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What can we expect from Labour's first 100 days in power? The Labour Party, under the leadership of Keir Starmer, has secured a decisive victory at the general election, ending 14 years of Conservative power. With 412 seats, Labour has a strong mandate to implement its ambitious agenda. In this article, Brevia looks at what the first 100 days of a Labour Government might look like and what Labour’s priorities might be over this Parliament. Read more from Ella Dutton below: https://lnkd.in/eQDRJGya

🎉 Labour Wins General Election 2024! 🎉 Sir Keir Starmer has triumphantly announced, "Change begins now," after Labour's historic win in the General Election 2024. Securing over 400 seats, Labour achieved a landslide victory, despite winning only 35% of the vote. Sir Keir, Britain's 58th Prime Minister, declared the party's readiness to restore Britain to the service of working people. Congratulations are pouring in: Tania Bowers from APSCo expressed, “First and foremost, myself and APSCo congratulate the new Labour Government on its landslide win. The professional staffing sector and a forward-thinking flexible labour market are critical to its growth plans, and APSCo will continue to advocate for the differences between expert independent working and the broader agency market.” A Bright Future Ahead: Contrasting with Rishi Sunak's "sobering" reflection, Sir Keir joyfully exclaimed, "We did it." Big names like Liz Truss, Grant Schapps, and Jacob Rees-Mogg lost their seats, marking a significant shift in the political landscape. IR35 and the Contractor Community: Reform UK, under Nigel Farage, also saw success, with Farage reaffirming the pledge to abolish IR35. As Rachel Reeves steps in as the first-ever female Chancellor, the contractor workforce is hopeful for positive changes. Seb Maley from Qdos emphasized, “Reviewing the rules and addressing the flaws of both IR35 and the off-payroll working rules is crucial.” Neil Carberry from the REC highlighted the need for Labour to deliver on their promises while supporting growth and prosperity, acknowledging that the labour market's evolution requires flexible working options. Looking Forward: Contractors like James Brown hope Labour's plan for a ‘Single Worker Status’ will provide fair rights and protections for all workers. The election marks a significant moment for Britain, with new opportunities and challenges ahead. Stay tuned for more updates! #LabourVictory #GeneralElection2024 #KeirStarmer #IR35 #NewBeginnings

Be cautious of the hype! With all the hype over an anticipated Labour landslide, why is Keir Starmer right to behave as if he is five points behind in the opinion polls? A little delve into polling history makes for interesting insight. From 5 January - 30 April 1997 there were 84 opinion polls conducted. 81 of these polls showed Labour leads of between 13 and 31%, with most in the region of 17-24%. The general election result on 1 May 1997 was a Labour lead of 12.5% with a majority of 179. Of course, it is numbers of seats that matter and not national opinion polls. Even in a landslide year such as 1997, a gap of ‘only’ 12.5% still gave Labour a whopping majority. I’ve been a Labour member since 2008. I want Labour to win. Though I suspect the result of this year’s election to be closer than current polls are suggesting. Labour can still win well with a decent size majority on a 7-10% lead and seem on course to do so. But predictions with Labour overturning seats with Tory majorities of 20,000+ in seats such as West Worcestershire, Skipton and Ripon, Central Suffolk or North West Hampshire - to name a few - will likely prove fictitious. Comparisons with the past can’t tell us the future per se. But take a look at the history of polling and you’ll see overestimations in Labour’s vote share and seat numbers in the final weeks before an election from 1992 right through to 2019 (apart from 2010 & 2017), despite major methodological changes by polling companies. Even the use of newer and more advanced methods such as multi-level regression and post-stratification (MRP) forecast a notably higher number of seats for Labour in 2019 than the party actually achieved (although vote share predictions were well within margin of error). It seems that there is a still tendency to overstate Labour’s lead. Despite various psephological reforms, this could simply be down to people polled being more likely to express an intention to vote Labour than in practice. Whatever it may be, the problem still exists to various extents. The latest MRP poll suggests Labour is on course for a 154 seat majority, based on a 17% vote share lead. This is less than other traditional polls which are forecasting a Labour majority of 200+. Even a 154 seat majority is huge. The last time we saw a majority of that size for any party was Labour’s victory in 2001 - often dubbed ‘the silent landslide’. But will the polls tighten? At the height of the campaign as voters are more exposed to arguments between the two main parties, probably, yes, and for many reasons. My point is don’t fall for all the hype. Yes, it is good to see Labour ahead and on course for a win, finally. But Keir Starmer is wise to be telling shadow cabinet members to behave as if Labour is five points behind. That strategy needs to remain in place throughout the entire party right up to polling day. Any 20,000 Tory majorities overturned are a bonus for Labour, but are not essential in order to govern.

