Suriname's financial outlook is improving dramatically, mainly due to the anticipated impact of a major oil discovery. On July 25, 2024, TotalEnergies' CEO Patrick Pouyanne hinted at a potential $9 billion investment in deepwater drilling at Block 58, which could hold up to 700 million barrels of oil. This has caused Suriname's dollar bonds due in 2033 to rise by 3 cents on the dollar, with Barclays lowering the chance of the project not moving forward from 10% to 5%. Suriname's bonds have surged this year, returning 14.7% compared to the average 5% for other emerging markets. The yield spread over U.S. Treasury bonds has dropped by 200 basis points to 479. Foreign bonds due in 2033 have risen to 97 cents on the dollar from 83 cents. The value recovery instrument, tied to oil royalties from Block 58, has more than doubled to 85 cents and could climb another 10 to 24 cents. In addition to the oil developments, Suriname has made significant fiscal reforms, such as removing fuel subsidies and expanding VAT, reducing its central government debt from 146% of GDP in 2020 to under 90% in 2024. However, risks remain, including political uncertainty from the May 2025 presidential elections and potential social unrest due to the economic reforms. #oilboom #emergingmarkets #totalenergies #barclays #commodities #bondmarkets Source: Bloomberg
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FOREIGN INVESTORS WITHDRAW FROM NIGERIAN OIL SECTOR Read: https://lnkd.in/dUdv7_pq Follow Business World Africa for exciting news updates in the African business space #businessnews #OilandGasConvention2024 #Nigerianoilsector #Foreigninvestors
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Nigeria's oil divestment processes: do they need a fix? The editorial board BusinessDay says yes in this strong op-ed. They make the case that the slow speed of divestment approvals is not just a red flag for would-be investors, but also a concern for the national economy. "The longer the divestment process takes, the greater the risk to Nigeria’s oil production and revenue generation. In a nation facing severe fiscal challenges—including rising debt and inflation—such delays are deeply counterproductive." The paper refers to "complexity for complexity's sake". This is interesting when we consider the passage of the PIA in 2021 and the subsequent development of NNPC's comprehensive divestment framework, both of which were ostensibly intended to make life easier for government and investors alike. Have they had the desired effect?
Nigeria’s oil divestment: Time to simplify a complex process - Businessday NG
businessday.ng
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Efforts of the government to bring in investors to Nigeria’s oil and gas sector appear not to have yielded the desired result as the sector only attracted $5m foreign investment in the second quarter of the year, having recorded no investment in the first quarter.
Petroleum sector attracted $5m foreign investment in H1 — Report
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Despite efforts by the government to attract more foreign investors into the oil and gas sector, the nation’s foreign capital investments in the industry nosedived from $720m in 2016 to $3.64m in the entire 2023.
Oil sector’s foreign investments drop from $720m to $3.64m
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Namibia’s international reserves at N$57.6 billion The Bank of Namibia recently reported that by the end of June 2024, Namibia’s international reserves stood at N$57.6 billion, providing an import cover of 3.8 months for goods and services. Excluding oil and gas imports funded from abroad, the import cover extended to 4.6 months. The stock of international reserves further increased by 2.9%, reaching N$59.3 billion by the end of August 2024. Moreover, the International Investment Position (IIP) reflected a lower net asset position at the close of the second quarter of 2024, compared to the same period last year, due to a rise in gross foreign liabilities. Report: Hertha Ekandjo
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Namibia’s FDI’s suffer N$7.2 decline over the past year: Namibia’s net foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows declined during the second quarter of 2024, largely driven by base effects, intercompany loan repayments and a slowdown in the appraisal drilling campaigns. Namibia’s net direct investment inflows declined by N$7.2 billion and N$3.9 billion on a yearly and quarterly basis, respectively, to
Namibia’s FDI’s suffer N$7.2 decline over the past year
