Tradier, Inc.’s Post

6 key themes to watch in commodities markets. The boom times of 2021 and 2022 seem like a distant memory for commodities. After two stellar years fuelled by inflation, the Bloomberg Commodity Index (BCOM) took a tumble in 2023, reflecting a cooling global economy. Bloomberg. Jim W. 🔗 Read the full article on Investment IQ: https://lnkd.in/eQKxR8YP #investment #investmentmanagement #wealthmanagement #finance

With the VIX now above 60 it’s a good time to remind everyone that the market is not the economy. For those of us that have been making the case over the past couple of years about regime change-end of easy money, higher inflation target, higher rates, less leverage-this will not be the last market derived panic that brings opportunities. Private credit, commodities, oil et all will all have their day of adjustment to regime change following the end of a generation of ultra-unorthodox policy around the global economy.

We believe the global growth slowdown is being confirmed by recent deflationary trends in commodity markets. Both the price of copper and crude oil have been weaker and are now clearly in a downward trend. As the chart below illustrates, both are typically quite sensitive to broader price changes and copper especially appears to act like a leading indicator to hint where inflation might be heading. OVOM Research, TradingView #Research #Economy #Markets #Macro #Commodities

While global economic growth and inflation continue to influence commodities and resource equities, we believe the factors that propelled resource companies to their 2022 highs still exist. Learn more: https://bit.ly/49jxmB3

While global economic growth and inflation continue to influence commodities and resource equities, we believe the factors that propelled resource companies to their 2022 highs still exist. Learn more: https://bit.ly/3OuLP51

While global economic growth and inflation continue to influence commodities and resource equities, we believe the factors that propelled resource companies to their 2022 highs still exist. Learn more: https://bit.ly/3HIodpS

6 key themes to watch in commodities markets. The boom times of 2021 and 2022 seem like a distant memory for commodities. After two stellar years fuelled by inflation, the Bloomberg Commodity Index (BCOM) took a tumble in 2023, reflecting a cooling global economy. Bloomberg. Jim W. 🔗 Read the full article on Investment IQ: https://lnkd.in/eQKxR8YP #investment #investmentmanagement #wealthmanagement #finance

While global economic growth and inflation continue to influence commodities and resource equities, we believe the factors that propelled resource companies to their 2022 highs still exist. Learn more: https://bit.ly/49A260K

While global economic growth and inflation continue to influence commodities and resource equities, we believe the factors that propelled resource companies to their 2022 highs still exist. Learn more: https://bit.ly/48Zhvb4

With US inflation still running high and escalated geopolitical tension recently pushing up global oil prices, businesses and consumers could face a longer high-cost environment. Our Macro Model simulation shows the potential impacts of a Commodity Price Hike scenario on interest rates in major economies. In this scenario, energy prices are assumed to rise by 40% from the current levels: https://bit.ly/3Jlj4VI (updated chart below). Stay tuned for our upcoming Q2 2024 Global Economic Outlook update, where I'll dive deeper into the outlook for the global economy. #inflation #interestrates #neweconomicreality #higherforlonger #scenario #globaleconomy