Trend Prophets

The latest edition of the Trend Prophets Newsletter is out! In this edition, we take a look at how we can use volatility to make better investment decisions. At Trend Prophets, we use a combination of volatility models to help detect trend changes and produce significant long-term advantages. Cordell Tanny, CFA, FRM, FDP #etfs #passiveinvesting #alternativeinvestments #quantitativefinance

With QQQ in correction territory, all of the typical charts are coming out. We went back to our trusted matrix profile algorithm to see what the future might hold. Note the word "might". The point is that sharp declines like this typically continue for a little bit. But the comparison to 1980 looks very good. 1980 was characterized by high inflation, a recession, and a crazy high Federal Funds rate. Rates were cut aggressively that year as a result. Looking at the pattern for NASDAQ in 1980, the parallels are quite close actually: - Currently in a high rate environment (at least relative to the last 15 years). - Inflation was high, but is coming back down to target levels. - We expect a rate cutting cycle to start. Looking at the following graph, it seems that Ed Yardeni's prediction of a tough market for the rest of the summer into Q4 and then new highs, the 1980 comparison could be quite good. But, this is just one pattern recognition algorithm. It is more anecdotal than predictive. #etf #passiveinvesting #assetallocation #investing #matrixprofiles Source: Yahoo! Finance, Trend Prophets

The latest edition of the Trend Prophets newsletter is out! Are fixed income investments more attractive than equities right now? We explain the Fed Model and what it is telling us. Cordell Tanny, CFA, FRM, FDP #etf #passiveinvesting #economics #investing #python

The latest edition of Trend Prophets Academy is out! In this edition, we look at:   - How you can easily structure the core part of your portfolio with high quality stocks. - Why most articles on financial news sites are click-bait that must be ignored. Cordell Tanny, CFA, FRM, FDP #passiveinvesting #investments #etf #finance #qualityinvesting

Why is no one talking about the Fed Model? For those who might not remember, the Fed Model is the spread between the S&P 500 earnings yield and the 10-year Treasury bond yield. 📉 It just turned negative for the first time in 16 years! 😯 Have bonds finally become more attractive than surging equities? Read my latest article to learn about the Fed model, and even better, how to code it in Python! I also take a look at the relationship between the Fed Model and Inflation using the Granger Causality test. Learn how to do this in Python! 🐍 https://lnkd.in/e6qBn-bk source: FRED, macrotrends.net, Digital Hub Insights #economics #python #quantitativefinance #assetallocation #investing Trend Prophets

The latest Trend Prophets weekly market commentary is out! This week we look at what's changed for interest rate expectations in the US as a result of the many economic data points for last week. Are we still in a soft landing scenario or should we start getting nervous? Watch our latest short video to learn more. #economics #passiveinvesting #money #investing #federalreserve Cordell Tanny, CFA, FRM, FDP Rob Kerner https://lnkd.in/e689dkfw

💻 Machine learning is one of the most powerful tools for investment professionals and do-it-yourself investors. But you need to understand what it is and how it is done. In this edition of Trend Prophets Academy, we explain some of the key concepts in machine learning so that you can be come a better investor and ask great questions. Knowledge is everything. 🧠 Cordell Tanny, CFA, FRM, FDP #passiveinvesting #machinelearning #ai #investments #money Rob Kerner

Rapid fire questions with Cordell 🎤 📹Episode #3 - Does his approach mirror that of todays generation? #TrendProphets #ETF #DoItYourself #AI #Investing #Investors #PositiveEquity

What's going on with Bitcoin? 🔎 Join the conversation with Trend Prophets! 📈 #TrendProphets #ETF #DoItYourself #AI #Investing #Investors #PositiveEquity

Ever heard of NVIDIA? Let's explore its impact on the tech and investment world. 📈 💰 #TrendProphets #ETF #DoItYourself #AI #Investing #Investors #PositiveEquity