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According to Wandile Sihlobo, Chief Economist at the Agricultural Business Chamber (Agbiz) of South Africa the South African weather service predicted that “the multi-model rainfall forecast indicates above-normal rainfall for most of the country during midspring (September to November) and late spring (October to December). "However, the weather service added that “early summer (November to January) … indicates below-normal rainfall over the central parts of the country and above-normal rainfall for the northeast. "This means some regions of the country, mainly the central to western parts, may not experience the same start to the season as the eastern areas. Still, the broad sentiment is that showers are likely to support crop germination at the beginning of the 2023/24 production season. This is also an encouraging message for horticulture and livestock, as the rains will help production conditions in these subsectors," says Sihlobo Leon Louw #whyafrica #whyfarmafrica #agriculture #naturalresources #climatechange #weather #africa #africanfarming #rainfall

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Founder of WhyAfrica and Endorphin Expeditions. Specialist in the sustainable use of natural resources in Africa. Editor of the WhyAfrica magazine. I research, analyse and share information about Africa.

“Aside from planting and germination, the other critical point of crop development is pollination, which requires moisture and typically occurs about February if farmers plant crops from mid-October in the eastern regions and mid-November in the country’s western areas. “Due to improved soil moisture from the last rainy seasons, mainly in east and central SA, the effect of the expected El Niño on agricultural conditions is likely to be limited initially. We remain concerned about the far western regions,” says Wandile Sihlobo, Chief Economist at the Agricultural Business Chamber of South Africa (Agbiz) Wandile Sihlobo Agricultural Business Chamber (Agbiz) WhyAfrica #whyafrica #agriculture #whyfarmafrica #farming #africa #southafrica #elnino #climate #weather #drought https://lnkd.in/e3b8jsJq

El Niño uncertainty keeps SA farmers awake at night - WhyAfrica

El Niño uncertainty keeps SA farmers awake at night - WhyAfrica

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