Produce Alliance, LLC.

Market Report 7.25.2024 We are seeing very light supply this week on corn, hot pepper, bell peppers and tomatoes. Roma tomatoes, bell peppers, and hot pepper are all extremely short with possible GAP in production on poblano, habanero and cubanelle. Most of this is due to heat and rain related pressure; with the transition to Tennessee and North Carolina expected over the next two weeks we expect supply locally to be extremely short.  In addition to this the following commodities, will see weather related pressure in the west. Table grapes, corn, bell pepper, stone fruit, soft squash, tomatoes, beans and eggplant will all be exposed as the heat in the west continues. We will need to watch this closely as it could dictate the direction of several markets for weeks. The avocado market has started to recover after undergoing a four-week period of adjustment from the peak price point of the year, which was influenced by the USDA shutdown in Mexico. Consistent volumes are anticipated from all current COOs in the upcoming weeks, with hopes of market stability in August. Although a notable change in size distribution is projected from Mexico in the next few weeks, strategic promotions and size adjustments can help maintain equilibrium. Smaller fruits from Mexico are expected to be preferred in August and September, particularly as California and Peru phase out. Rain continues in most Guatemalan growing regions damaging crops. This will have long-term effects on commodities such as French beans, snow peas, sugar snap peas, heirloom tomatoes, and hand-peeled baby carrots. Growers have continued to navigate the heat and are harvesting earlier in the day to keep supply in a good place as we see some weather-related difficulties in the inland valley as it remains very hot. We have been seeing good quality on most items, but the heat has caused thinner texture for spinach, light internal burn on romaine, and damaged cap leaves on lettuce. Broccoli supplies are improving, and we should see all escalations removed by the end of the month. Brussel Sprouts continue to have quality and supply issues that may not see relief until we get into Aug.

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Market Report 7.18.2024 Corn, Roma tomatoes, bell peppers and hot peppers are all extremely short this week with possible GAPS in production on poblanos, habaneros and cubanelles. Most of this is due to heat and rain related pressure; with the transition to Tennessee and North Carolina expected over the next two weeks, we expect supply locally to be extremely short. In addition, table grapes, corn, bell peppers, stone fruit, soft squash, tomatoes, beans and eggplant will see weather-related pressure in the west as they are exposed to the first major heat wave of the season in California. Table grape supply out of Mexico is winding down rapidly. Recent rain and heat have caused quality issues and fruit is being rejected at the border daily for poor sizing, soft berry, shatter and other shelf-life issues. California grape production has begun, and quality is outstanding. Market stability is seemingly within reach for avocados. Rain continues in most Guatemalan growing regions damaging crops. This will have long-term effects on commodities such as French beans, snow peas, sugar snap peas, heirloom tomatoes, and hand-peeled baby carrots. The weather in the Salinas Valley is returning to normal temperatures but the inland valleys remain very hot. The growers have all done a great job navigating the heat and harvesting earlier in the day to keep supplies in a good place, but we could still see some difficulties. As for quality, we have been seeing good quality on most items, but the heat has caused thinner texture for spinach, light internal burn for romaine, and damaged cap leaves for lettuce. Once removed, the quality is good. Lettuce liner is still slightly escalated and may increase more depending on how the heat continues to affect the fields. Broccoli and Brussel sprouts are still escalated and are a challenge as far as supplies go. Smaller volume items that are currently escalated due to the heat are endive, escarole, leeks and fennel. We will also continue to monitor the heat and closely watch lettuce liner, romaine, broccoli, cauliflower, green onions and spinach.

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Market Report 7.11.2024 South Georgia is done for the season, and we are now moving to other local regions throughout the country. We are seeing very light supply this week on hot pepper, bell pepper and tomatoes. In the east, we are seeing a GAP on a few hot pepper items, poblano and cubanelle are the shortest due to heat and rain related pressure and with the transition to Tennessee and North Carolina expected over the next two weeks we expect supply locally to be extremely short. In addition, the following commodities will see weather related pressure in the west: table grapes, corn, bell pepper, stone fruit, soft squash, tomatoes, beans and eggplant will all be exposed to the first major heat wave of the season in California. The size curve with avocados is different than what was forecasted 4-6 weeks ago, and add-in the week stoppage of harvest from Michoacán - the result is 4th of July promotions were down 50% vs. last year. Avocados rarely take center stage in summer and missing out on that promotional opportunity is a hit to the industry. Old Crop harvest is now expected to extend longer than originally anticipated meaning 48s & larger will continue to be available into August. No change to Loca, it will favor 60s and smaller, and harvest is slowly ramping up. We can expect continued volatility over the next several weeks as all COOs are adjusting in some way with either harvest levels, changing size curves, new policies, and dry matter levels. Rain continues in most Guatemalan growing regions which has damaged many crops. This will have long-term effects on commodities such as French beans, snow peas, sugar snap peas, heirloom tomatoes, and hand-peeled baby carrots. California is heading for a heat wave! While the early harvesting had caused some issues with supplies, the heat wave may now also be a factor in causing more supply issues. Broccoli and brussels sprouts are still escalated and while liner is back to being escalated next week. The heat could cause thin texture in the spinach, internal burn in the lettuce, romaine, broccoli, and cauliflower could potentially be overwhelmed by the heat and stop growing.

