A recap from the first round of fixtures Rugby World Cup France 2023 I ran two types of simulation 1000x - one where scores are treated independently and the other where scores are treated dependently. A few key results: Dependent scores - 7/8 winners correctly predicted and 4/8 scores fell within most likely winning margin Independent scores - 8/8 winners correctly predicted and 14/16 predicted scores were within 9 points of the actual #rugby #rwc2023 #performanceanalysis #analysis