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The Guardian - Back to homeThe Guardian

Guardian Brexit watch

Each month we look at key indicators to see what effect the vote to leave the EU has had on the UK economy

30 January 2020

  • Jan 2020

    How has Brexit vote affected UK economy? January verdict

    Each month we look at key indicators to see what effect the Brexit process has had on growth, prosperity and trade
  • Shoppers seen walking along Regent Street in central London<br>LONDON, UNITED KINGDOM - 2019/02/09: Shoppers seen walking along Regent Street in central London. February 15 sees the release of the first monthly retail sales figures of the year (for January) from the UK's Office for National Statistics. December figures revealed a 0.9 percent fall in sales from the month before, which saw a 1.4 percent rise widely attributed to the impact of 'Black Friday' deals encouraging earlier Christmas shopping. More generally, with a potential no-deal departure from the EU growing nearer and continuing to undermine consumer confidence in the UK, economy-watchers have little cause for optimism at present that any kind of turnaround for Britain's struggling retail sector might be on the horizon. (Photo by David Cliff/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)

    UK economy close to turning point on eve of leaving EU

    Confidence rising three and a half years after Brexit vote but tight timescale for trade deal could harm recovery
  • British Flag Seen At EU Parliament Ahead Of Brexit<br>STRASBOURG, FRANCE - JANUARY 27: The British Union Jack flag flies amongst European Union member countries’ national flags in front of the European Parliament on January 27, 2020 in Strasbourg, France. The United Kingdom is set to depart the European Union on January 31, entering a transition period in which it will negotiate a new trade agreement with the bloc. (Photo by Thomas Niedermueller/Getty Images)

    Is uncertainty lifting now Brexit is finally happening? Experts debate the data

    Two former members of Bank of England’s rate-setting committee on Britain’s economic prospects

27 December 2019

  • Brexitwatch graphics

    How has Brexit vote affected UK economy? December verdict

    Each month we look at key indicators to see what effect the Brexit process has had on growth, prosperity and trade
  • Consumer spending on the high street has stalled.

    UK economy faces weakest growth outside recession since second world war

    Brexit uncertainty and snap election put investment on hold as high street spending stalled
  • Port of Felixstowe seen from across the estuary.

    Shadow of Brexit still looms over economy: experts debate the data

    Two former members of Bank of England’s rate-setting committee on Britain’s economic prospects

28 November 2019

  • A yacht during leg 4 of a Melbourne to Hong Kong ocean race

    Are economic doldrums likely to continue? Experts debate the data

    Two former members of BoE’s rate-setting committee on prospects for Britain’s economy
  • Dec 2018-01

    How has Brexit vote affected UK economy? November verdict

    Each month we look at key indicators to see what effect the Brexit process has had on growth, prosperity and trade
  • Money

    Brexit uncertainty makes impact on October pay growth

    Guardian analysis shows average wage rises dropping back to 3.6%

25 October 2019

  • dashboard

    How has Brexit vote affected the UK economy? October verdict

    Each month we look at key indicators to see what effect the Brexit process has had on growth, prosperity and trade
  • Online job hunting

    Brexit uncertainty drives up job losses and holds back economy

    Guardian analysis shows no-deal fears have hit outlook for employment and growth
  • A worker at a steelworks

    Has the UK escaped a recession? Experts debate the data

    Two former members of Bank of England’s rate-setting committee on Britain’s economic prospects

27 September 2019

  • Dec 2018-01

    How has Brexit vote affected the UK economy? September verdict

    Each month we look at key indicators to see what effect the Brexit process has had on growth, prosperity and trade
  • Man walks past Bank of England

    'Indicators suggest UK is in recession': an expert looks at the data

    The Bank’s complacency is palpable. Once again it is fiddling while Rome burns
  • Redundancies among retail workers has prompted weaker employment prospects.

    Brexit uncertainty pushes UK to brink of recession

    No-deal threat has taken toll on business and consumer confidence, Guardian analysis shows

28 August 2019

  • Boris Johnson

    UK economy falters as slowing global growth adds to recession risk

    Britain will be hunting for trade deals at the worst possible time, says ex-Bank economist
  • Boris Johnson at Biarritz G7 summit

    Recession looms for Britain – two experts on the economic outlook

    Recent indicators mostly make grim reading while Brexit uncertainty drags on
  • dashboard october trail

    How has Brexit vote affected the UK economy? August verdict

    Each month we look at key indicators to see what effect the Brexit process has had on growth, prosperity and trade

31 July 2019

  • a man stares at a foreign exchange money board

    British consumer keeps UK plc afloat as key sectors start to sink

  • Opel cars

    ‘No-deal Brexit talk has hit home hard’ – two experts debate the data

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