There has been an increase in amount of Google searches for stock splits, yet they are actually a lot less common now than they used to be, says Kim Inglis, Senior Portfolio Manager at Raymond James 👉 https://lnkd.in/e84vr2Ta She shares how they have historically impacted the performance of a #Stock, which companies usually do stock splits, and more.
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"If Google is able to deliver on the level of earnings currently expected by analysts, the stock will have roughly 31% upside over the next 1.5 years. [...] To this point, Google has a clear path to $200 and beyond." (NASDAQ:GOOG) has been featured with a score of 7 (out of 7) in our April Newsletter. The stock grew by 10% ever since. Check out other selected stocks by StockRise AI 📈 🚀 Free 7-day trial 👉 https://stockrise.ai #FinanceNews #MarketAnalysis #InvestmentInsights #FinancialEvents #AIinFinance #StockPicks #MarketSentiment #InvestingTips #StockScoring #FinanceInnovation
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Super interesting analysis by Chris Mayo, CFA on the IPO performance of US based companies on first day VERSUS 3mo from IPO. (taking Reddit, Inc. as subject) I say UK and EU IPOs also tend to be so much closer to profitability and have real revenue VS US IPOs hence the drop in the 3-6mo term and then the race to profitability, cutting all costs (the true collateral, employees) and showing everything was put in place was just the perfect storm but with no signs of lightning ⚡️ purely engineered. Still brilliant/interesting dynamic. On the flip side EU IPOs (at least tech) are so much less and less “relevant” in the global scene? Idk man.. what’s value and what not?
Capital Raising & Exit Specialist | IPO, M&A, PE/VC | Head of Primary Markets, Americas @ LSEG | Advisory Board Chair @ FE International
Hurrah 🥂 for positive #IPO performance! But a big BOO! 🤬 for outsized first day pop and the bizarrely positive media reception it receives. This is your regular service announcement that IPO pop and enduring positive aftermarket performance are not correlated. In fact, data show that, for US IPOs, the first day of trading on average marks the high watermark in terms of performance and it’s downhill from there into the first lockup expiry at six months. This is NOT TRUE for UK/European IPOs as you can see here: https://lnkd.in/ebFVeyCi So who benefits from massive pop? (Apart from journalists, headline writers and Scott Galloway who proclaimed a new dawn for IPOs on the Pivot Podcast today: https://lnkd.in/et9ZwVgB). Primarily investors allocated stock in the IPO who decided to flip on the first day of trading and realize that gain. You should largely be targeting investors who will be allocated stock and hold it for at least the medium term. Neither the issuing company nor the shareholders selling in the offering at the IPO price capture this gain. Incumbent #privateequity / #venturecapital investors show a paper gain but this often evaporates before the lock up expires. As an example, in the Reddit, Inc. IPO, more than twice the offering size turned over in the first day of trading. Of course, the same share often changes hands multiple times but it clearly suggests that a lot of investors allocated stock in the IPO are no longer holders (or hold much less). By contrast the other big US IPO of the week, Astera Labs, churned about 0.85x of its offering size which suggests more stickiness - but of course it also had a big pop: 72% (it’s an AI driven story). The difference between the US and UK/Europe here is based on a number of factors - larger free floats in Europe mean less restricted supply, superior price discovery mechanisms in the IPO process allow for more accurate price range setting, more “hot” money chasing IPOs in the US (especially for a brand like Reddit). My colleague Rhiannon M. talked about some of these issues in a blog 3 weeks ago: https://lnkd.in/e4T_fc8m I hope that Reddit is trading comfortably above IPO price in 3 months time, but history suggests it will still be trading below the first day close. First day pop has been engineered as a feature of US IPOs, it should instead be called a bug. (This was the main complaint touted by the direct listing proponents lead by Bill Gurley of Benchmark - that mechanism has its place but a separate set of issues). As I’ve said before: having too much pop will make you vomit. 🤮 https://lnkd.in/etfQ5mRM
Reddit pops 48% in NYSE debut after selling shares at top of range
cnbc.com
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Always good to hear contrarian views on financial markets. Chris Mayo, CFA has been a wealth of that for me, in comparing US and UK IPOs and capital markets. In the US, it's common for IPO's to have a huge jump in share price the first day of trading after the IPO. It's a manufactured / artificial feature of how US investment banks set up IPOs. In other markets such as UK or EU, the focus on an IPO isn't a buzzy first day jump in price, but rather the long term performance of the stock. In fact, in other stock markets, if there's a big price jump after the IPO, it means that the investment banks didn't set the correct price at the IPO. Think about it, if the share price goes up by 50% the first day after an IPO, it means the company that used the IPO to raise money to grow their company sold their stock 50% cheaper then the market demand. A big jump in IPO price the first day of trading should be considered a "bug" in the system and not a 'feature'. In fact, Jay Ritter, one of the world's top IPO researchers has been saying this for years. Check out his research: https://lnkd.in/g9C3MsYk #IPO #reddit #stock_market
