Atlasio Capital Partners

Australian Dollar (AUD) on the Rise: With AUD sentiment at historical highs, markets are watching for key factors that could impact long-term positioning. Will AUD/USD hold its ground or face reversal risks from Fed rate decisions? See our take at Atlasio Capital Partners. 

 We see the #global #economy expanding by 3.1% in both 2024 and 2025, and then 3.2% in 2026. Read more below or click here: https://lnkd.in/gbDKSqub

Gold Spot / US Dollar (XAUUSD) Trade Analysis by Aariz E.: In this analysis of a recent XAUUSD trade, we explore a well-timed sniper entry execution driven by key smart money dynamics. In this recent XAUUSD trade, I capitalised on a well-timed sniper entry driven by equal high consolidations and liquidity dynamics. After the initial consolidation on the strong 1H bullish momentum and sweep of equal lows, price action fibonacci confirmed 0.5-0.618 demand zone and a bullish breaker block formation on the HL uptrend after imbalance. I waited for the optimal trade entry around the 2646 zone, targeting the bullish momentum to the HTF supply zone. The internal structure on 5M timeframe showed a consolidation of price reacting to multiple CHoCHs in both directions with EQH, confirming a MSS as price failed to reach a new HH. As price shot up to the HTF supply zone after a fake CHoCH, I reacted swiftly by placing a sell order at .885 with strict SL and TP to the fib level zone as I had anticipated liquidity entering the market to trigger sellers’ buy-stop orders. The market turned bearish shortly after, dropping into the demand zone and creating a 5M FVG as price cleared liquidity. The market retested to the upside after rejecting the breaker block, placing fear in retailer traders to believe that price will hit their SL but as for me, I stayed patient and disciplined in trusting my model. After a clean rejection off the 5M FVG and breaker block retest once more, price hit TP just under the 0.618 fib level zone for a push into the buy-side liquidity. This trade highlights the importance of patience and precision in waiting for smart money to confirm entry points. Stay tuned for more insights and detailed trade breakdowns.

The Fed’s Bold Move: A New Cycle Begins 🔹 This week, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50 basis points, marking the first rate-cutting cycle since 2022. 🔹 Historically, US Treasuries have outperformed equities during rate cuts, with the exception of 1998 due to the Russian debt crisis. 🔹 However, equities didn’t fare well in past cycles with a “hard landing” in 1981, 2001, and 2007, reminding us of the potential risks. What History Tells Us: Markets on the Edge 🔹 With the S&P 500 near all-time highs, concerns of a correction—like the 12% drop after the 2001 rate cuts—are front of mind. 🔹 Treasuries have generally seen positive returns, despite yields moving sideways post-cut. Diversification and Resilience 🔹 Now more than ever, balancing portfolios across equities, bonds, and alternatives like commodities or private equity is essential for risk management and long-term growth. At Atlasio Capital Partners, we’re keeping a close watch on these developments, helping clients navigate market uncertainty with thoughtful, diversified strategies.

The 2024 Alternative Investments Q3 Outlook is here. As we navigate 2024, alternative investments continue to present compelling opportunities for growth and diversification. At Atlasio Capital Partners, we’re focusing on global macro strategies in the Asia-Pacific region, where we see significant upside potential. By targeting both short-term opportunities and long-term growth, we’re positioning ourselves to outperform in an evolving market landscape. Rather than simply reacting to market changes, we are proactively making strategic decisions that deliver real results and create lasting value for our clients. The opportunities are clear, and we’re ready to take full advantage of them. Check out the full outlook to see how we’re positioning ourselves for the rest of 2024.

NASDAQ 100 E-Mini Futures (NQ1) Trade Analysis by Aariz E.: In this analysis of a recent NQ trade, we explore a well-timed execution driven by key price action dynamics. As the market opened, NQ took out the high of 20,073 leading to a swift reversal creating a CHoCH on the previous HL, with the strong selling pressure sweeping the lows of the previous LQ retesting the 1H FVG as it forms a CHoCH on the bullish trend structure. This false breakout targeted SL and sell-order limits on bulls that entered after the previous LQ sweep. Observing this setup, I anticipated a price reversal after the rejection of the lows, but I decided to wait for the OTE on price action BPR. The retest of the 5M valid OB, which respected the 5M FVG, confirmed the trade entry during the retracement. The target was set to capture buy-side liquidity and align with the fair value range, which corresponded perfectly with the 9:50 AM macro level. After a continuation of rejection off the 5M FVG, entry point was targeted after the hammer candlestick formation at the 20,002 level and observed the MSS and liquidity sweep off the 5M OB which ended in price reaching TP 20,134 level. This trade highlights the importance of patience and precision in waiting for price action to confirm entry points. Stay tuned for more insights and detailed trade breakdowns.

Check out our latest market update on Bank Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A) Strategies in Economic Shifts by Edward Hoang. The current landscape offers both opportunities and challenges, influenced mostly by interest rate and banks being selective. Therefore, investors should focus on strategic, high-quality acquisitions and maintain diversification into technology and healthcare to navigate interest rate uncertainties instead of allocating their portfolios too much to overvalued stocks driven by market expectations.

We are thrilled to present the report on the global economic outlook focused on US, China and Japan through navigating monetary policies and market dynamics. Huge thanks to Xinyue(Karlie) Guan for the insights and analysis for our Global Market & Economies sector.

BREAKING: Bank of America reports Q2 2024 financial results. “Our team produced another strong quarter, serving a growing client base. The strength and earnings power of our leading Consumer Banking business is complemented by the growth and profitability of our Global Markets, Global Banking, and Wealth Management businesses.” – Brian Moynihan, Chair and Chief Executive Officer