Subconscious AI’s Post

The temptation to present information in a way that aligns with a preferable story rather than an honest portrayal of reality is something most of us are familiar with. This phenomenon can occur when motivations and human tendencies lead us to interpret and communicate our findings through an overly positive lens. - financial pressures - inherent psychological biases - and the desire to showcase progress and expertise can all contribute to this distortion. —- Many approaches to AI safety rely on organisations' ability to - reason objectively - adapt to new information - think clearly in high-stress situations - and resist the pull of competing motivations. However, if decision-making processes are influenced by biased interpretations and embellished narratives the foundations of these safety measures become compromised. We have seen cases where technical accomplishments are presented in a way that may imply broader capabilities or understanding than what actually exists. The temptation of flattering fictions in AI is undeniable. ---- P.S. What are your thoughts? Sign up to my newsletter: https://bit.ly/4aQFHxJ

AGI === The buzzword of the decade, and the recent essays from Leopold Aschenbrenner on Super intelligence, AGI, super alignment, etc. predict a much faster pace of AI development. Some, like Sabine Hossenfelder , have pointed out the energy costs required would be implausible. And while AI still has various other breadths it will be able to expand on, we are still VERY far from AGI. In fact, we are SO FAR from AGI that we can't even define intelligence, sentience and understanding, let alone consciousness. As humans, we often overestimate our abilities to play God, but the truth is that we were able to get LLMs and Generative AIs to work as tools, because of our in-depth understanding of language, image analysis, probability and so on. And THAT will definitely improve over time, and get better until we exhaust our resources. But for general intelligence and consciousness, the whole is greater than the sum of its parts, and it is something that we are still not even at the gates of. Even with the best AIs we'll have, we would still need to give it an initial instruction. And if we ARE giving an initial instruction of helping with research or tasks, it'd only be stupid not to mention "do it for the best results for all humans, don't hurt any human, and if that's not possible, abort your task." There! #Solved your super alignment problem :D That would have as much a chance of working than anything else. So it's good for drumming up hype and investment, but no AGI sadly... at least not for a few decades at the least.

🤖 AI in Wealth Management: The Future! 💡 I recently shared my thoughts on AI's role in wealth management. AI won't replace human advisors. It will be a tool. Advisors need to become behavioral coaches. To help clients navigate uncertainty. AI is great at goal-seeking. But it can't understand human motivations. For example: we all want to make money, but how we make it matters (for most of us). In uncertain times, making the right tradeoffs is key. The future belongs to cyborg advisors - blending AI and human intelligence. What do you think about AI in wealth management? 🤔 Agree or disagree? Like, share, or follow for more insights.

So often we hear that we shouldn't worry about AI as 'industrial/technological revolutions always create more jobs than they destroy' ... and if we look back in 30 years' time this may have turned out to be true, BUT there is no guarantee, and we should keep in mind the financial services disclaimer that 'past performance does not guarantee future results'. There isn't going to be a 'big bang' when jobs are suddenly lost, but a drip, drip of corporate press releases that talk about efficiency savings and process improvements brought about by AI - and the jobs that will not need to be filled as a result. David VL Smith and I have been considering this in our latest Substack - link below

The #GenAI hype machine is in full swing. From worries about an #AI takeover to human-like #LLM lies, every day, a new batch of overheated claims arrives. But is it really going to destroy democracy, create mass unemployment, or level entire industries overnight? Mark D. sanity-checked some of the biggest AI exaggerations to date. This is what he found. https://lnkd.in/egxuwAP2

