Harry Enten: on polling and politics
Daily analysis on politics, elections, sports and even the weather, from the Guardian's resident polling expert. Follow
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What I've learned in 2013 – and a thank you to readers
Harry J EntenHarry J Enten: Forecasting isn't easy. I always take stock of my hits and misses. I'm doing it early this year as I'm leaving the Guardian
The chances for gun control in the US are slim
Harry J EntenHarry J Enten: Since the Newtown shooting, there's been minimal legislative progress. The media and the public have lost interest in the issue
The Tea Party is losing support, even among Republicans
Harry J EntenHarry J. Enten: Results from last week's elections and national polling show the Tea Party has seen a major drop in popularity since 2010
Hillary Clinton is the most formidable presidential frontrunner in modern era
Harry J EntenHarry J Enten: All the variables that predict primary winners from polling to endorsements are working more in her favor than in 2008
2013 elections show Latinos and young voters can't be pinned down
Harry J EntenHarry J Enten:Latinos in NJ and youth in VA lost a lot of their Democratic lean in 2013, which mirrors how they're judging Obama right now
The ultimate guide to US election night 2013
Harry J EntenHarry J Enten: Despite earlier protestations, there are some interesting stories to unfold on election night 2013 – that's if you look hard enough
Americans won't 'throw the bums out' in 2014
Harry J EntenHarry J Enten: Congress has an epically low approval rating, but history and polling suggest there likely won't be an 'anti-incumbent wave'
Election night 2013 is shaping up to be a historically boring affair
Harry J EntenHarry J Enten: All three major races in New Jersey, New York, and Virginia won't be close. It's something rarely seen in the last 40 years
If the shutdown didn't hurt Republicans now, what about the 2014 midterms?
Harry J EntenHarry J Enten: Some predicted electoral disaster for the GOP after the shutdown fiasco, but in two test cases, so far at least, it's not happening
Yes, the government shutdown hurt President Obama
Harry J EntenHarry J Enten: For the first time in his presidency, Obama is now more disliked than liked by the American public. That should worry Democrats
Is there really a majority in favor of marijuana legalization?
Harry J Enten: Gallup's just-released poll showing a majority of Americans support the drug's legalization isn't quite true – at least not yet
Republicans rise in states, even as the national GOP sinks
Harry J EntenHarry J Enten: Congressional Republicans took a hit thanks to the shutdown defeat. But in governorship elections, GOP candidates look good
Don't rule out the Democrats winning back the House in 2014
Harry J EntenHarry J Enten: The party in the White House usually struggles in midterms, but the Republicans could lose their majority without a huge swing
You can trust Gallup's numbers ... for now
Harry J EntenHarry J Enten: Method changes last year have substantially improved Gallup's polling accuracy. That's good news for early trend spotting
Cory Booker set to be the next senator from New Jersey
Harry J EntenHarry J Enten: Any idea that Booker's Republican rival, Steve Lonegan, has momentum is wishful. The numbers say the Democrat is a banker
Did gerrymandering make politics more partisan? Ted Cruz argues not
Harry J EntenHarry J Enten: Redistricting is blamed for polarising Congress. But Ted Cruz shows the cause is red-state voters' choice of strict conservatives
What the Virginia governor's race tells us about the 2014 midterms
Harry J EntenHarry J Enten: Against trend, Democrat Terry McAuliffe is set to win. After running a 'strong conservative', Republicans should take a hint
Move On poll tries to make people believe Republicans are vulnerable
Harry J EntenDemocrats won't win a 'blame the GOP' game on the shutdown and debt ceiling
Harry J Enten
Wendy Davis and Texas are a problem for Democrats
Harry J EntenHarry J Enten: The Lone Star state isn't blue yet. A big push for Wendy Davis' guv race takes resources from more winnable red-leaning states
About 131 results for Harry Enten: on polling and politics 