Capital Raising & Exit Specialist | IPO, M&A, PE/VC | Head of Primary Markets, Americas @ LSEG | Advisory Board Chair @ FE International
Hurrah 🥂 for positive #IPO performance! But a big BOO! 🤬 for outsized first day pop and the bizarrely positive media reception it receives. This is your regular service announcement that IPO pop and enduring positive aftermarket performance are not correlated. In fact, data show that, for US IPOs, the first day of trading on average marks the high watermark in terms of performance and it’s downhill from there into the first lockup expiry at six months. This is NOT TRUE for UK/European IPOs as you can see here: https://lnkd.in/ebFVeyCi So who benefits from massive pop? (Apart from journalists, headline writers and Scott Galloway who proclaimed a new dawn for IPOs on the Pivot Podcast today: https://lnkd.in/et9ZwVgB). Primarily investors allocated stock in the IPO who decided to flip on the first day of trading and realize that gain. You should largely be targeting investors who will be allocated stock and hold it for at least the medium term. Neither the issuing company nor the shareholders selling in the offering at the IPO price capture this gain. Incumbent #privateequity / #venturecapital investors show a paper gain but this often evaporates before the lock up expires. As an example, in the Reddit, Inc. IPO, more than twice the offering size turned over in the first day of trading. Of course, the same share often changes hands multiple times but it clearly suggests that a lot of investors allocated stock in the IPO are no longer holders (or hold much less). By contrast the other big US IPO of the week, Astera Labs, churned about 0.85x of its offering size which suggests more stickiness - but of course it also had a big pop: 72% (it’s an AI driven story). The difference between the US and UK/Europe here is based on a number of factors - larger free floats in Europe mean less restricted supply, superior price discovery mechanisms in the IPO process allow for more accurate price range setting, more “hot” money chasing IPOs in the US (especially for a brand like Reddit). My colleague Rhiannon M. talked about some of these issues in a blog 3 weeks ago: https://lnkd.in/e4T_fc8m I hope that Reddit is trading comfortably above IPO price in 3 months time, but history suggests it will still be trading below the first day close. First day pop has been engineered as a feature of US IPOs, it should instead be called a bug. (This was the main complaint touted by the direct listing proponents lead by Bill Gurley of Benchmark - that mechanism has its place but a separate set of issues). As I’ve said before: having too much pop will make you vomit. 🤮 https://lnkd.in/etfQ5mRM
Reddit pops 48% in NYSE debut after selling shares at top of range
cnbc.com
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Cont … Q3 Post 3/4 GOOG - Q3 Stock Performance -9%, YTD +20% 4-Market Sentiment 5-Business Performance The big news during the quarter is that the US Justice Department is asking for several changes to Alphabet’s business model and likely asking for a break up. Even if a judge agrees with a break up it will surely be appealed and take a number of years to come to resolution. With that said, the first two quarters in ‘24 were good from a business and stock standpoint. YouTube continues to show nice growth with excellent growth in youtubeTV. They continue to manage a large number of “small” businesses that are categorized as “Other Bets” in their financial releases. The most well known of these businesses is Waymo which I believe has a nice future as vehicles move to self driving. Ultimately, if the Company was forced to break up, I believe that the many businesses would be worth more than the current value of the company. Alphabet had some missteps in their new AI tool Gemini. I used Gemini for my investment research but I have since moved to ChatGPT as I get more tangible research from this tool. I do like how they have incorporated AI into their google search results. That should keep casual users in the Alphabet ecosystem for the time being. I think the Justice Department’s case will keep an overhang on the stock in the near term. The stock is trading at a PE ratio of 18 for 2024 earnings estimates with continued nice profit growth anticipated in ‘25 (+15%) and ‘26 (+10%). I think that keeps a nice floor in the stock as value investors see it enticing giving an overall expensive market. I am nearly fully invested and not adding to the investment. I do sell some out of the money call options as a hedge to the overall market as I collect the premium. BA - Q3 Stock Performance -16%, -41% YTD Market Sentiment 2 Business Performance 1 I believe the bad news in the stock. The labor strike will end at some point and they’ll raise needed cash by selling stock. That’s normally bad news for a stock but I believe it’s priced in as they’ve telegraphed that move for several months. As I’ve written here, fundamentally there ar etwo commercial airline companies and I’m still confident that a few years we’ll see Boeing stock much higher than $150. I’m fully invested and although I’m not buying shares, I’m certainly not selling Happy Investing! United Wholesale Mortgage and Philip Morris International write ups will be published in the next couple days.