In recent years, the conversation around Artificial Intelligence (AI) has become increasingly polarized. Influential voices highlight both the incredible benefits and potential threats of AI, but I believe there's a lot of misinformation and exaggeration on both sides. On one hand, we see fascinating posts about AI's capabilities, painting a picture of a near future where AI seamlessly integrates into every aspect of our lives. On the other hand, there are those who fear AI will develop consciousness and pose an existential threat to humanity. This view, in my opinion, is influenced more by science fiction than reality. AI undoubtedly offers tremendous benefits, particularly in terms of automation and enhanced services. But let's also consider the risks. The safety net that human civilization has developed over thousands of years—including our homes, policing, military, and other safeguards—is potentially at risk. AI has the potential to empower individuals and teams to a degree we've never seen before, essentially weaponizing intelligence and technology exponentially. These individuals might be geniuses, but they are unlikely to be Gandhis. From a realistic standpoint, starting 1-2 years ago, everything humanity has built is at risk: our banking system, trade markets, distribution grids, and even national security. The Pandora's box has been opened, and while we must embrace the great things AI brings, we also need to shield ourselves against a powerful and unseen enemy. As individuals, we can choose to be optimistic or pessimistic, but it takes courage to be realistic. We must acknowledge both the opportunities and the threats posed by AI, and work towards a balanced approach that leverages its benefits while mitigating its risks. --- What are your thoughts on this perspective? Feel free to share your insights and engage in the discussion! #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #Technology #Future #Innovation #Risks #Benefits #Realism #Automation

It seems we have suddenly entered the next "AI winter". One of the big complaints are about "high" rates of hallucinations. What makes an answer trustworthy? Humans easily overlook the high rate of "hallucinations" by human experts. There are whole fields where human experts are paid lots of money to say all sorts of things every day with confidence and often do it with little proof and despite the high rates of error when reviewed over time they are lauded and rehired. When ML/AI produces an answer, it may be on average more accurate than humans would be but because the error patterns are very inhuman, humans trust them less than they should. At Maxmind we provide billions of answers to our customers every month about IP addresses and some of them are wrong. Our customers trust because we provide statistically based scores about our believed accuracy for each result as well as we have 22 years of experience building process to get the best answers we can. I'm surprised after several years how little scoring/answer process sharing most GenAI systems share. So it is not surprising that people complain even when it might only be wrong 2-5% of the time which is probably in most cases better than 80%+ of humans who try to answer the same questions today.

There’s one word that truly defines and motivates me: "intelligence." I realised a while ago that this is my word. It's something I feel is well-developed in me and something I really get excited about in others. I believe it's a fundamental part of what makes our lives what they are. I’ve identified three key areas where I focus my efforts and investments, all revolving around three different forms of intelligence: 1️⃣ Personal intelligence: This covers everything related to an individual and how they develop their intelligence. I take a broad view here, including physical and mental health, and above all, the internal state. 2️⃣ Collective intelligence: This is about organizing and optimizing the intelligence of groups. A group is more than just the sum of its parts. How to connect people, build relationships, and create effective teams. 3️⃣ Artificial Intelligence: While it's a hot topic, I believe we are only at the beginning of what AI can achieve. There are big changes ahead, and I’m investing a lot of attention and resources into developing AI because I see it as a major component of our future, both in work and in life. These three forms of intelligence—personal, collective, and artificial—are my main areas of focus for activities and investments, and I believe these are significant components of our future, both in work and beyond.

What if AI’s biggest risk isn’t job loss, but mind loss? Here’s where I’m at with AI lately. It really hit me as I was listening to my niece, who was bubbling with excitement about all the amazing things she can do now thanks to AI. And yeah, it’s incredible—AI is a total game changer. But then it struck me: there’s a flip side to this. AI could easily become the reason we slip into a new era of mental laziness. That’s the part that really gets to me. It’s not about AI taking over jobs; it’s about AI becoming the go-to shortcut for lazy minds. And I’m not the only one who’s noticing this—people across different industries are starting to say the same thing. We’re so caught up in getting things done—finishing tasks, meeting deadlines, cranking out results. And sure, that’s important. But that’s not where the real magic of being human happens. We need to stop obsessing over the finish line and start appreciating the process—the energy we put in, the detours we take, even when they’re messy or unpredictable. That’s where the true experience lies. At least, that’s how I see it.