StatistaS UK Politics The UK’s Labour Party Secures Landslide Win UK general election Jul 5, 2024 The UK’s Labour Party has won the 2024 general election, pushing out the Conservatives after 14 years of rule. The Labour Party, headed by Sir Keir Starmer, won 412 parliamentary seats across the UK, securing a landslide majority well over the 326 seats mark and saw a gain of 211 seats since the last general election in 2019. Counting was still ongoing at the time of writing, with two seats yet to be accounted for. As the following chart based on BBC reporting shows, the Conservatives, or Tories as they are commonly known, trailed some way behind, having lost 250 seats since the last parliamentary election - their worst defeat ever. Notable MPs to have lost their positions include Liz Truss, Jacob Rees-Mogg and Penny Mordaunt. It’s brighter news for the Greens though, who secured four seats in parliament, up from just one seat in the House of Commons in the 2019 election. This puts them on par with the newly established far-right Reform UK, headed by Brexiteer Nigel Farage, the MP candidate for Clacton. Farage, who is a Member of the European Parliament, has now entered the House of Commons for the first time, after seven failed attempts. Meanwhile, another surprise success went to Jeremy Corbyn, who retained the Islington North seat as an independent candidate after having been expelled from the Labour Party which he formerly led. In Scotland, the Scottish National Party saw major losses, losing 38 seats, as swathes of voters chose to cast their ballot instead for Labour this time round, while in Northern Ireland, Sinn Féin had a greater number of MPs win seats than any other party for the first time. Starmer has said that his UK government will now work towards starting “to rebuild our country”, having pledged in his manifesto to, among other promises, build 1.5 million homes over the next five years, cut NHS waiting times by adding more than 40,000 appointments a week by paying staff more to work weekends and evenings and to recruit 6,500 more teachers and introduce free breakfast clubs at every primary school in England.

On the eve of the UK’s General Election, as Labour prepares for an almost-certain landslide victory, it's crucial to get to know its Prospective Parliamentary Candidates (PPCs). To do so, Penta has conducted an in-depth analysis of the public views and campaigns of nearly 150 Labour PPCs throughout 2023 to shed light on the future direction of a Labour government and the motivations of its MPs. Our findings reveal several key areas where Labour PPCs diverge from the party’s leadership, indicating the issues they are likely to prioritise and advocate for if elected on July 4th. These insights provide valuable signals about the pressures and campaigns we can expect from a future Labour government. If you’d like a deep dive into the analysis in full, click here to download a copy of Penta’s report - A House United: https://bit.ly/4cOrQYH

The UK’s Labour Party has won the 2024 general election, pushing out the Conservatives after 14 years of rule. The Labour party, headed by Sir Keir Starmer, won 412 parliamentary seats across the UK, securing a landslide majority well over the 326 seats mark, and seeing a gain of 211 seats since the last general election in 2019. Counting was still ongoing at the time of writing, with two seats yet to be accounted for. As the following chart based on BBC reporting shows, the Conservatives, or Tories as they are commonly known, trailed some way behind, having lost 250 seats since the last parliamentary election - the Tory party’s worst ever. Notable MPs to have lost their positions include Liz Truss, Jacob Rees-Mogg and Penny Mordaunt. It’s brighter news for the Greens though, who secured four seats in parliament, up from just one seat in the House of Commons in the 2019 election. This puts them on par with the newly established far-right Reform UK, headed by Brexiteer Nigel Farage, the MP candidate for Clacton. Farage, who is a Member of the European Parliament, has now entered the House of Commons for the first time, after seven failed attempts. Meanwhile, another surprise success went to Jeremy Corbyn, who retained the Islington North seat as an independent candidate after having been expelled from the Labour party which he formerly led. In Scotland, the Scottish National Party saw major losses, losing 38 seats, as swathes of voters chose to cast their ballot instead for Labour this time round, while in Northern Ireland, Sinn Féin had a greater number of MPs win seats than any other party for the first time. Starmer has said that his UK government will now work towards starting “to rebuild our country”, having pledged in their manifesto to, among other promises, build 1.5 million homes over the next five years, cut NHS waiting times by adding more than 40,000 appointments a week by paying staff more to work weekends and evenings and to recruit 6,500 more teachers and introduce free breakfast clubs at every primary school in England.

