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Trendspotting

  • Mike Dean

    Big finals often feature surprisingly small booking counts

    Big-occasion football finals generally see smaller bookings counts than regular season matches
  • Cornering the market in SPL flag-kicks

    Scottish football has fewer corners – but English bookmakers haven't quite grasped the difference
  • How play-off losers can win the day

    Football League play-offs: Teams with the best first-leg results often do badly – but just enough – in the second
  • Tony Mowbray

    Relegation often releases a team to win, and score belated goals

    Once teams know they are relegated, release of pressure often means they play better and score more freely

  • red card

    Trendspotting

    Facing relegation does not mean foul play

  • Arsenal have already come from behind to beat Chelsea this season

    A warning to in-play bettors – first goal at Wembley is not so crucial

    Scoring the first goal is not so decisive when top teams play each other, as they do in this weekend's semi-finals at Wembley

  • Trendspotting

    Kevin Pullein: If you're betting on football, be sure to factor in the ever-decreasing scorelines as competitions progress

  • Trendspotting

    Kevin Pullein: The key to profitable first-goal betting is not picking the right team but backing them only at good odds
  • Why United fans spend most of match watching their side not winning

    Trendspotting: Only in games where there are 14 or more places between the teams do the home side lead for more than half the game
  • Trendspotting: Referees' habits

    Kevin Pullein looks at which referees you should avoid gambling on to dish out a lot of cards

  • Look for the trend-buckers and back Villa to win corners aplenty

    The teams to follow in minor markets are those with strange characteristics – and potentially big profits

  • Trendspotting

    Kevin Pullein: The odds offered by bookmakers on a draw can often represent a better bet
  • Frank Lampard

    Trendspotting

    Trendspotting: A red card does not change the likely number of goals in a match, but it does effect which team is favourite to score

  • Trendspotting

    Betting: The notion that home sides kick off just as often as visiting sides is a misconception to take advantage of

  • Trendspotting

    Kevin Pullein

    Statistics show that a draw is the most likely result the longer a game goes as a stalemate

  • Trendspotting

    Manchester United versus Chelsea promises to be a high-intensity match that could catch out unwary bookings market punters
  • Trendspotting

    Kevin Pullein's analysis of managerial sack-race statistics

  • Recognise the value in first-half goals

    Punters can take advantage of the bookies failure to appreciate the regularity of first-half goals

  • Find value in few goals against big four

    Betting on teams to score one or no goals against the Premier League big four can be profitable

  • FA Cup first round offers chance for upsets

    Kevin Pullein assesses the possiblity of punters cashing in on some FA Cup giant-killing

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