Great discussions and meet-and-greets last week during our Farm Credit Services of America customer events in southeast Nebraska! Our Bree Baatz, MBA and Matt Clark delivered their insights on grain markets and the U.S. and farm economies. A few highlights: 🌽 U.S. producers have reasons to be optimistic on nearby future corn prices and the export sales pace, Bree says, as more countries are buying U.S. corn this year, and global supply continues to tighten relative to demand. ↗️ The U.S. economy is outpacing all other advanced economies. “It’s not even close," Matt says. 💲 The Federal Reserve is less likely to cut rates in 2025 to control inflation. “Inflation has remained sticky, so I would expect only one or two interest rate cuts in 2025," Matt adds. #Commodities #Corn #Soybeans #InterestRates #USEconomy #Inflation #FarmCredit
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🌽 Corn Prices Rebounding—But for How Long? 🌽 Recent improvements in U.S. corn prices offer hope to farmers after a tough 2024 season, but uncertainty remains. While global demand is rising and weather concerns in South America could further tighten supply, external risks—like potential tariffs—could quickly reverse these gains. For businesses exposed to commodity price swings, these fluctuations highlight a critical need: financial hedging. Without a strategy to manage price risk, companies are left vulnerable to unpredictable market shifts driven by policy changes, supply disruptions, and global demand fluctuations. 🔹 Hedging helps protect margins. 🔹 It provides price certainty in an uncertain world. 🔹 It enables better financial planning and risk management. As fund traders increase their long positions in corn futures, the question remains—will prices continue rising, or is this a temporary lift? One thing is certain: companies that hedge can weather volatility with greater confidence. How is your business preparing for the next market move? Let’s discuss! 👇 #CommodityRisk #Hedging #CornMarkets #RiskManagement
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What can investors learn from recent inflation spikes in agricultural commodities? Watch Felix Odey's latest update on the key trends in the food and water space at the start of 2024: https://okt.to/3O6r4g #Insights #inflation #marketviews #commodities
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Peter Borish of Computer Trading thinks the Fed is boxed in by rising prices (including for commodities) and a potentially weak consumer. He keeps a close eye on the prices of the “seven C’s”: cattle, coffee, corn, copper, crude, cotton and cocoa. #grow🌱 #agriculture #supplychain #trade #usa🇺🇸 #markets #commodities #futures #consumers #stagflation #interestrates🔥 #freight #thefed🏦
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Grain markets are full of twists and turns - and this year has been no different. Dr. Larry Martin's latest report unpacks the factors driving the volatility and provides a clear picture of what’s coming next. Here’s what’s covered: ✔️ Why grain prices hit historic lows in August and what caused the October rally. ✔️ The role of export demand, weather patterns, and global production in shaping trends. ✔️ Key technical indicators like Fibonacci retracements and MACD momentum, helping you predict the market’s next move. ✔️ Actionable strategies for producers and end-users to protect against market risks. Whether you're looking to mitigate risks or plan for opportunities, this report is essential reading. Read the full report now: https://lnkd.in/gjunXXau Ready to take your understanding further? The Price Risk Management Using Futures & Options course provides the tools and strategies you need to confidently navigate price volatility in your operation. #AgriBusiness #GrainMarkets #Agriculture
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Gain valuable insights from the recent USDA report, highlighting significant shifts in grain market projections📈 Explore how these changes impact trading dynamics and strategic decision-making. 👉Follow the link to read the full article https://lnkd.in/ggCjzWvS
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That could be exciting next week. The #wheat market has turned from a bearish market to a #bullish market in recent weeks. The chart analysis already shows this. The next resistance level is the 237 €/t mark. On the spot market, many have missed the opportunity to buy at favourable prices. The market is currently lagging behind. There are still a few #bearish signals, but these are fading more and more. The outlook for me is that if the #USDA leaves out the political effect, global ending stocks of wheat for 24/25 should fall below 250 million tonnes. Due to the poor outlook in Germany and France, the basis for the coming season should be much firmer. But we will see what happens next week. Andreas Leonhard #agriculture #wheat #grains
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Should we worry about bread prices? The situation with wheat prices is currently complex and subject to change. Shifting Landscape: Lower Stockpiles: Bloomberg's report suggesting lower stockpiles than previously thought signifies a tighter wheat supply situation. This could put more upward pressure on prices. Reassessing Upward Trend: Geopolitical Tensions and Weather: The war in Ukraine and potential weather disruptions remain major threats to wheat supply, further strengthening the case for rising prices. Downward Pressures Might Weaken: Limited Buffer from Stockpiles: If stockpiles are indeed lower, their buffering effect on price spikes might be less significant. Increased Volatility: Uncertainty Around Stockpile Levels: The discrepancy between previous assumptions and the recent Bloomberg report highlights the uncertainty in the market. This can lead to increased volatility in wheat prices. If you want to know how to hedge your business, please visit our website.
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"When people think Santa rally, they think stocks but they should think cattle futures" - Dave Whitcomb, Head of Research. Commodity markets have strong seasonal price trends. 📈 🐄 🎄 Read the full article by Ryan Dezember here: https://lnkd.in/ekqpDxFu
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