’ve worked with many companies preparing for investment, and one thing is clear: investors care about substance, not speculation. While long-term 5-year projections often get dismissed by VCs as pure fiction, this doesn’t mean growth potential isn’t important. In fact, you need a balance of both short-term reality and long-term vision to win over investors. Burak Buyukdemir post hits the nail on the head: => 5-year projections? Fiction. => Market size guesses? Misleading. => Growth predictions? Pure fantasy. Instead, what works is: ✅ A clear and detailed 12-month plan, backed by numbers you can explain. ✅ A breakdown of unit economics, customer acquisition costs, and real revenue per customer. ✅ Transparency around expenses and a realistic cash runway. But here’s the key: VCs still want to see the size of the prize. While the next 12 months provide credibility, investors also need to understand your future growth potential. This is where a realistic, achievable go-to-market (GTM) strategy becomes critical. It’s not just about showing big numbers—it’s about showing how you’ll get there. That’s where I come in. I work with companies to build investor-ready financial forecasts that strike the right balance between short-term reality and long-term opportunity. With robust planning and clear assumptions, I help founders tell a credible, compelling story that inspires investor confidence. If you’re preparing to raise capital and want to wow investors with forecasts they can believe in, let’s connect. #InvestorReady #Funding #Growth #VCInvestment #Success #GTMStrategy

Join us in unraveling the mysteries of economic impacts on your cash and profit conversion with Jonathan's insightful scenario planning workshop: The Power of One. Experience, learn, and grow with us! Click here to register: https://bit.ly/3ud1X4i #EconomicImpacts #CashFlow #ProfitConversion #ScenarioPlanning #BusinessWorkshop #ThePowerOfOne #ExperienceLearningGrowth