Can AI Make Us Great Beginners at Everything?
Most people, intuitively, think that for AI to be helpful, it should help us improve how we do things we are good at. I challenged that assumption in two previous posts (here and here), and it is time to expand on it with additional data.
First, we do not always perform at our best. AI could support us for tasks where we have the requisite skills, but for which our attention and effort dwindle because they are repetitive or simply because we may not be willing or able to expend much effort on them (think about reading a 30-page briefing document before a meeting).
Second, we are not that good at many things we do. AI can augment us when our skill levels are lower. The importance of this point is often overlooked: all of us, in our daily jobs, from frontline managers to CEOs, spend much time on things for which we are mediocre. For many of us, being a better beginner to perform better in areas we haven't mastered is a foundational part of our professional value. There is ground to believe that generative AI can be helpful there. If this is interesting, read on.
A recent study from the Boston Consulting Group empirically showed that professionals benefit from generative AI when confronted with tasks requiring skills they don’t master. In this specific example, consultants who didn't have data science capabilities could do some data science work with the help of generative AI.
Those who use Gen AI daily probably already know that from direct experience. Some personal, anecdotal examples:
Some of these could have been done in the past with “conventional means”: search, online translation, etc. However, the speed and breadth offered by the new tools allow us to do much more in the same amount of time, radically changing what one can tackle confidently - and changing how we work.
You are your S-curves skills portfolio
Let’s now generalize what this all means.
Our skills and capabilities are crucial to our performance in specific tasks. With effort, strategy, and luck, we reach higher levels in a few chosen skills over time. Typically, only the initial part of skill acquisition is easy (hence the "S-curve" shape); and some skills decay, some are not our forte, and we continue to struggle.
Much of our activities require us to tap into our less-developed skills, like a football player with a less-favored foot (or hand) and field position who needs to operate within an extensive range. In other words, the skills we bring to bear look like a portfolio of S-shaped curves, and our effectiveness often depends on their average - and sometimes on the least-developed ones (see chart below).
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Depending on who you are or the role you have, you need a specific portfolio:
Of course, the above is an imprecise categorization, but it gives us an idea of the possible extreme archetypes. Each of us likely falls in a continuum between those at any time.
If used well, generative AI may make us better beginners and help us travel faster and more effectively rightwards from the left to an "advanced beginner" level.
This can have profound implications. Today, it doesn't take us much time to get the basics of new spaces as long as their knowledge exists publicly or within your firm (among others, management consultants have noticed, and many are building out the next generation of knowledge management tools). These new tools also allow for interplay between us and them, not just to get answers.
If that happens, the portfolio could be significantly improved. Our overall performance is often disproportionally impacted by our weakest spots, and so is our ability to intervene in more areas that require our attention. Learning how to leverage Generative AI to make us dramatically more rounded (in learning lingo, T-shaped, or any other shape than "I") can be a game changer.
The implications of being superhuman beginners
There's a clear "future of work" intuition: traditionally, we were told to stay in our lane, as the transaction costs for acquiring a modicum of new knowledge were high. Experts were tapped into for low-level questions, choking their capacity, and combinatorial innovation (combining ideas from different fields) was very hard. Search engines applied to the internet's fact base changed things. Now, things can change further.
In the longer run, assuming that the tools and the skills to use them improve, this could impact, among others:
More generally, does that mean a possible reduction of the size of effective enterprises (a new twist in Coase's law)? More entrepreneurship? Can developing-countries professionals flatten the first part of the curve more easily? Can young people do more than today? Can combinatorial research and innovation get a boost?
We don't know for sure. Much can go wrong. When using Generative AI poorly, dependency and quality control are risks. However, new "augmented thinking" literacy can help, as can a more innovative approach to organizational, process, and work design. Time will tell, but the opportunity seems large.
This article is part of a series on AI-augmented Collective Intelligence and the organizational, process, and skill infrastructure design that delivers the best performance for today's organizations. More here. Get in touch if you want these capabilities to augment your organization's collective intelligence.
Co-Founder and Partner at Renessai
1moWhat a fantastic essay. I think it’s fair to say that almost any kind of computational technology has the potential to help us grow, learn, adapt, improve as human beings and domain experts Artificial intelligence is just the current wave of that potential. The bigger question underneath all of this is to what people and or the organisations that employ them, include such assumptions in their strategies? Automating things and eliminating people is a far more common approach. To be able to realise the potential that you described here, we also need to influence the way that strategy is formed in organisations and the assumptions driving it.
It's a great vision Gianni Giacomelli. Used appropriately, generative AI could certainly give each of us an initial grounding in an arena, so we can build on that learning. But what the amazing Vivienne Ming reminds us is that so far the research shows that young people especially are increasingly using generative AI to find "the answer," without learning how to think — getting only the information they need to solve a problem, and then moving on to the next problem. We could use the calculator analogy — nobody's learning long division any more — but the risk is that we are giving young learners tools without the incentives to dive deep into subjects. And since we know that the best learning includes some degree of difficulty, with barriers to overcome, highly-flexible tools that can generate "the answer" every time means learning is always easy. Good news: We get a generation of generalists. Potential risk: Because they have not had to work hard to learn, we diminish their opportunities to find passions. gB
#1 NYT Bestselling Author | Keynote Speaker | Executive Team Coach | Founder, Chairman, & CEO, Ferrazzi Greenlight
1moThanks for sharing! I think AI opens up new avenues for leveraging and organizing talent in ways previously unimagined.
Advisory- Client Partner @ GLG | Data/AI |Multi Cloud Adoption
1moGianni, great article. During our Genpact days you inspired me. I’m almost done with my program at MIT in AI and data science
Gianni - great writing and thinking. Your final bullet list of How We Manage, Workforce Planning, and How We Organize - are the most fraught with both potential and challenge. Changing the shape of our orgs, changing how we rate and assess performance, maybe, just maybe, in the far flung future - changing from a system that only counts employees as liabilities/costs and not as assets to be invested in - those are the problems in which there is so much potential to unleash but also so much inertia to overcome. I think #GenAI is making tension in those areas visible and accelerating its progress. We'll see what snaps first. :)