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A peice about Nigeria, NNPCL and the Dangote Oil Industry. Petroleum Politics and Policies in Nigeria - NNPCL, Dangote Refinery, and Oil Price Conundrum Nigeria's petroleum sector, a backbone of its economy, is navigated by complex politics and policies, particularly surrounding the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPCL) and the new Dangote Refinery. **NNPCL's Role**: NNPCL, as a state-owned enterprise, is central to Nigeria's oil production and revenue generation. However, it has been marred by inefficiencies, corruption, and mismanagement. Despite reforms aimed at increasing transparency and productivity, the company has struggled with aging infrastructure and a dependence on imported refined oil due to inadequate domestic refining capacity. **Dangote Refinery**: The newly constructed Dangote Refinery, touted as one of the largest in Africa, has the potential to transform Nigeria’s oil landscape. It aims to reduce dependency on imported petroleum products and boost local refining capabilities. However, its operational success hinges on stable policy frameworks, investment in infrastructure, and the ability to navigate Nigeria’s turbulent political environment. **Oil Price Conundrum**: Nigeria grapples with fluctuating global oil prices, which heavily impact its economy. High global prices can lead to increased revenue, yet they also heighten the cost of living domestically, igniting public discontent and social unrest. Conversely, low prices can strain government budgets, leading to cuts in public services and eroding economic stability. **Bitter Pills**: The conundrum necessitates difficult choices. Policies aimed at subsidy removal and deregulation are critical for market stabilization but often face severe public pushback due to their immediate adverse effects on citizens. This situation reflects a broader struggle within Nigeria’s petroleum sector, where the interplay between local aspirations, global market realities, and political dynamics often leads to a cycle of policy failures and social challenges. In summary, the stakes are high as Nigeria stands at a crossroads, needing effective governance, strategic partnerships, and robust policy frameworks to harness its petroleum resources for sustainable national development while navigating the inherent challenges of the oil price landscape.
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Seems that this is being pushed for personal gain, like many others, PNG LNG, Connect PNG, and more...Government has been misleading people with biased rhetoric about the benefits, drawing attention away from things that matter more... Was due process followed? Provide the evidence. There are standards and values that must never play second fiddle to ego and pride of national leaders, bodies or political parties. Did you give the opposition sufficient time to review and rebut? Did you take heed of their concerns and those of citizens, and provided relevant answers? Which relevant state institutions were involved? If any... Was there Total Accountability and Transparency in this bill, agreement? Where is the document for us all to peruse, it is a State Entity, and every citizen has the right to question and to be privy to the agreement details. Stop this nonsense. Do things properly, have proper inputs, and debates. Word on the grapevine is there are tax exemptions for the lifetime of the project agreement, no corporate taxes, no laws to oversee. And who are the shareholders.? Rumor also that we might not be able to ever change it when it becomes law. Are these rumors true??? If there is an inch of truth in the rumors, I wonder what type of a democracy exists in PNG...
Papua New Guinea's Gold Project to Generate Significant Financial Benefits: Finance Minister Finance Minister of Papua New Guinea, Rainbo Paita, has stated that the National Gold Corporation project will generate significant financial benefits for the country. The project is expected to yield total dividends of USD 277 million, corporate income tax of USD 287 million and dividend withholding tax from Refinery Holdings worth USD 53 million. The project is projected to generate annual foreign currency inflows between USD 5-7 billion when fully operational. The terms of the renegotiated deal under the Marape government have altered the balance of financial benefits in favour of the state (71%) and Refinery Holdings (29%). Leafsplash.com
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still trying to understand those terms and percentage mentioned.
Papua New Guinea's Gold Project to Generate Significant Financial Benefits: Finance Minister Finance Minister of Papua New Guinea, Rainbo Paita, has stated that the National Gold Corporation project will generate significant financial benefits for the country. The project is expected to yield total dividends of USD 277 million, corporate income tax of USD 287 million and dividend withholding tax from Refinery Holdings worth USD 53 million. The project is projected to generate annual foreign currency inflows between USD 5-7 billion when fully operational. The terms of the renegotiated deal under the Marape government have altered the balance of financial benefits in favour of the state (71%) and Refinery Holdings (29%). Leafsplash.com
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