Thank you to the Commercial Observer and Mark Hallum for the opportunity to share thoughts on San Francisco retail. In spite of high profile closings, there remains much to be optimistic about.
Here's a couple:
i. Department Stores - Believe it or not, Nordstrom and Macys would like to have a store in San Francisco, just not 312,000 SF and 400,000 SF! Entirely possible in coming years both companies 'right size' and open smaller prototypes. Macy's may lease back a smaller portion of their existing building as part of the future sale.
ii. Financial District - Yes, high vacancy, but retail touring activity, sign calls and LOI negotiations are up substantially over Q1 2023. Recoveries start with local businesses. Opportunity seems to be outweighing exposure. You can have a profitable business so long as your occupancy costs are in balance with your sales. Landlords and Retailers are working more closely together than ever.
iii. Neighborhoods - Performing very well. Pedestrian retail streets have very limited vacancy with rents at or exceeding pre-pandemic levels. Several neighborhood requirements on behalf of clients unfilled to due lack of availabilities. Fillmore, Chestnut, Union, Hayes street pandemic vacancies have mostly been filled.
iv. City Hall - Moderate voices on public policy, zoning and supporting business are winning the day. Union Square and the Financial District, in spite of high vacancies, are safer and busier. Incidents of retail theft are down and law enforcement has more support from City Hall than it has in years. This will increase customer visits and positive experiences and ultimately sales.
While it will take time, what arises from the recovery process can be more relevant, meaningful and successful than what existed prior. Would not want to live or work anywhere else in the world and when i look around my office i know others feel the same!
#letsgo #welovesf #recovery #jllsfretail