Thompson Research Group’s Post

CBRE recently published its 1H’24 North America Data Center Trends Report, which adds another perspective on just how hot this vertical is. We are calling this out as many names in TRG’s coverage (or adjacent to it) are poised to continue benefitting from the data center build-out. Key trends from the report – overwhelmingly positive: Supply is up 10% YOY in 1H’24 and despite higher supply, vacancy rate fell 50 bps to 2.8%, a record low. In secondary markets vacancy rate fell a hair below 10% from ~13% last year. Under-construction activity in primary markets hit a record high of 3,871.8 MW, up 69% YOY, with nearly 80% being preleased. Pricing continues to trend higher. One interesting trend is that the increased demand for high-power computing is creating a significant price gap between new facilities and legacy facilities. Many existing data centers do not have the infrastructure to handle increasingly demanding workloads. This, in our view, further bolsters the need for new construction activity. While demand for more data, computing and storage is almost certain to continue, the supply of data centers that can manage this will meaningfully increase. This means that newbuild is the answer, and there is not an abundance of land and power supply to meet this easily. Key components of data centers are also on long lead times – e.g., transformers, switches, and generators. For certain key equipment, orders must be placed years in advance. Competitively, between both domestic companies and international tech companies, occupiers of data centers are forced to stay ahead of the curve. As such, many occupiers are virtually “forced to prelease space between two and four years ahead of completion to meet their future data center requirements.” We liken this competitive pressure to all companies in the tech value chain (cloud providers, chip and semiconductor producers, cloud software companies, digital commerce businesses) being in a multi-year effort that is like the final 100 meters of a 400-meter race. This is positive for many of our covered companies who help to build and maintain operations of the data center market. Those companies include: equipment rental and leasing providers, manufacturers and distributors of ceiling tiles and wallboard, aggregate and cement producers, HVAC manufacturers and distributors, non-res electrical and mechanical contractors, fire and safety supply and servicing, etc. #trgbuildingideas

TRG | The Bottom Line – 8/23

TRG | The Bottom Line – 8/23

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