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The Guardian - Back to homeThe Guardian

Global recession

November 2023

  • Being interviewed, seated

    Middle East war could spark global recession, say Wall Street experts

    Fear adds to Russia-Ukraine conflict risk and increases ‘probability of European and of US recession’

October 2023

  • A sign in Tokyo shows the stock exchange down 600 points in morning trading.

    Bond market sell-off sends UK long-term borrowing cost to 25-year high

    Rate tops level last seen after Liz Truss mini-budget as fears of global inflation and US political instability spook markets

September 2023

  • an oil well pump in los angeles

    Beware sharper economic slowdown and tougher inflation, warns adviser to central banks

    Bank of International Settlements said markets risk ignoring aftershocks from inflation such as insolvencies and property price falls

August 2023

  • Larry Elliott

    Economics viewpoint
    Why the US will break out first from the low-growth trap

    Larry Elliott
    Western economies must adopt industrial strategies, boost R&D and exploit new tech to prosper – Americans realise this better than Europeans

April 2023

  • Ikustration: a 3D-printed oil pump jack in front of displayed Opec logo

    Why are oil prices rising and what does it mean for inflation?

    All you need to know about the Opec+ decision to cut production and the potential knock-on effects

January 2023

  • Larry Elliott Economics editor

    Economics viewpoint
    What we learned at Davos: signs of hope emerge from the pessimism

    Larry Elliott Economics editor
  • A World Economic Forum employee holds a US and a Chinese flag prior to a photo-op between the US and China special climate envoys.

    China’s future to AI and jobs: five big questions from Davos

  • Traders work on the floor of the New York stock exchange.

    Project Syndicate economists
    The world economy faces a huge stress test in 2023

    Kenneth Rogoff
  • A trader reacts on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange at the closing bell on 30 December 2022

    Global economic forecast for 2023? A stormy start followed by a ray of hope

December 2022

  • A Goldman Sachs logo displayed on a smartphone.

    Goldman Sachs boss unveils plan to cut jobs amid global economy fears

    CEO David Solomon said he will make cuts in January with reports claiming investment bank will axe about 4,000 posts

October 2022

  • Larry Elliott

    Economics viewpoint
    Twitter deal may signal point when the ‘everything bubble’ bursts

    Larry Elliott
  • Displaced people stand on a flooded highway, following rains and floods during the monsoon season in Sehwan, Pakistan.

    IMF chief warns world heading towards age of greater instability

June 2022

  • Larry Elliott

    Economics viewpoint
    History turns full circle as G7 alarm bells ring over energy once again

    Larry Elliott
  • Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange as the US Federal Reserve announces a hike in interest rates.

    Fight against inflation raises spectre of global recession

March 2021

  • a man passes a 'going out of business' sign

    Covid crisis watch
    Only a large-scale skills programme can protect against Covid's fallout

    Andy Haldane
    Huge fiscal support has safeguarded jobs and demand, but only skills and training can prevent long-term economic scarring

December 2020

  • Workers harvest fresh tea leaves in the fields of Fort Portal, Uganda

    Project Syndicate economists
    Why the Covid economic crisis has hit poorer nations less deeply than feared

    Barry Eichengreen
    If global growth resumes in 2021 some developing countries may skate through the crisis. Others won’t be so lucky

November 2020

  • Lab technicians handle capped vials as part of filling and packaging tests for the large-scale production and supply of a vaccine.

    Covid vaccine rally fuels market optimism of a faster global recovery

    News of potentially effective vaccine helps persuade politicians to keep policies to prevent lay offs and bankruptcies

October 2020

  • A broker sits under the display showing the downward trajectory of the German DAX index.

    European stock markets endure worst week since June

  • a masked man passes a shop to let in London

    IMF estimates global Covid cost at $28tn in lost output

September 2020

  • Mohamed El-Erian

    Project Syndicate economists
    We must use the Covid crisis to reshape our society and economy

    Mohamed El-Erian
    Policymakers must seize on progress in medical innovation, the environment, work and elsewhere
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