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Nate Silver

October 2018

  • Greg Wood

    Sportblog
    Football fans’ great expectations: why they should lower them by 10%

    Greg Wood
    Master statistician Nate Silver has crunched football’s numbers and found managers are paying the price for supporters’ blind faith

November 2016

  • Greg Jericho

    Grogonomics
    Poll numbers are impossible to resist, but awful for covering an election

    Greg Jericho
  • A drawer full of random odds and ends.

    Brief letters
    Useful alternatives to the man drawer

October 2016

  • Jessica Valenti

    If only women voted, Trump would lose. We need men on our side

    Jessica Valenti
    Can America’s kind and decent men please step up their game and help avoid electing a sexist monster?

May 2016

  • Ryan Howard and the Phillies

    How the future came early for baseball's surprise team, the Philadelphia Phillies

    DJ Gallo: The Phillies have rebounded from a 99-loss campaign with a unexpectedly promising April, but can it last or is it just smoke and mirrors?

April 2015

  • Nate Silver

    US tipster Nate Silver: Tories will win most seats – but outcome will be messy

    Man who correctly predicted each state in 2012 US election tips Tories to take most seats, but says three-party coalition is most likely result
  • Richard Bacon
London
Photograph by David Levene
15/4/15

    Richard Bacon: ‘My ambition is to be an unsuccessful David Frost’

    The TV and radio presenter on making it in America, hosting Panorama’s Nate Silver election special, and his scattergun career
  • Marina Hyde

    Britain is alien turf for US campaign gurus. Are they just West Winging it?

    Marina Hyde
    Ed Miliband has David Axelrod, and David Cameron has Jim Messina. And why not? They’re American and know what works in Iowa

March 2014

  • Nate Silver 538 fivethirtyeight

    Climate Consensus - the 97%
    FiveThirtyEight undermines its brand by misrepresenting climate research

    Dana Nuccitelli: FiveThirtyEight can crunch data better than most politics and sports analysts, but not better than scientific experts

February 2014

  • Emily Bell

    Digital hacks may need a transfer window as talent moves up a league

    Emily Bell
    Emily Bell: Journalists are leaving legacy media organisations to gain the freedom to maximise their potential

November 2013

  • Nate Silver

    Media blog
    Journalists are on the move in America – and creating a new vitality

    Emily Bell: Big-name reporters are moving for very significant amounts of money to a wide variety of new and surprising places

September 2013

  • Harry Enten: on polling and politics
    The Public Policy Polling controversy

    Harry J Enten

    Harry J Enten: Public Policy Polling's methodology is under attack. But since PPP is prolific, cheap and accurate, criticism is unlikely to dent it

August 2013

  • Nate Silver, Edinburgh, 12/8/13

    Scottish independence campaign has almost no chance, says Nate Silver

    Political polling guru says data on referendum is 'pretty definitive' unless there is a major crisis in England

July 2013

  • Nate Silver

    Nate Silver quits New York Times to take up 'dream job' at ESPN

    Top statistician who correctly predicted the outcome of the 2012 White House race joins ESPN as editor-in-chief of new site

May 2013

  • Nate Silver - Data

    Media network blog
    Big data, big problems? Nate Silver explains why we need better habits for weighing up information in this data-rich age - video

  • Joe Biden at University of Pennsylvania

    US news blog
    US graduation season 2013: the best commencement speeches

  • Nate Silver

    Nate Silver: 'Prediction is a really important tool, it's not a game'

  • Nigel Farage

    Politics Weekly UK
    Politics Weekly podcast: Ukip's local elections triumph rocks the political establishment

April 2013

  • Nate Silver, master of statistical literacy.

    Nate Silver: you ask the questions

    Do you want to quiz the political forecaster who predicted the result of the US election? Here's your chance

February 2013

  • christoph waltz oscar

    Film blog
    Oscar prognosticators: how did they do at picking the Academy Award winners?

    Harry J Enten: Nate Silver and others took their statistical analysis to the film industry, but predicting awards might be tougher than elections

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