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The voters who swung to Trump: what's next?

They voted for Obama but backed Trump in 2016 – will the midwest’s swing counties give him the White House again in 2020?

  • Handmade signs supporting President Trump stand in Manitowoc<br>Handmade signs supporting U.S. President Donald Trump stand outside a business in Manitowoc, Wisconsin, U.S., August 18, 2020. REUTERS/Brian Snyder

    ‘It’s a coin toss here’: will swing voters in this Wisconsin county stick by Trump?

    In Forest county, Wisconsin – which backed Obama before Trump – voters voice doubts about both major candidates
  • Ruchita Coomar and others prepare to protest I.C.E. in Monroe, Michigan.

    'I decided I had to do something': can young voters flip a key swing county against Trump?

    Monroe county in Michigan was an important part of Trump’s victory four years ago, as swing voters turned their backs on the Democrats
  • A Black Angus Cattle Ranch Amid Meat Shortages<br>Tractors sit parked outside a barn at a cattle farm in Hinton, Iowa, U.S., on Sunday, May 3, 2020. Covid-19 is ripping through Americas heartland and causing shutdowns and slowdowns of plants that process much of the nations pork and beef. Prices are already surging.

    'I’m more for Trump than I was before': president clings to narrow lead in Iowa as Biden closes in

    In a county that flipped dramatically from backing Obama to supporting Trump, there are signs of danger for the president
  • FILES-US-POLITICS-VOTE<br>(FILES) In this file photo taken on June 25, 2020 US President Donald Trump gestures following a tour of Fincantieri Marinette Marine in Marinette, Wisconsin. - His poll numbers sinking four months from the US presidential election, Donald Trump invoked his 2016 victory June 29, 2020, saying he is confident history will repeat itself on November 3. (Photo by SAUL LOEB / AFP) (Photo by SAUL LOEB/AFP via Getty Images)

    'He's in trouble here': can Trump win this critical swing state again?

    If he’s to stay in power, Trump needs to repeat his victory in Wisconsin. But the landscape is very different now – and support is shrinking
  • Monroe County Labor History Museum volunteer James Padot, 60, of Monroe stands for a portrait at the museum on Tuesday, Jan. 14, 2019 in downtown Monroe, Mich. Erin Kirkland for the Guardian

    'I'd like to vote Democratic': the swing voters who want a reason not to back Trump again

    Monroe county, Michigan, saw one of the largest swings in the country from Obama to Trump – and so far many swing voters are willing to back Trump though they have plenty of doubts
  • Pastor Franz Gerber of Praise Chapel Community Church poses for a portrait Jan. 2, 2019 in Crandon, Wis. Crandon, located in Forest County, Wis., voted for Obama in 2008 and 2012 and then pivoted to vote for President Trump in the 2016 election.

    Where Christian evangelicals worship Trump more than Jesus – key voters stay loyal to president

    Large numbers of voters across rural Wisconsin flipped from supporting Obama to Trump – now dividing lines over the president are even deeper
  • Neil Shaffer posed on his front porch in Cresco, Iowa on Thursday, December 12th. Photo by Jordan Gale

    Swing voters on Trump: 'He drives me crazy but he'll get my vote'

    The latest from counties where voters swung from Obama to Trump: Chris McGreal finds Iowa voters pining for calm but crediting Trump on the economy
  • People watch Donald Trump speak at a rally in Council Bluffs, Iowa on 9 October 2018.

    'Everything is in flux': will crucial swing voters give Trump another Iowa win in 2020?

    In the latest instalment of our series on the counties in which voters swung from Obama to Trump, Chris McGreal reports from Howard county, Iowa, where Trump voters have plenty to dislike – but would will vote for him again
  • President Trump Holds Rally In Green Bay, Wisconsin<br>GREEN BAY, WI - APRIL 27: US President Donald Trump greets the crowd of supporters  before he speaks at a Make America Great Again rally on April 27, 2019 in Green Bay, Wisconsin. (Photo by Darren Hauck/Getty Images)

    Trump splits Republican voters as friends and family clash: 'We don't speak'

    In his second report on the mood of voters in swing counties which moved from Obama to Trump, Chris McGreal meets Republicans in Forest county in rural Wisconsin where the president has divided old friends
  • Supporters cheer as Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump addresses the final rally of his 2016 presidential campaign at Devos Place in Grand Rapids, Michigan on November 7, 2016.

    Will swing voters who went from Obama to Trump stay loyal in 2020?

    In this first piece in our new series on swing voters, Chris McGreal reports from Monroe county, Michigan, where industrial jobs are under pressure, and asks voters who once backed Obama if they will vote for Trump again
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