Ryan Wiser’s Post

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Senior Scientist at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory

ICYMI: There is a lot of talk about federal transmission policy related to planning, permitting, and costs. Rightly so. A robust transmission system is critical to economic, energy, and national security objectives, but getting from here to there ain't easy. A new DOE paper seeks to inform those discussions, and includes an analysis of the potential impacts of various generic federal actions. We find large potential benefits of action. Under an enhanced transmission scenario that addresses a subset of key bottlenecks to both regional and interregional transmission, the report finds: 👉By enabling access to low-cost generation and sharing reliability resources over broader regions, electricity consumers could save $320 billion through 2050 relative to a future with restricted transmission growth (enhanced transmission 2, in figure below). 👉 Added transmission would be beneficial during periods of grid-system stress when the reliability of electricity supply is at risk. 👉 If cost savings from enhanced transmission lines are reinvested in reliability improvements, 5.5 million fewer households are estimated to lose power for an hour each year. 👉 Peaking power plant capacity could be reduced by 68 GW by 2041 relative to a restricted transmission future, reducing pollution that disproportionately impacts disadvantaged communities. 👉 Clean electricity will grow more rapidly, reducing cumulative power sector carbon dioxide emissions by 3,420 million metric tons through 2050. Cumulative emissions are 18% lower in an enhanced transmission scenario than they are in a restricted transmission scenario. 👉 Climate and human health benefits through 2050, when monetized, sum to $730 billion and $50 billion, respectively, relative to a restricted transmission future. New study here: https://lnkd.in/gpbc2ZNW

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