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Chartered Retirement Planning Counselor & Wealth Advisor for High Net Worth Individuals & their Families. Best Selling Author “Retiring Right - Smart Steps for Exiting Corporate America.”
This Day in Markets • 📈 On this day in 2004, in what was one of most eagerly anticipated initial public offerings, Google's stock started trading. After refusing to let Wall Street underwriters price the stock, now known as Alphabet, the company conducted a “Dutch auction.” Initially priced at $85, the stock opened for trading at $100 a share and closed at $100.34. - WSJ All IPOs don't turn out to be like #Google, this however is a true American success story. Let's have ourselves a day. #BuyLowSellHigh
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GOOGL Stock’s Price Dip Presents a Buying Opportunity
superaffiliatemarketing-humanity.blogspot.com
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Customer Success Strategy, Operations, Transformation, and Enablement | Surround yourself with people you trust, who are smart, inspirational, creative, fun, humble, empathetic and dedicated to helping customers succeed.
Great episode for anyone interested in understanding the potential company valuation impacts of class of stock, liquidation preferences, participating preferences, redemption rights, and secondary sales.
Headline Valuations: Not Quite What They Seem
podcasts.apple.com
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Alphabet Inc. stock trades under the ticker GOOGL & has advanced +39.5% over the past year. Their current share price is -8.9% below their recent 52-week high (per last night's closing price), while their shares have recovered +58.16% since their 52-week low in February of 2023. Yesterday GOOGL suffered a -7.5% decline following their earnings report & volumes for the past week have been +18.65% above average compared to the year prior, mostly attributed to yesterday's profit taking. Read a brief technical analysis of GOOGL stock, as well as a price level:volume sentiment analysis from the past 2-3 years, with their current 1 year support & resistance levels' Buyer:Seller (or vice-versa) ratios included in the note below! #technicalanalysis #stocks #technology https://lnkd.in/e_JUMEDx
Technical Analysis & Price Level:Volume Sentiment For Alphabet Inc. GOOGL Stock
https://optimizedvalue.xyz
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Is allocating to users a recipe for a volatile listing? Reddit's potential stock allocation model for users raises a captivating question: is issuing shares to users a bad idea? The article focuses on the potential risks associated with large numbers of retail investors participating in IPOs, suggesting their mentality can create short-term volatility. But what if the problem lies not with the investors themselves, but with the perception of an IPO as an "end" rather than a "beginning"? We believe retail investors can be powerful long-term partners for companies, not just short-term flippers. The key lies in shifting the narrative from "get rich quick" to "early participation in a promising growth journey." With ASMX and our partner platforms and exchanges the following plays into the narrative: Earlier Access: Companies can list earlier and more cost-effectively through ASMX engaging with potential investors earlier in their growth journey. This fosters a deeper connection and a shared vision for the future. Tailored Communities: ASMX facilitates connections with specific investor communities aligned with the company's sector and values. This creates a meaningful dialogue and encourages long-term support. Reduced Volatility: By engaging with communities focused on long-term value creation, ASMX can potentially reduce the short-term trading pressure often associated with traditional IPOs. Now, imagine businesses' potential stock allocation model integrated with this approach. Instead of a lottery-style distribution, imagine: Community-driven allocation: Where the community earns "investment points" through research, discussion, and positive contributions. These points grant them access to IPO allocations based on their knowledge and commitment. Long-term focus: Allocation prioritizes users who demonstrate understanding of the company's vision and commitment to long-term holding. This aligns with ASMX's philosophy of building partnerships, not fueling quick exits. Could this approach transform the IPO landscape? It's an exciting possibility. By rewarding knowledge, fostering community spirit, and prioritizing long-term value, this model could empower retail investors and create a more stable, mutually beneficial ecosystem. #IPOs #RetailInvestors #ASMXGroup #Reddit #LongTermGrowth #CommunityInvestment
Loyal Reddit users could win big from its IPO
businessinsider.com
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Founder & CEO at WhiteNoise Corporation | Tech Influencer | 34k Followers | 25 Million Views | DMs - Advisory, Strategy, Business, Consulting & Partnerships
20 years ago, Google $GOOG went public. Total Return: +6,573% (23.4% CAGR) #google #ipo #wallstreet #earningscall #marketcap #artificialintelligence #venturecapital #stocks #etfs #stockmarket #investors #shareholders #nasdaq #nyse #technology #ai #innovation #business credit: carbon finance
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