Market Report 7.3.2024 South Georgia production will start to wind down over the next two weeks as the season closes and move on to other local regions. We are seeing very light supply this week on hot pepper, bell pepper and tomatoes. In the east we are seeing a GAP on a few hot pepper items, poblano and cubanelle are the shortest due to heat and rain related pressure. With the transition to Tennessee and North Carolina expected over the next two weeks we expect supply locally to be extremely short. Currently, we are seeing very tight markets on the following items: Habanero, Shishito, Anaheim, Serrano, Poblano while tomatillo and jalapeno supplies are fair. In the west, the summer production is not quite ready in Baja nor California, but we do not expect to see improvements for the next two weeks. The following commodities will see weather related pressure in the west; table grapes, corn, bell pepper, stone fruit, soft squash, tomatoes, beans and eggplant will all be exposed to the first major heat wave of the season in California. The reduced demand caused by limited avocado availability and high prices has led to changes in the industry. The old crop harvest is now projected to last longer than initially predicted, ensuring that 48s & larger avocados will still be accessible until July. The Loca crop is expected to favor 60s and smaller sizes, with the harvest gradually increasing. There will be expected to be ongoing fluctuations in the market over the next few weeks as all COOs will adapt to varying harvest levels, size distributions, new regulations, and dry matter levels. Rain continues in most Guatemalan growing regions which has damaged many crops. This will have long-term effects on commodities such as French beans, snow peas, sugar snap peas, heirloom tomatoes, and hand-peeled baby carrots. California is heading for a heat wave and while the early harvesting has caused some issues with supply, the heat wave may also be a factor in more supply issues. We will have to watch and see what the heat does to the other commodities like, liner, romaine, broccoli, cauliflower and spinach.

The Central Valley of California is about to go through its first heat wave of the summer with daytime highs expected to reach 110+ this week, with no relief in sight for the next 5 to 7 days. Below are the crops that may be impacted by this event, but we are unsure to what level of impact. - Table Grapes - Red and Green Bell Pepper - Corn - Green Beans - Stone Fruit - Soft Squash - Tomatoes - Eggplant We are keeping a close eye on the situation and will update you as conditions develop.  Thank you for your patience during this time. 

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Market Report 6.27.2024 South Georgia production continues to increase on several items, bell pepper and tomatoes are the shortest. We are in the middle of transition and should see improvements over the next 7 to 10 days. Hot peppers are still active with shishitos and serranos the most volatile for the next several weeks. Tomato markets have tightened up on both coasts and as the mature green program out of the desert is winding down, the valley is ramping up this week. Local deals out of the Carolinas, Arkansas and Alabama are ramping up, and Tennessee and North Carolina are about ten days out. In the west, steady supply crossing in McAllen and Otay this week on rounds while romas have tightened up, as Florida is mostly done for the season. Table grapes supply is good out of Mexico, and we should see domestic fruit next month.  Supply out of the desert on melons has been fair and should go through the first week of July then transition to California.  Losing 8 days of avocado harvest from Michoacán is very significant. Volumes in the U.S. are at a low, and with Mexico opening in stages it’s going to take longer than expected to refill the supply chain. During the refill process, it’s important to stay flexible on sizing and COO to assist in a swifter recovery back to regular preferred programs. Early July will remain volatile. Mid to late July, when Loca is on-hand in the U.S., and the other COOs continue to make significant contributions to the market, some summer stability will be achieved. Size curve will heavily favor smaller fruit and sizing down through the summer is recommended. Warmer weather in the Salinas Valley is continuing. While the early harvesting caused some issues with supplies, things are slowly improving. We are seeing good quality on most items and supply is improving on liner and romaine. The price is still escalated, but relief is on the horizon.  When it comes to supply, the big concern this week is brussels sprouts and broccoli. While the warmer weather is helping, it will take some time to get back on track and we still have extreme markets on most commodities.