The UK’s Labour Party has won the 2024 general election, pushing out the Conservatives after 14 years of rule. The Labour Party, headed by Sir Keir Starmer, won 412 parliamentary seats across the UK, securing a landslide majority well over the 326 seats mark and saw a gain of 211 seats since the last general election in 2019. Counting was still ongoing at the time of writing, with two seats yet to be accounted for. As the following chart based on BBC reporting shows, the Conservatives, or Tories as they are commonly known, trailed some way behind, having lost 250 seats since the last parliamentary election - their worst defeat ever. Notable MPs to have lost their positions include Liz Truss, Jacob Rees-Mogg and Penny Mordaunt. It’s brighter news for the Greens though, who secured four seats in parliament, up from just one seat in the House of Commons in the 2019 election. This puts them on par with the newly established far-right Reform UK, headed by Brexiteer Nigel Farage, the MP candidate for Clacton. Farage, who is a Member of the European Parliament, has now entered the House of Commons for the first time, after seven failed attempts. Meanwhile, another surprise success went to Jeremy Corbyn, who retained the Islington North seat as an independent candidate after having been expelled from the Labour Party which he formerly led. In Scotland, the Scottish National Party saw major losses, losing 38 seats, as swathes of voters chose to cast their ballot instead for Labour this time round, while in Northern Ireland, Sinn Féin had a greater number of MPs win seats than any other party for the first time. Starmer has said that his UK government will now work towards starting “to rebuild our country”, having pledged in his manifesto to, among other promises, build 1.5 million homes over the next five years, cut NHS waiting times by adding more than 40,000 appointments a week by paying staff more to work weekends and evenings and to recruit 6,500 more teachers and introduce free breakfast clubs at every primary school in England. https://lnkd.in/eyBT7fZB

RMT statement on General Election We are not affiliated to any political party and will back Labour and socialist candidates, it is clear the outcome of the general election will be a Tory-led Government or Labour-led government and that in order to defeat the Tories, Labour has to win. Over the last fourteen years the Tories have undertaken a sustained attack on working people and our members through anti-union legislation and attacks on terms and conditions. The Tories have also presided over the P&O scandal where they did nothing to protect our members. It is our belief that if the Tories are elected, they will come back with an even more vicious assault on workers’ jobs and conditions, and trade union and employment rights. RMT general secretary Mick Lynch said: "It is objectively in the interests of working people to get the Tories out which means getting a Labour led government in, and our members will need to campaign and vote accordingly. "Labour is supporting key policies, such as the New Deal for Working People, which includes repealing the 2016 Trade Union Act and Minimum Services legislation. Labour is also supporting public ownership and reintegration of large parts of the railway, removing the ban on publicly owned buses and improving seafarers’ rights. "However, there will be no blank cheques for Labour and we also challenge Labour to provide an alternative, coherent and credible economic strategy that radically challenges the current orthodoxy on spending and borrowing so that we can properly fund our industries and public services. And alongside the rest of the trade union movement, we are also appalled and condemn the approach the Labour leadership has taken to the conflict in Palestine. "Protections for our members and the delivery of progressive polices are delivered, as always, by our union and the wider trade union movement being prepared to fight for progressive change. We will continue to fight to protect our members’ jobs and conditions. Our fighting political and industrial approach will continue before the election and after the election. "A Labour government increases our prospects of successfully fighting to improve our members’ interests."

It’s game on. Time to win a Labour Government and the New Deal ✊ The General Election has been called. On 4 JULY the country will have a chance to vote for change. Right now, we have one job – to unite and win a Labour Government, to champion the rights and interests of working people across the country. The outcome of this election will shape our future for decades to come. THE NEW DEAL FOR WORKING PEOPLE ONLY HAPPENS IF WE WIN THE GENERAL ELECTION. THAT WORK STARTS TODAY. Sign up now to say you’ll be part of the campaign to win a Labour Government and win the New Deal: Labour’s New Deal for Working People will be transformational, but it only happens if we win a Labour Government. Now is the time to organise, spread the word, and hit the doorsteps to win that Labour Government and make the New Deal a reality. Now, more than ever, our collective voice must be heard loud and clear. Over the coming days and weeks, we will be working tirelessly to engage with activists across the movement to campaign for Labour’s New Deal. Whether it’s knocking on doors, leafleting or simply spreading the word among your colleagues and friends, your contribution matters. I'll keep you uptodate with the latest news and ways to get involved in the General Election campaign. Labour’s New Deal for Working People and to those whom are aspirational for All Pvt public partnership are the change working people need. Change. That is what this general election is about. This is the moment we’ve been working towards. We must come together to beat the Tories and deliver a Labour government to change Britain for the better. If you already understand what’s at stake and are ready to help, please contribute today so we can make history and win the general election on Thursday 4 July. We can’t have five more years of the Tory chaos that put sewage in our rivers, left people waiting on trolleys in A&E, sees crime go virtually unpunished and put mortgages and food prices through the roof. Labour will stop the chaos, turn the page and get Britain's future back. My Labour government will be mission-driven. And ambitions start with first steps: Step 1: Deliver economic stability Step 2: Cut NHS waiting times Step 3: Launch a new Border Security Command Step 4: Set up Great British Energy Step 5: Crack down on antisocial behaviour Step 6: Recruit 6,500 new teachers in key subjects #Generalelection2024 #They’ve been laying the groundwork, and will now spend every penny possible to make sure that we fail to win. Let’s win the Labour Government to deliver it. Solidarity

Happy Saturday everyone! Here’s todays top 5 1 Labour’s manifesto Labour launched their manifesto in Manchester with much razzmatazz. The slick event masked that there was nothing actually new unveiled on the day - everything had already been trailed in advance, something Labour embraced. This was a novel approach - rabbits pulled out and hats at manifesto launches is a tradition. Starmer dismissed such an approach - saying he was a candidate to be Prime Minister not to run a circus. 2. Crossover We’ve also now seen a poll (by YouGov) showing Reform overtaking the Tories. At 17%, the Tory poll rating is one of the lowest ever seen and at this level they could even be overtaken in the number of MPs by the Lib Dem’s. I - and many others - keep saying the polls will close but I’m not sure we meant ‘close’ between the Tories and Reform. With under three weeks to go now, I imagine there’ll be some panic in the Tory ranks. 3. Supermajority While Labour’s polling has fallen back a little in the last few days too, the first past the post system means that they’d still end up with a whopping majority of potentially 200 or more. Some have dubbed this a “supermajority” - and in fact it’s now become part of the Tory narrative - don’t give Starmer a supermajority - which is an odd campaign message. It feels like more of the same damage limitation from the Tories - aiming to minimise the scale of defeat by not allowing Labour to win ‘too’ big (and thus sustain a big enough rump of Tory MP post 4 July) 4. Holiday cancelled Before parliament was dissolved, summer recess was due to start in mid July with MPs returning for two weeks in early September before breaking again for a few weeks for party conference season. But I can’t see a new Government sticking to such a timetable as there’d only be a few weeks between 4 July and mid October when MPs are sitting in Parliament. A new government will be impatient to get going with their new priority legislation. Nor, frankly, is it a good look to be voters! So the new intake of MPs - exhausted by the campaign - might not get quite as long to recharge their batteries over the summer as they might be expecting. 5. Register to vote If you’re not on the electoral register, you can’t vote. The deadline to register is 11.59pm this Tuesday, 18th June. If you want to vote by post, the deadline is 5pm on Wednesday 19th. The parties put a lot of emphasis on postal voters because if you’re signed up for one, you’re magnitudes more likely to actually vote. And they’ll start landing through letter boxes in the coming days so people vote from now, and not just on 4 July! The parties themselves will now be targeting those supporters with postal voters to get them to fill them in and send them off.